DiRTy Plays Friday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS|FanDuel-DraftKings Projections

February 26, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report in excel click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report in excel click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report in excel click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report in excel click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report in excel click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Rajon Rondo has an 11% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • DeAndre Jordan has a 60% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Paul George is projected to hit 2.83 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report in pdf, click here.

To download a full copy of this report in excel, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • There is not a single player averaging over 50 fantasy points during their last 5 games that are playing tonight! That is the first time this season that has happened since everyone has logged at least 5 games.
  • Nikola Vucevic is a on a back to back so his salary remains at $7,700 and is averaging 44.2 fantasy points per game over his last 5.
  • Jordan Clarkson is only $5,900 on DraftKings tonight and has been averaging 37.95 fantasy points per game over his last 5 games.

To download a copy of this report in excel, click here.


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 24.54% of your projected team point total with an average of  2.99 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 21.38% of your projected team total with an average of 2.06 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 16.85% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.86 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 20.27% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.12 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 16.96% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.21 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, C, F, Util with a projected score of 269 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 23.3% of your projected team total with an average of 74.9 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 21.92% of your projected team total with an average of 70.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 15.75% of your projected team total with an average of 50.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 21.02% of your projected team total with an average of 67.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.29% of your projected team total with an average of 49.1 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PG, SG, PF, C, SF  and the number for tonight is projected to be 313.0 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11 a.m. EST

  • Pau Gasol: UPDATE: Gasol (illness) is considered questionable for Friday’s game against the Hawks, KC Johnson of the Chicago Tribune reports.
  • Derrick Rose: UPDATE: Rose (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Friday’s game against the Hawks, K.C. Johnson of the Chicago Tribune reports.
  • Deron Williams: UPDATE: Williams said he plans on playing through his dislocated left ring finger in Friday’s game against the Nuggets, Brad Townsend of the Dallas Morning News reports.
  • Arron Affalo: UPDATE: Interim coach Kurt Rambis said Afflalo was suffering from a bruised thigh in Wednesday’s 108-105 loss to the Pacers, but the shooting guard isn’t expected to miss Friday’s game against the Magic.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here. Check back at 6 p.m. EST to get our full analysis and insights from our top experts via our DiRTy Plays 5 pt Play! All of your FanDuel projections and DraftKings projections each and every day!


DiRTy Plays #NBA Thu 5pt Play – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS|FanDuel|DraftKings Projections

February 25, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016


DiRTy Plays – Thursday 5 Point Play

The Lineup Analzyer™ is in full affect now, just click here to check it out! Now, I will walk you through 5 key points and end with The DiRT Canon top lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings, along with the lineup analysis for you to consider tonight!

Point 1 – Value Plays:

  • Point Guard – Elfrid Payton is our top value play with a value on DraftKings of -1.53 and for FanDuel, he also leads this category with a value of +2.33.
  • Shooting Guard – Evan Fournier leads our value play at SG with a FanDuel value of +.76 and on DraftKings we have Allen Crabbe with a -1.17 value. He is a strong consideration for value tonight.
  • Small Forward – Al’Faruq Aminu is our leader with a -2.73 on FanDuel value and, Joe Johnson is -4.02 on DraftKings.
  • Power Forward – Serge Ibaka is our top value for FanDuel at -.42 and on DraftKings, he is at -1.86.
  • Center – Steven Adams leads this category with a -5.15 value on FanDuel and Miles Plumlee is -4.49 on DraftKings.

I wanted to add some additional value player to our list today as these players are within our variance threshold but also have a projection of at least 30 fantasy points for tonight. This should help you with your player selection for tonight as these are guys with great matchups and should have solid performances relative to their assigned salary. Those players are as follows:

  • Point Guard – Jrue Holiday is our top projected PG from a value perspective with a projection of 34.94 on FanDuel and we have Michael Carter Williams  with a 30.71 on DraftKings.
  • Shooting Guard – Evan Fournier leads this category at 31.98 projection on DraftKings and a value of -3.42 where on FanDuel we have Klay Thompson and his projection is 34.41 and a -3.39 value.
  • Small Forward – Gordon Hayward is our top SF from a value perspective with a FanDuel projection of 33.99 and on DraftKings,he has a projection of 36.31 tonight.
  • Power Forward – Thad Young is our top value PF for Fanduel tonight with a projection of 32.16. Serge Ibaka is projected at 31.14 for DraftKings to lead this value category.
  • Center – Vucevic is the top center for tonight in Fanduel with a projection of 35.43 in terms of value play.  Brook Lopez on DraftKings is our lead value play with a projection of 38.36.

Point 2 – Top 5 Players to Consider:

Below are our top 5 players when considering all of our custom metrics such as big play potential, projection to spend ratio, overall projection and opponent rank:

FanDuel_

  • Point Guard – Russell Westbrook is our top PG for tonight with a projection of 50.25.
  • Shooting Guard – James Harden is the top SG for tonight with a projection of 44.84.
  • Small Forward – Kevin Durant is the top projected player at this position with a 35.97.
  • Power Forward – Anthony Davis is our top PF for tonight with a projection of 40.12.
  • Center – Brook Lopez is our top projected center for tonight with a projection of 36.17.

draftkings

  • Point Guard – Russell Westbrook has a top projection at PG of 54.46 tonight.
  • Shooting Guard – James Harden is our top SG for tonight at 48.84.
  • Small Forward – Kevin Durant has a top projection for SF’s tonight at 38.90.
  • Power Forward – Anthony Davis is the top projected PF tonight at 42.10.
  • Center – Brook Lopez also leads the Centers on DraftKings with a projection of 38.36 tonight.

Point 3 – Lineup Stack Potentials:

In this section we will breakdown the Vegas Odds and provide you with some potential lineup stacks that will accommodate for the salary restrictions for both FanDuel and DraftKings.

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016Top 3 Over/Under Matchups:

  1. Golden State vs. Orlando (223.5 projected pts)
  2. Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans (221.5 projected pts)
  3. Houston vs. Portland (218 projected pts)

Projected Points per Team:

  1. Golden State Warriors (115.5 projected pts)
  2. Oklahoma City Thunder (113 projected pts)
  3. Boston Celtics (111 projected pts)
  4. Portland Trailblazers (111 projected pts)
  5. New Orleans Pelicans (108 projected pts)

*This information was provided by http://www.fivedimes.com

Point 4 – Key Injuries:

Injuries are updated as of 5:30 p.m. EST, be sure to confirm prior to tip!

  • injuryVictor Oladipo: UPDATE: Oladipo is dealing with a thigh bruise and is considered questionable to play Thursday against Toronto, John Denton of OrlandoMagic.com reports.
  • Marcus Smart: UPDATE: Smart had his right thumb heavily wrapped at practiced Wednseday due to a sprain, Scott Souza of the Providence Journal reports
  • John Henson: UPDATE: Henson (back) is listed as out for Thursday’s game against the Celtics, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.

Point 5 – Absolutes:

This information is based on the overall projection of each player as well as the opponent they are playing against. We combine those factors and determine the best plays broken down by salary range. To get a full copy of this report for DraftKings click here, for FanDuel click here.

  • The top overall #AbsoluteMustHave is Damian Lillard for both sites tonight as he has the best matchup, value and projection combo for tonight.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteNotable is Jae Crowder for both DraftKings and FanDuel tonight as he has a nice matchup with the Celtics also projected to be the 3rd highest scoring team, he is a strong consideration.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteSleeper is Enes Kanter has the best chance at being a huge value play tonight even with Rondo expected to play, he has put up 24+ fantasy points in each of his last 3 games.

DraftKings Lineup Considerationdraftkings

Below are some players to consider for tonight, regardless of position and salary to build your winning lineups.
DK_LA

FanDuel Lineup Consideration

FanDuel_

 FD_LA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


If you would like to use our Lineup Analyzer™, just come here or DM us on Facebook,Twitter, Google+ or LinkedIn and we will provide some recommendations based on our FanDuel projections and/or DraftKings projections.

DiRTy Plays Thursday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS|FanDuel & DraftKings Projections

February 25, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report in excel click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report in excel click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report in excel click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report in excel click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report in excel click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 19% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Russell Westbrook has a 53% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.77 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report in pdf, click here.

To download a full copy of this report in excel, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • James Harden, Steph Curry, Damian Lillard, Russell Westbrook and Anthony Davis are our top 50 club for tonight.
  • Damian Lillard is the only player averaging over 50 fantasy points during their last 5 games that is under $10,000 tonight on DraftKings.
  • Jabri Parker is only $6,200 tonight on DraftKings while averaging 35.45 fantasy points over his last 5 games.

To download a copy of this report in excel, click here.


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 24.42% of your projected team point total with an average of  2.96 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 22.07% of your projected team total with an average of 2.33 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 16.57% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.82 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 20.28% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.12 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 16.66% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.17 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, C, SF, F, Util with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 22.65% of your projected team total with an average of 72.1 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 22.21% of your projected team total with an average of 70.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 16.52% of your projected team total with an average of 52.4 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 23.46% of your projected team total with an average of 74.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 15.16% of your projected team total with an average of 46.4 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PF, PG, SG, SF, C  and the number for tonight is projected to be 315.9 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 2:30 p.m. EST are as follows:

  • Victor Oladipo: UPDATE: Oladipo is dealing with a thigh bruise and is considered questionable to play Thursday against Toronto, John Denton of OrlandoMagic.com reports.
  • Marcus Smart: UPDATE: Smart had his right thumb heavily wrapped at practiced Wednseday due to a sprain, Scott Souza of the Providence Journal reports
  • John Henson: UPDATE: Henson (back) is listed as out for Thursday’s game against the Celtics, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here. Check back at 6 p.m. EST to get our full analysis and insights from our top experts via our DiRTy Plays 5 pt Play! All of your FanDuel projections and DraftKings projections each and every day!


5 Things You Need to Know To #Win Thursday

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo and the National Fantasy Football Convention play to depose NFL commisioner Roger Goodell as part of their $1 million lawsuit against the league for last year’s failed event.

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo and his National Fantasy Football Convention have no plans to back down on their lawsuit against the NFL for tortious interference in the canceling of last year’s event.

Romo and his partners are asking for more than $1 million from the league.

Not only are the two sides heading to court in Dallas on Monday for a hearing on a summary judgment on the NFL’s motion to dismiss the suit, but the lawyers for the NFFC have filed paperwork to depose league commissioner Roger Goodell.

The NFL has filed a motion to block Goodell’s deposition.


MLB-Lineups-Divisions

The NHL had a novel idea this season: It broke up its All-Star Game into semifinals, with the individual stars from each division playing short exhibitions against each other in a tournament format. They played a 20-minute semifinal — giving fans an actual All-Star bracket — and then a championship between the winners. A clever idea, to be sure, and one that not only made the All-Star format itself more exciting, but also allowed more star players to be seen by their fans. (It also ended up leading to the John Scott story.)

I’m not sure baseball should do this — it already has the best All-Star Game and doesn’t need to radically reinvent it, though getting rid of the “Now It Counts” business is long overdue — but it is an enticing thought experiment. Imagine if the All-Stars from each division played, say, a series of three-inning games in a double-elimination format that ended up determining the best division in baseball over a three-day stretch. It’s probably too much, but it’s fun to think about: Now that the divisions are more geographically aligned, there’s as much division loyalty, pride and solidarity as there is with leagues, maybe more.

It’ll never happen — and again, it probably shouldn’t happen — but I’m gonna take part in the thought experiment anyway. Let’s come up with a preseason All-Star team for each of the six divisions and imagine who would win such a tournament. Rather than go through matchup-by-matchup, we’ll just rank them.

Here’s how the teams might look. I’ll be cheating a little bit by just allowing for three outfield spots rather than LF/CF/RF, but hey: This is an All-Star Game.

Read: If each MLB division had an All-Star lineup, what would it look like?


LarryBird

For several days in the summer of 2014, I debated a question whose answer seems obvious. Was Larry Bird a pure shooter? I kept this debate internal — I drafted emails for friends and basketball writers asking for their opinions, but never sent them, for fear of their reaction and eventual abandonment. Instead, I went back and forth with the question. Calling someone a pure shooter can be used as an insult, if pure becomes synonymous with “only” or is the first half of a compound sentence that begins “He’s a pure shooter,” and ends “but he can’t play any defense or put the ball on the floor.”

Bird belongs in the discussion for the greatest shooter of all time, but simply calling him a pure shooter might erase the way he controlled the game with his passing, rebounding, tenacity, team defense and floor game. Is calling Larry Bird a pure shooter the ultimate compliment or an underestimation? Praise or pejorative? But then if Bird isn’t a pure shooter, who the hell is?

Regardless of definitions and labels, Bird’s greatness as a shooter can get lost when discussing his career. His all-around brilliance separated him from everyone else. He could dominate without taking a shot, but it was still that shot that made everything else possible.

Read: How the jumper turned Bird into Larry Legend.


Andy Pettitte had six heavy-use postseasons in his career. (via Chris Ptacek)

At the end of my last article at THT, “The In-Season Aging Curve,” I indulged in some speculation about whether older pitchers’ skills eroded faster during the playing season than in the offseason. The data I used gave me no grounds for a conclusion either way. Were the erosion to happen faster in-season, though, it raised the unfortunate possibility that pitchers who had longer seasons—meaning those who pitched deep into the postseason—would be worn down by the grind and pitch worse the next season, and possibly beyond.

I teased that I might have more to say on the matter in months to come. Teasing isn’t really nice, so I got to work on the matter right away.

I wound up both narrowing and expanding the question I posed. I looked at just the following year after a heavy postseason workload, and I did not limit myself to older pitchers. This was probably a wise shift, since two of the biggest controversies surrounding pitcher workloads and the postseason in recent years have involved younger hurlers.

Read: Pitchers and the Seven-Month Season – The Hardball Times


New York Giants defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul sued ESPN and NFL reporter Adam Schefter on Wednesday for tweeting his medical records over the summer.

The lawsuit, filed in Miami-Dade County in Florida, alleges that Pierre-Paul’s privacy was violated — as was the state’s medical records statute — by the report. The lawsuit claims Schefter “improperly obtained Plaintiff’s medical records from a hospital” and then tweeted them out, writing that “ESPN obtained medical charts that show that Giants DE Jason Pierre-Paul had right index finger amputated today.”

Paul injured his right hand in a fireworks accident July 4. Schefter posted a photo of Pierre-Paul’s medical chart July 8

Read: Jason Pierre-Paul of New York Giants sues ESPN, Adam Schefter for posting medical records

United Stats of #Murica – #NBA Edition

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NBA

Curry and Thompson lead Warriors to comeback win

Stephen Curry scored 42 points and Klay Thompson added 33, with 17 in the fourth quarter in the Warriors’ come-from-behind win in Miami on Wednesday. It’s the second-most points that Thompson has scored in the fourth-quarter of a game for the Warriors. He scored 19 in the fourth quarter of a game against Minnesota in 2013, although the Warriors didn’t trail in the fourth quarter of that game.

It’s the second game in which either Curry or Thompson scored 40 points and the other scored at least 30. Thompson scored 41 and Curry added 31 against the Lakers in 2014.

nullCurry ties Korver’s record

Curry tied Kyle Korver‘s NBA record for consecutive games with a three-pointer on Wednesday, by scoring from beyond the arc for the 127th consecutive regular-season game. Curry has scored 3339 points with 532 three-pointers during the streak. Korver scored 1461 points with 337 threes during his streak, which ran from 2012 to 2014.

nullWhiteside a force off the bench

Hassan Whiteside scored 21 points with 13 rebounds on Wednesday, and over his last three games-none of which he’s started-he’s scored 65 points and collected 54 rebounds. He’s the first player since Charles Barkley in 1986 to score at least 60 points with 50 rebounds in a three-game span, without starting during that time.

nullWestbrook’s streak is the first of its kind in over 30 years

Russell Westbrook scored 24 points with 13 assists and only two turnovers in Oklahoma City’s win in Dallas on Wednesday. It’s the fourth straight game in which Westbrook has scored 20 or more points, passed for 10-plus assists and committed no more than two turnovers, the longest streak of that kind for any NBA player since Isiah Thomas’s five-game streak in the 1984-85 season.

Oklahoma City has scored at least 100 points in each of its last 15 road games, the longest single-season streak of that kind since the Lakers had 17 straight 100-point road games in 2008-09.

Kings not so great against NBA royalty

With a loss to San Antonio on Wednesday, Sacramento has now lost the last 23 games it has played against teams that were at least 30 games above the .500 mark (entering the game). The Kings last won a game under those circumstances on April 12, 2008, when they defeated the New Orleans Hornets, who were 55-24 at the time.

Their 23 consecutive losses versus teams 30 or more games over .500 is the longest streak of its kind in NBA history, surpassing a streak of 22 straight losses versus such teams by the Los Angeles Clippers from 1995 to 2006.

nullDrummond doubles up on the rebounds

Andre Drummond collected 18 rebounds in the Pistons win over the 76ers on Wednesday, more than twice as many as any other player in the game. It’s the 11th time this season that Drummond has had double the rebounds of any other player in a game; no other NBA player has had more than three games of that kind this year.

nullGeorge springs to life in 2nd half

Paul George scored only two points in the first half but contributed 25 points in the second half as the Pacers came from behind to defeat the Knicks. George is the fourth player this season to score 25 or more points in the second half after being held to two or fewer points in the first half, joining Kevin Durant (Dec. 13),Jimmy Butler (Jan. 3) and Chris Paul (Feb. 18).

Raptors are dangerous

The Raptors defeated the visiting Timberwolves on Wednesday for their ninth straight home win, tying a team record, and their 17th win in their last 20 games, setting a team record. Toronto has won each of its last 12 home games against Minnesota, which is the longest home winning streak in franchise history against a particular opponent.

nullBig KAT in big company

Karl-Anthony Towns played his 58th NBA game on Wednesday, in which he’s scored 1001 points with 589 rebounds and 105 blocked shots. Only two other NBA players over the last 20 years totaled 1000 points, 500 rebounds, and 100 blocks before playing their 60th game in the league: Tim Duncan (53rd game in 1997-98) and Pau Gasol (58th game in 2001-02).

nullGasol shows versatility with Rose out

With Derrick Rose sidelined, Pau Gasol led all players with nine assists in the Bulls’ win over the Wizards on Wednesday. It’s the second time in his last three games that Gasol was a game’s outright assists leader; he also did so on Friday against Toronto. Gasol leads the Bulls with 33 assists in the games that Rose has missed this season.

Grizzlies maul Lakers

The Grizzlies scored at least 30 points in each period of their win over the Lakers on Wednesday, making Memphis only the third team to do that this season. The Grizzles have had four 30-point quarters in two other games in team history, both in the 2006-07 season.

DiRTy Plays #NBA Wed 5pt Play – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS|FanDuel & DraftKings Projections

February 24, 2016

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DiRTy Plays – Wednesday 5 Point Play

The Lineup Analzyer™ is in full affect now, just click here to check it out! Now, I will walk you through 5 key points and end with The DiRT Canon top lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings, along with the lineup analysis for you to consider tonight!

Point 1 – Value Plays:

  • Point Guard – Cory Joseph is our top value play with a value on DraftKings of -1.09 and for FanDuel, he also leads this category with a value of +.78.
  • Shooting Guard – Gerald Green leads our value play at SG with a FanDuel value of -.38 and on DraftKings we have Lou Williams with a -3.42 value. He is a strong consideration for value tonight.
  • Small Forward – Marcus Morris is our leader with a -1.15 on FanDuel value and, Jeff Green is -3.47 on DraftKings.
  • Power Forward – Jared Dudley is our top value for FanDuel at +.8 and, Serge Ibaka on DraftKings is at -5.87.
  • Center – Bismack Biyombo leads this category with a -.27 value on FanDuel and is -2.53 on DraftKings.

I wanted to add some additional value player to our list today as these players are within our variance threshold but also have a projection of at least 30 fantasy points for tonight. This should help you with your player selection for tonight as these are guys with great matchups and should have solid performances relative to their assigned salary. Those players are as follows:

  • Point Guard – Goran Dragic is our top projected PG from a value perspective with a projection of 30.24 on FanDuel and we have Jordan Clarkson  with a 30.9 on DraftKings.
  • Shooting Guard – Will Barton leads this category at 30.54 projection on DraftKings and a value of -4.26 where on FanDuel we have Klay Thompson and his projection is 31.23 and a -6.57 value.
  • Small Forward – Danillo Gallinari is our top SF from a value perspective with a FanDuel projection of 31.63 and on DraftKings,he has a projection of 8.87 tonight.
  • Power Forward – Kevin Love is our top value PF for Fanduel tonight with a projection of 31.4. Kevin Love is projected at 33.96 for DraftKings to lead this value category.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan is the top center for tonight in Fanduel with a projection of 38.07 in terms of value play.  Robin Lopez on DraftKings is our lead value play with a projection of 30.96.

Point 2 – Top 5 Players to Consider:

Below are our top 5 players when considering all of our custom metrics such as big play potential, projection to spend ratio, overall projection and opponent rank:

FanDuel_

  • Point Guard – Russell Westbrook is our top PG for tonight with a projection of 50.23.
  • Shooting Guard – DeMar DeRozan is the top SG for tonight with a projection of 34.78.
  • Small Forward – Paul George is the top projected player at this position with a 38.97.
  • Power Forward – Draymond Green is our top PF for tonight with a projection of 33.36.
  • Center – Karl-Anthony Towns is our top projected center for tonight with a projection of 39.40.

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  • Point Guard – Russell Westbrook has a top projection at PG of 54.3 tonight.
  • Shooting Guard – DeMar DeRozan is our top SG for tonight at 36.47.
  • Small Forward – Paul George has a top projection for SF’s tonight at 42.71.
  • Power Forward – DeMarcus Cousins is the top projected PF tonight at 41.14.
  • Center – Karl-Anthony Towns also leads the Centers on DraftKings with a projection of 42.07 tonight.

Point 3 – Lineup Stack Potentials:

In this section we will breakdown the Vegas Odds and provide you with some potential lineup stacks that will accommodate for the salary restrictions for both FanDuel and DraftKings.

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016Top 3 Over/Under Matchups:

  1. San Antonio vs. Sacramento (216.5 projected pts)
  2. Oklahoma City vs. Dallas (214.5 projected pts)
  3. Denver vs. LA Clippers (214 projected pts)

Projected Points per Team:

  1. LA Clippers (112.5 projected pts)
  2. Golden State Warriors (111.5 projected pts)
  3. San Antonio Spurs (111.5 projected pts)
  4. Toronto Raptors (111 projected pts)
  5. Detroit Pistons (110.5 projected pts)

*This information was provided by http://www.fivedimes.com

FanDuel_To download the top 3 stacks for FanDuel tonight, just click the link below:

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draftkingsTo download the top 3 stacks for DraftKings tonight, just click the link below:

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Point 4 – Key Injuries:

Injuries are updated as of 5:30 p.m. EST, be sure to confirm prior to tip!

  • injuryPau Gasol: UPDATE: Gasol (illness) has been upgraded to probable for Wednesday’s game against the Wizards, Bulls radio play-by-play announcer Chuck Swirsky reports.
  • Kawhi Leonard: UPDATE: Leonard (calf) took part in a limited practice Tuesday and remains questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Kings, Jeff McDonald of the San Antonio Express-News reports.
  • Stanley Johnson: UPDATE: Johnson was diagnosed with a right shoulder sprain Wednesday and will be reevaluated in a week, Dave Pemberton of the Oakland Press reports. He is out, look for Marcus Morris to see extended minutes.

Point 5 – Absolutes:

This information is based on the overall projection of each player as well as the opponent they are playing against. We combine those factors and determine the best plays broken down by salary range. To get a full copy of this report for DraftKings click here, for FanDuel click here.

  • The top overall #AbsoluteMustHave is Steph Curry for both sites tonight as he has the best matchup, value and projection combo for tonight.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteNotable is Marcin Gortat for DraftKings and for FanDuel tonight we have Mike Conley as his mid range salary makes him a strong consideration in all formats.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteSleeper is Darren Collison has the best chance at being a huge value play tonight even with Rondo expected to play, he has put up 24+ fantasy points in each of his last 3 games.

DraftKings Lineup Consideration

DK_LAFor DraftKings tonight we are rolling with Westbrook as our top chalk play tonight as he has the best matchup and the highest projection by far tonight. Next we have Kevin Love, who has been playing as well as anyone at the PF position of late and with the Cavs looking his way on the offensive side of the ball. Jordan Clarkson is our next guy as he is our top value play with a projection over 30 at the PG position. Will Barton also leads that list tonight with a projection over 30 and is our top value play for guys over 30 at the SG position. Robin Lopez is yet another guy with a projection over 30 and leads our value play list tonight. Jeff Green had an outstanding game his last time out and with the Clippers playing the Nuggets, he should see plenty of time on the court. We combo him with Redick for the same reasons and finish this lineup with Jared Dudley, who was a 34 last night on DraftKings. Overall this lineup should reach our 285 goal for tonight.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.

FanDuel Lineup Consideration

FD_LAFor FanDuel tonight we have Dragic and Westbrook at the PG position. These guys should easily exceed our goal of 76 points from this position tonight and in fact they will probably go for closer to 90 fantasy points tonight. Next we have Wiggins and Crawford who are projected to get 54 fantasy points but Crawford is coming off an awful game so he will be looking to score against a week Denver defense. Expect 30 from each of these guys and we are still within our threshold for goal tonight. At SF we have George and Morris and combined they will easily reach our 60 point goal and in fact should be closer to 75 fantasy points when considering their matchups and Morris’ projected extra time on the court. At PF we have Dieng and Dudley who are also hot hand players of late. Dieng has gone for at least 35 in 3 straight games and Dudley is coming off a 30+ point night last night. Look for 65+ out of these two tonight. At Center we are going with value in Robin Lopez and he should hit 40 at least!

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.


If you would like to use our Lineup Analyzer™, just come here or DM us on Facebook,Twitter, Google+ or LinkedIn and we will provide some recommendations based on our FanDuel projections and/or DraftKings projections.

DiRTy Plays Wed #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS|FanDuel & DraftKings Projections

February 24, 2016

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Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report in excel click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report in excel click here.


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Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report in excel click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report in excel click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report in excel click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report in pdf click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report in excel click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 20% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Andre Drummond has an 84% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.75 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report in pdf, click here.

To download a full copy of this report in excel, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Russell Westbrook, Chris Paul and Steph Curry are the only players playing tonight that are averaging over 50 fantasy points during their last 5 games.
  • Russell Westbrook’s opponent is giving up 76..05 fantasy points per game and with Westbrook averaging 75% of the minutes, he should get at least 57 fantasy points tonight.
  • Jordan Clarkson is only $5,600 on DraftKings and is averaging 33.6 fantasy points over his last 5 games.

To download a copy of this report in excel, click here.


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 24.14% of your projected team point total with an average of  2.91 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 20.37% of your projected team total with an average of 2.43 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 20.29% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.38 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 18.33% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.82 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 16.88% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.15 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, Util with a projected score of 288 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 23.56% of your projected team total with an average of 76.4 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 21.31% of your projected team total with an average of 69.1 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 18.63% of your projected team total with an average of 60.4 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 20.05% of your projected team total with an average of 65.0 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.45% of your projected team total with an average of 50.6 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PG, SG, PF, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 321.7 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Pau Gasol: UPDATE: Gasol (illness) has been upgraded to probable for Wednesday’s game against the Wizards, Bulls radio play-by-play announcer Chuck Swirsky reports.
  • Kawhi Leonard: UPDATE: Leonard (calf) took part in a limited practice Tuesday and remains questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Kings, Jeff McDonald of the San Antonio Express-News reports.
  • Stanley Johnson: UPDATE: Johnson was diagnosed with a right shoulder sprain Wednesday and will be reevaluated in a week, Dave Pemberton of the Oakland Press reports. He is out, look for Marcus Morris to see extended minutes.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here. Check back at 6 p.m. EST to get our full analysis and insights from our top experts via our DiRTy Plays 5 pt Play! All of your FanDuel projections and DraftKings projections each and every day!