It’s beginning to look a lot like…$$$
Put together for your entertainment purposes, just like last year when we were 78% accurate ATS and so again, it’s here to help you either #win ca$h or your office pool – DC*3PO has outlined what the opening line(Op.Line) is, the game-win-probability(GWP) for the confidence picks and where you should lean. Usually I am in Vegas at this time making a nice Christmas bonus for the year on these games – maybe next year – but for now this’ll just have to do, so enjoy and start a discussion – we’ll even try and throw a little in depth review as the bowl games come up.
LEGEND:
Op.Line = opening line
DC*3PO PowerPlay Rating = DC*3PO’s Power Play Rating is our A.I.’s rating that comes from several factors, including point margins, strength of schedule and team stats. It is a less-reactive rating that is an excellent tool of evaluation – the higher the number, the better the team is.
DC*3PO GWP = DC*3PO’s probability of that team winning the game SU
DC*3PO Team Rating = DC*3PO’s overall team rating that takes into consideration how each team operates offensively, defensively, special teams and other metrics involving time of possession, with drive efficiency – the higher the number the better the team is.
DC*3PO Xpected Line = What DC*3PO believes the line should be.
|
Bowl Game |
Op.Line |
DC*3PO Power Play Rating |
DC*3PO GWP |
DC*3PO Team Rating |
DC*3PO Xpected Line |
|
New Mexico |
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Arizona |
-10 |
66 |
56% |
0.167 |
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New Mexico |
52 |
44% |
0.223 |
-0.56 |
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Las Vegas |
|
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BYU |
82 |
70% |
1.181 |
||
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Utah |
-2.5 |
81 |
30% |
1.283 |
-1.02 |
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Camellia |
|
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Ohio |
52 |
39% |
0.69 |
||
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Appalachian State |
-9 |
71 |
61% |
1.203 |
-5.13 |
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Cure |
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San Jose State |
-4.5 |
51 |
54% |
-0.356 |
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Georgia State |
43 |
46% |
0.223 |
-5.79 |
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New Orleans |
|
|
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Arkansas State |
64 |
49% |
1.128 |
||
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Louisiana Tech |
-1 |
66 |
51% |
0.965 |
1.63 |
|
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Miami Beach |
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Western Kentucky |
-4 |
88 |
75% |
2.297 |
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South Florida |
77 |
25% |
1.192 |
11.05 |
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Famous Idaho |
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Akron |
50 |
41% |
0.32 |
||
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Utah State |
-6 |
69 |
59% |
0.956 |
-6.36 |
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Boca Raton |
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Toledo |
79 |
68% |
1.538 |
||
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Temple |
-1 |
77 |
32% |
1.027 |
5.11 |
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Poinsettia |
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Boise State |
-8.5 |
87 |
74% |
1.209 |
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Northern Illinois |
71 |
26% |
0.6 |
6.09 |
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GoDaddy.com |
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|
Georgia Southern |
73 |
25% |
1.052 |
||
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Bowling Green |
-7 |
88 |
75% |
1.744 |
-6.92 |
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Bahamas |
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Middle Tennessee |
62 |
39% |
-0.04 |
||
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Western Michigan |
-2.5 |
71 |
61% |
0.764 |
-8.04 |
|
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Hawaii |
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Cincinnati |
-1 |
70 |
33% |
0.421 |
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San Diego State |
78 |
67% |
1.677 |
-12.56 |
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St.Petersburg |
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Connecticut |
53 |
38% |
0.49 |
||
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Marshall |
-4.5 |
72 |
62% |
1.149 |
-6.59 |
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Sun |
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|
Miami |
70 |
35% |
0.305 |
||
|
Washington State |
-2.5 |
76 |
65% |
0.567 |
-2.62 |
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|
Heart of Dallas |
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Southern Mississippi |
73 |
23% |
1.373 |
||
|
Washington |
-8.5 |
90 |
77% |
1.136 |
2.37 |
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Pinstripe |
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|
Indiana |
-1.5 |
67 |
41% |
0.287 |
|
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Duke |
69 |
59% |
0.231 |
0.56 |
|
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Independence |
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Tulsa |
46 |
36% |
-0.255 |
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Virginia Tech |
-13.5 |
75 |
64% |
0.565 |
-8.2 |
|
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Foster Farm |
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Nebraska |
77 |
26% |
0.8 |
||
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UCLA |
-6 |
86 |
74% |
1 |
-2 |
|
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Military |
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Pittsburgh |
77 |
26% |
0.889 |
||
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Navy |
-5 |
86 |
74% |
1.662 |
-7.73 |
|
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|
Quick Lane |
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Central Michigan |
61 |
45% |
0.315 |
||
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Minnesota |
-5.5 |
64 |
55% |
0.181 |
1.34 |
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Armed Forces |
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Air Force |
68 |
39% |
0.706 |
||
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California |
-6 |
71 |
61% |
0.484 |
2.22 |
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Russell Athletic |
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|
Baylor |
-2.5 |
95 |
81% |
1.645 |
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North Carolina |
92 |
19% |
1.639 |
0.06 |
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Arizona |
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Nevada |
49 |
48% |
-0.293 |
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Colorado State |
-3 |
54 |
52% |
0.42 |
-7.13 |
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Texas |
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Texas Tech |
69 |
29% |
0.316 |
||
|
LSU |
-7.5 |
83 |
71% |
1.213 |
-8.97 |
|
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Birmingham |
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Memphis |
85 |
73% |
1.501 |
||
|
Auburn |
-3 |
73 |
27% |
0.601 |
9 |
|
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|
Belk |
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|
North Carolina State |
79 |
25% |
1.039 |
||
|
Mississippi State |
-5 |
88 |
75% |
1.123 |
-0.84 |
|
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Music City |
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Louisville |
75 |
33% |
0.509 |
||
|
Texas a&m |
-3 |
78 |
67% |
0.873 |
-3.64 |
|
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|
Holiday |
|
|
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|
Wisconsin |
81 |
26% |
1.003 |
||
|
USC |
-3 |
87 |
74% |
1.505 |
-5.02 |
|
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|
Peach |
|
|
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|
Houston |
92 |
15% |
2.074 |
||
|
Florida State |
-6.5 |
99 |
85% |
1.491 |
5.83 |
|
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|
Cotton |
|
|
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|
Michigan State |
100 |
2% |
1.725 |
||
|
Alabama |
-10 |
115 |
98% |
2.128 |
-4.03 |
|
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|
Orange |
|
|
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|
Oklahoma |
-3.5 |
117 |
80% |
2.279 |
|
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Clemson |
104 |
20% |
2.049 |
2.3 |
|
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|
Outback |
|
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|
Tennessee |
-8 |
89 |
76% |
1.438 |
|
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Northwestern |
70 |
24% |
0.632 |
8.06 |
|
|
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|
Citrus |
|
|
|
||
|
Florida |
78 |
27% |
1.271 |
||
|
Michigan |
-4 |
85 |
73% |
1.472 |
-2.01 |
|
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|
Fiesta |
|
|
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|
Notre Dame |
98 |
4% |
1.81 |
||
|
Ohio State |
-6.5 |
112 |
96% |
2.094 |
-2.84 |
|
|
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|
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|
Rose |
|
|
|
||
|
Iowa |
84 |
15% |
1.457 |
||
|
Stanford |
-7 |
100 |
85% |
2.152 |
-6.95 |
|
|
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|
Sugar |
|
|
|
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|
Mississippi |
-6.5 |
93 |
79% |
1.449 |
|
|
Oklahoma State |
84 |
21% |
1.325 |
1.24 |
|
|
|
|
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|
TaxSlayer |
|
|
|
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|
Penn State |
69 |
30% |
0.511 |
||
|
Georgia |
-7 |
82 |
70% |
0.891 |
-3.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
Liberty |
|
|
|
||
|
Kansas State |
66 |
29% |
0.372 |
||
|
Arkansas |
-11 |
83 |
71% |
1.09 |
-7.18 |
|
|
|
|
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|
Alamo |
|
|
|
||
|
TCU |
pk |
98 |
84% |
1.372 |
|
|
Oregon |
90 |
16% |
0.951 |
4.21 |
|
|
|
|
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|
Cactus |
|
|
|
||
|
West Virginia |
86 |
74% |
1.013 |
||
|
Arizona State |
-1 |
75 |
26% |
0.739 |
2.74 |
|
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