Late Night DiRT

Listen, and understand.  Change is out there.  It can’t be bargained with.  It can’t be reasoned with.  It doesn’t feel pity, or remorse, or fear, and it absolutely will not stop, ever…Change, has come, so we say goodbye to an era.  Goodbye to a man.  Goodbye.  Tonight the cowboy rides off into his sunset, never to be seen again.  The game has changed.  One generation grew up with Johnny, another with Dave, and the current one seems more interested in YouTube clips and celebrity pandering.

I haven’t always stayed up too watch Dave – the albatross made it more difficult as time flew by – DVR made it singular – but it was always a comfort to know that if/when I did – Dave was there.  I’m not a smoker, but every now and then a cigar is extremely satisfying, and that, to me, embodies the Late Show with David Letterman.

His reluctance towards celebrity-ism and the abhorrent genuflection of an industry was reflected in those of us that watched.  The set pieces, the Top 10 lists, stupid pet/human tricks, dropping stuff off of buildings, crazy street interviews/pranks with Rupert – all now American cultural lexicons, given to us as a savvy, self-contained, adult – just like his idol Carson.  Maybe Leno beat him regularly in the ratings, but that wasn’t the point – It’s Ham and Eggsdays work for the Chicken, a lifetime commitment for the Pig – Leno induced you to sleep.  Dave committed you to watch.

For Dave, the public drama, all those years ago, still stings the nostrils, but like Frank, he did it his way.  If the best revenge is living well, then there’s a certain redemption being played out, contra to those late night wars.  We won’t see Dave try to undermine Stephen Colbert and gradually sneak back into the spotlight.  In fact, we won’t see him at all.  That’s because Letterman’s way of doing things has taught us to expect the unexpected, and in this instance we know what the man will do.  He will leave tonight, gracefully like an adult, like Johnny Carson – as expected.  Thanks Dave!

In other news – it seems the other owners told Bob Kraft to shut up and sit down.  No more Bad-NFL headlines and thankfully, we will not have to hear anymore of this nonsense, except of course, from Brady.  Is that the point?  Was this self-serving crisis a ruse to get to the real issue – the 4 game suspension?  I bet Hizzoner and the rest of the owners told Bob to quiet down and we will give your Golden Boy a sentence-reduction to one game – after-all Hizzoner is overseeing the appeal and it will be another chance for Roger to happily-fall on the company sword.

Averting our attention so they could focus on the real issue(s), like the extra point.  It has now been declared that the customary one-point, after a touchdown, will now occur from the 15yd line – making it a 32yd field goal – or teams can go for two from the two.  Kickers have always been treated as non-essentials; in the locker-room, on TV, and now the NFL just made it worse – won’t anyone think of the kicker.  I never remember wanting more drama from a kicker, it’s bad enough how many times they seem to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.  It will be interesting to see how team philosophies will change going forward – for me this seems to be directed towards the Tim Tebow show and what Chip Kelly plans to do.  So play on league of valor, let our champions riot in the circus to entertain us – we will be fine, as long as we have our bread!

We have learned several things about these Warriors over the last few weeks and we thought they learned a valuable lesson against Memphis.  It seems they still needed reminding.  The Warriors were lucky last night – no Dwight Howard and being down 16 in the first half, only to squeak out a 4pt victory.  Of course, Bogut  not scoring and only grabbing 4 rebounds, won’t continue – and at some point someone is going to make a free throw.

Losing the first game on the road isn’t a big deal if you’re Houston, but possibly losing Howard could be.  Plus, Golden State will do better than 7-24 on open three point shots and if that’s what Houston has planned – wide open 3’s – this series won’t last long at all.  If you’re like me, you enjoyed the contrast of styles of the MVP and the runner-up – it’s what I wanted to see, Ali v Frazier.

The NBA Lottery – always exhibit A, in the great conspiracy debate.  “But Logan, the winner was Minnesota and the worst team hasn’t gotten the 1st pick since 2004, so wouldn’t it be fixed if New York or L.A. won the lottery?”  Wrong.  Now before I reach for my tin-foil hat – stay with me.

In the last three years prior – the Pelicans, Cavaliers and Cavaliers have gotten the number 1 pick – the odds of that happening are .4% – seriously .4%.  As long as the cloak-and-dagger cabal exists behind the scenes, the league will never avoid this charge.  Open it up, put it all on camera – show us.  Yeah but how does Minnesota prove it’s fixed?   Because the NBA always gives the top pick to the most obvious team and yes, Minnesota is obvious.  For the Pelicans/Hornets the league no longer owned the team but was committed to them staying in New Orleans – so Anthony Davis.  Then the NBA wanted to reward Cleveland for losing Lebron and to show that teams win titles not players and maybe create a rivalry with the Heat for ratings – so Anthony Bennett.  But he was terrible, so they had a do over – Andrew Wiggins.

But Leborn came back and they traded Wiggins for Love.  Exactly!  So the reason it was clear that Minnesota got the number pick is this:  The NBA wants a greater presence in Canada, (#BlameCanada).  Sure they have Toronto but that team chokes like a fat-kid on cake.  The Clippers will move to Seattle, (near Vancouver who lost a team to Memphis and Steve Ballmer’s $2b buys a lot of juice) and Milwaukee will move to Montreal if a new arena deal falls thru.  Don’t believe the Montreal rumor?  Then why was Adam Silver there to lay the groundwork beyond exhibition games recently?

So in the meantime, the NBA gives the #1 pick to the T-Wolves who already have the rookie of the year in Andrew Wiggins.  From?……Canada!  So the T-Wolves, already with some young talent, get a talented big man like Jahlil Okafor – BOOM goes the dynamite! Check-Mate! That just happened!

 

Tuesday’s DiRTy Dimes

Last night we witnessed a Shooting Guard battle between DeRozan and Harden.  DeRozan countered Harden’s 31pts with his own 41pts and 11 rebounds, helping the Raptors scrub the Rockets, 99-96.

Avery Bradley helped the Celtics beat the Hornets scoring 30, while Kemba Walker dished 12 assists and 28pts, with 3 rebounds of his own.  Celtics won 116-104, keepong their slim lead ahead of Brooklyn, Indiana and Charlotte.

Nerlens Noel and his double-double of 19pts 14 rebounds was not enough to beat the Lakers and Jordan Clarkson’s 26pts and 11 assists.  The Lakers win another “must lose” game and might be in danger of having their plan blow up in their face.  The Lakers could lose the rest of their games by double digits and could still find themselves 7th in the NBA Lottery and losing their top 5 protected draft pick – #TankingIsHard.

Another solid night of NBA action that seemed to be more Double-Double Monday, as we push towards the final 8 games or so of the season.

IF THE PLAYOFFS STARTED TODAY


vs
(1) ATLANTA VS (8) BOSTON
(Atlanta leads 2-1)

vs
(2) CLEVELAND ( 1H ) VS (7) MIAMI
(Miami leads 2-1)

vs
(3) CHICAGO ( 1A ) VS (6) MILWAUKEE
(Chicago leads 3-0)

vs
(4) TORONTO VS (5) WASHINGTON
(Toronto leads 3-0)




vs
(1) GOLDEN STATE VS (8) OKLAHOMA CITY
(Golden State leads 3-1)

vs
(2) MEMPHIS VS (7) DALLAS
(Memphis leads 3-1)

vs
(3) HOUSTON ( 1H / 1A ) VS (6) SAN ANTONIO
(Series Tied 1-1)

vs
(4) PORTLAND ( 1H ) VS (5) L.A. CLIPPERS
(L.A. Clippers leads 2-1)
Teams still in the hunt:
Brooklyn
Indiana
Charlotte
and
New Orleans

The last two weeks of March showed us some interesting things as we breakdown the positions.  First, let’s scrape off the cream; no one is able to afford Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Lebron James, Anthony Davis and Boogie Cousins on the same team, so we will focus on the other guys.  Knowing also that the Guard position is your highest scoring, with the 2nd most coming from the Center position.  This leaves the Forward position the place where you separate yourself from winning some #FreshLettuce and not cashing at all.  Many lineups are won or lost with the Forwards.

Games played from 3-16 thru 3-29-15:

Point guard

PGFD

FanDuel

PGDK

DraftKings

If the MVP race was restricted to the kind of metrics used in Daily Fantasy, then it would look very different within those who play point guard.  In reality Steph Curry is having a terrific year, but has been a 4th option in the PG position, and with his cost, you have to look elsewhere for similar production at a better value.  Look what Elfrid Payton has produced in just 6 games at a better price point.  Reggie Jackson has been solid since leaving OKC and Shved cracks the top 10 APPG and crazy plays in March.

Shooting Guard

SGFD

FanDuel

SGDK

DraftKings

You notice in the Shooting Guards we have a bottleneck of value in the top 5 with Eric Bledsoe, Victor Oladipo and DeMar DeRozan.  When you look closer you see that Oladipo is doing a bit more with less.  Four of the top six Shooting Guards by APPG, will be seen in the Playoffs, so you should expect them to keep their averages up.  For Oladipo he’s still proving himself to take the next step, while Bledsoe continues to justify his recent $70m contract in September.

Small Forward

SFFD

FanDuel

SFDK

DraftKings

Everyone of these guys has had a blow up game this month, except I do not remember Wilson Chandler’s.  If you have paid any attention to the Utah Jazz, you are not surprised that Gordon Hayward is 4th in APPG.  You may be surprised that the Nuggets have two players on this list, (one in the PF) meaning that if Lawson is All-Star capable and the Nuggets have 3 Forwards that can score then how are they so awful, #Management.  Amazing stat if you can afford them: if you have Lebron and Kawhi on your team your lineup cashes over 40% of the time.  #ScienceIsAwesome.

Power Forward

PFFD

FanDuel

PFDK

DraftKings

In Power Forwards you have a logjam of guys within 3pts of each other, making cost per point a necessity.  The Bulls without D.Rose have two Power Forwards in the top 5, with the possible R.O.Y. in Nikola Mirotic.  Wiggins has the name recognition and will probably get rookie-of-the-year, but it should be Mirotic and his smooth stroke.  He has been the offense in Rose’s absence most games and in March has been on fire.  Anthony Davis and the Pelicans still have an outside chance to make the playoffs, but being 3 games back with 8 games left is a tall task.  You will still expect “The Brow” to do what he can and continue to be the guy you have to have each night he plays, if you can afford him.  It’s why our “Projection to Salary” report is so invaluable.

Center

CFD

FanDuel

CDK

DraftKings

Watching basketball on a nightly basis has made this a lot fun breaking down Centers.  Finding the value in Gobert before his price shot up and seeing Gorgui Dieng climb into the top 10, has made this month exciting for Centers, and made us big fans of new, young guys.  Boogie is so dominant that if you can afford him and find value in other guys – you take that chance.  But often times the top guys are not the guys that cash the big checks.  You often find the same overall value with Brook Lopez or Rudy Gobert that you can upgrade that Forward/Guard position to improve your chances.

These reports we provide on our RotoCanon Page, help you make the best decision possible.  Decisions like if you had Kemba, Clarkson, DeRozan, Bradley, Gobert and Booker on a lineup, you might have won $150, (#WeDid, #CalledIt).  Contact us with any questions or suggestions, we’d love to hear from you and your success.

Games to Play Tonight