Teaching You How to #Win – Toughest QB Matchup/Top QB’s #NFL Week 6

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Toughest QB Matchup

This week we have Russell Wilson as having the most difficult matchup of the weekend. This shouldn’t come as a surprise given that Wilson has been sacked the most in the NFL this season. Russell Wilson_headshots_195x270Carolina is coming in off a bye week but the Seahawks are at home this weekend. That usually proves for a good game from Wilson but I remind you, he was sacked 6 times and should have lost to the Detroit Lions in their last home game.  Our #2 matchup for the QB this week is Blake Bortles. The Texans defense is usually a tough matchup for any QB and most wouldn’t know this but it hasn’t been the passing game that has beat the Texans, it has been the run game. Look for Yeldon to get plenty of work and I do expect Bortles to have a descent fantasy week. He should get you around 17 fantasy points. The last QB for this segment is Cam Newton.  We have already covered the fact that the Seahawks are at home this week, combine that with the barely NFL talent wide receiving core for the Panthers, this game looks to be another 13 – 10 type of contest. Shy away from both QB’s but look to play either defense in this game as that is where the points are going to come from.  Newton will not get his average FPPG this week and will most likely come in less than Bortles at around 15 fantasy points.


Tom Brady_headshots_250QB Selections

Our top 3 QB’s for this week in order of projected score is Tom Brady #1, Aaron Rodgers #2 and Andy Dalton #3. Okay, by now you have to have put Brady on at least one lineup, so I think we are covered there.  Let’s talk about Aaron Rodgers. He is very consistent and gets the Chargers at home on a short week, coming off a horrific loss! This bodes for a higher scoring game than most people think in my opinion.  Rivers should have success against the Packers defense, even though the Packers have a top 5 fantasy scoring defense so far this season. Adams should be back this week, Montgomery has played well in his absence and what can we say about James Jones, just amazing thus far.  All that said, I haven’t played Rodgers at all this season and he has only showed up on the week 2 top lineup. The simple fact is, his cost versus production isn’t worth it. One of our experts concluded earlier this week, if you were to simply build your lineup off of our Projection2Spend report here, you would have scored over 200 points last week and that is because guys like Josh McCown and Blake Bortles get you just as many if not more points than these high priced QB’s. The guy I’m on is our #3 for this week, Andy Dalton. No, I’m not jumping on the band wagon persay but I will say that Dalton has been the most consistent QB this season outside of Mr. Brady. He is also going up against the Bills defense who is giving up the 7th most fantasy points to QB’s so far this season. His $5,700 salary on Draftkings makes him an almost a #MustHave for your lineup this weekend.

For full QB projections for Draftkings go here.

For full QB projections for FanDuel go here.

Teaching You How to #Win – Toughest QB Matchup/Top QB’s #NFL Week 5

 

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Toughest QB Matchup

This week we have Tyrod Taylor as being slated with the toughest matchup for the week.Andy Dalton_headshots_250 Tennessee’s defense has been a quiet surprise so far this season and Buffalo is missing a ton of guys.  I like the Titans this week and I can definitely see Taylor struggling a bit in this game.  Andrew Luck is our #2 and with the news coming out this morning, he isn’t going to play so Matt Hasselbeck can replace him on our list for this category.  Last we have Andy Dalton against the Seahawks at home. I do not think that Dalton will struggle this weekend but Chancellor has certainly provided a small spark for this team. Their problem is more on the offensive side of the ball. Fred Jackson will not play and who knows about Lynch. Jimmy Graham is not the player that Drew Brees made him and that is glaring thus far so you are left to the Wilson show. While he is great, even the Lions defense showed you how to shut them down.

 


Matchups to Exploit

In this segment, I am going to breakdown the pass defense, rush defense and overall defense to exploit for the week. If a team shows up in this area, it is because our system shows them as giving up the most yardage totals for the upcoming week.

Let’s make this simple to the stats as they come directly from our Odds page, so come and take a peak here.

  • Passing Yards is the New York Giants at 309.85 yards
  • Rushing Yards is Cleveland at 126.8 yards
  • Overall is New England at 427.6 yards

I agree that Justin Forsett is going to torch the Browns defense this weekend and I like him on both FanDuel and Draftkings.  In fact, he had a breakout game last week and with Steve Smith expected to miss this game, look for him to play a big role as the Ravens look to get back in the division race. As for the Giants pass defense, while terrible so far, they get Captain Check Down this week.  I don’t believe that the Giants will give up the most passing yards this week simply because of who they are playing.  Instead, I think Brady goes for 350+ on Dallas.  That brings me to New England’s defense, DC*3PO has them giving up a ton of yards to the Cowboys, which could be the case but I don’t think so.  I have already said that I believe the Pats win 49 – 10 so the overall defense to exploit is in fact Dallas.  The defense that I think will create turnovers and not give up many yards is in fact the Giants. If you take the Giants D, you will save an extra $400 or more on this roster spot and that might just get you Keenan Allen or Larry Fitzgerald in that mid range zone.  Most people will pick the Denver D for their fantasy team as evident in our Public Picks later in this article.


Tom Brady_headshots_250QB Selections

Our top 3 QB’s for this week in order of projected score is Tom Brady #1, Aaron Rodgers #2 and Drew Brees #3. Okay, by now you have to have put Brady on at least one lineup, so I think we are covered there.  Let’s talk about Aaron Rodgers. He heads home this week to put his no interception record on the line against the Rams.  I like the Rams defense, they shut down Pittsburgh, even though Big Ben got hurt, they still only scored 12 total points.  They are coming off a huge win at Arizona and if Gurley gets it going, this could make for the game of the weekend.  All that said, Rodgers is a good play but I don’t think he is worth the cost in daily fantasy this week, too many cheaper options that will get similar production.  Drew Brees did make a comeback last week against Dallas, another reason I like Tom Brady, with Spiller make a huge contribution, we will see if they can keep in going.  I am on the Saints so I have to be on Drew Brees.  I am more on Snead though for this week.  He is a sneaky sleeper that less than 1% of daily fantasy players will have on their lineup.  He should get a TD this week and he will get 8 catches for 70 yards.

For full QB projections for Draftkings go here.

For full QB projections for FanDuel go here.