What You Need to Know to #win Tuesday Night, #DraftKings #FantasyBaseball

…But First…

The Jets had five takeaways in their 20-7 win in Indianapolis on Monday, three of which were by Darrelle Revis, who recovered two Colts fumbles and intercepted an Andrew Luck pass. Revis had never before had three takeaways in one game. This is after last week when the Browns had five turnovers in the season opener. The Jets are the first team since the 1992 Steelers to have five takeaways in each of their first two games of a season. The Steelers did that in Bill Cowher’s first two games as their head coach – is history repeating with Todd Bowles?

Aside from the Jets looking legit – Indy NEEDS an offensive line.  Luck looked uncomfortable all night and made weird mistakes – some of that has to be attributed to the Jets, but I’m going with the hot-mess upfront.  For those freaking out about Andrew, let’s breathe for a moment – this is not a Drew Brees situation – this is a QB with what was and still is a suspect line that played two quality defenses, back-to-back.  Next up is Tennessee, I’m prettay, prettaaay sure all will be normal for Luck after week 3.  If not, then we can have a full-blown freakout.

As for Gang Green, the D appears to be strong and with Chan Gailey dialing up plays for the Denver Jets, this game could have been a lot worse – Decker and Marshall, each with a touchdown and almost 200yds receiving between them.  Revis Island seems to be a non-vacation spot again and Sheldon Richardson comes back soon to join an already impressive front line.


#NFL week 2 is in the books and it was another successful week and also for those that follow us.  We are still continuing to update+add features to our site – so check it out and join us at theDiRTCanon.com – let us teach you how to #win!!!

Here are week 2’s Perfect Lineups:

Fanduel

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DraftKings

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It’s almost post-season baseball time and with a full-slab of games on tap tonight, it seems like “Revenge of the Lefties” –  we got a lot to get to with SEA+CHC stack ideas and TAM RHB+BOS LHB  – so let’s get it on!

Heaviest Favorites – according to Vegas

Logan Verrett vs. Atlanta Braves (-261) – Raise your hand if you saw this one…Verrett has become a spot start extraordinaire, as his one mission in life is to preserve the innings of Matt Harvey and Jacob deGrom.  A tall task indeed, but something that Verrett thus far, has done successfully. Coming into tonight, Verrett owns a 2.89 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP in just two starts. Verrett has pitched only 37 innings this season, but he looks like he’s locked in. Getting a matchup tonight against the Braves is about as good as you could ask for with Verrett. He’s going to cost you next to nothing, priced at just $4,500. Even if Verrett only goes five solid innings, he will certainly be worth the price of admission. Verrett has only allowed two runs in his two starts this season and his looked great in doing so. Without much to go on in the majors, Verrett is someone who’s shown in a short amount of time that he can be a viable option for you tonight. I mean really, can you complain about a pitcher that is just above the minimum?cropped-logo_1260147_print-1-e14180934753933.png

John Lackey vs. Cincinnati Reds (-210) – We’ve seen plenty of this, this season, as Lackey gets a start against the Reds. Lackey enters tonight with a 2.79 ERA to go with a 1.22 WHIP and a K/9 of 7. Going against a team that owns a .316 wOBA in the second half of the season with a K% of 20.8%, Lackey looks primed for another solid start. Owning a career best ERA at this time, Lackey goes against a Reds team who he dominated two starts ago. In that matchup, Lackey went seven innings, giving up two runs on seven hits while striking out 10, scoring 25.8 in that start. His price tag certainly matches his production, as I think this is the highest I’ve seen it for Lackey at $10,300.  As the fourth most expensive pitcher on the night, I think Lackey would need some serious consideration to be in your lineup tonight. If you’re thinking about rostering Verrett, you have no excuse to not fit ANY pitcher going tonight, seeing as how much you’ll be saving with his $4,500 price tag.

Lance McCullers vs. LA Angels (-170) – I’ve been a big fan of McCullers since he’s got the call to the big leagues. Coming into tonight, McCullers owns a 3.18 ERA to go with a 1.22 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.9. McCullers gets matched up with a truly weak Angels lineup, a lineup that owns a .291 wOBA in the second half of the season, good for the lowest in the league besides the Braves. A truly baffling stat if you think about the amount of talent this team possesses. They’ve kept the strikeouts down, which of course is disappointing to hear if you’re rostering an opposing pitcher like McCullers. Their 19.5 K% ranks 22nd in the league. However, at this point, the Angels are entering a territory where no matter who is starting against them, you should at least give them a look. Out of sheer curiosity, I looked up what the Angels have done over the past week, and things don’t get much better. The Angels own a .310 wOBA over the last seven day with a 20.6 K%. Things aren’t looking up for the Halos. With a nice price of $9,400, McCullers should be another pitcher you should look at.

Top Overall Game per O/U

Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies 11 Over/Under – The Rockies remain at home, so we’re lucky enough to talk about how they’re the highest projected run total of the day, again. This matchup intrigues me. We have a leftie on leftie matchup, with both teams not exactly hitting LHP all that well. On the season, the Pirates own a .306 wOBA against lefties, which ranks 20th in the league. The Rockies are at .283 which is LAST in the league for wOBA. Soooooo, what should we do here? If this game was at Pittsburgh, I would be loading up on Happ like he was shotgun shells during a zombie-apocalypse. But we have to give some respect to Coors Field here. Can the Rockies overcome their woes against lefties with their home field advantage? It truly brings up a tough question. Overall, I don’t think Happ is someone that should scare you off too much. He has his stretches which he pitches great, but also can do the complete opposite in a heartbeat, evident by his 3.84 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. I think if anything, if you want to play it safe tonight, the Pirates will be the way to go. Rusin owns a 5.11 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP. This will be quite the strange game in Coors tonight, one that you might want to watch.

Toughest Pitcher L/R matchup

  • Left handed batters
    • Jake Arrieta CHC (LwOBA .213)
    • Lance McCullers HOU (LwOBA .265)
    • Martin Perez TEX (LwOBA .266)
  • Right handed batters
    • Jake Arrieta CHC (RwOBA .248)
    • Marco Estrada TOR (RwOBA .264)
    • Sean Nolin OAK (RwOBA .269)

Easiest Pitcher L/R matchup

  • Left handed batters
    • Tyler Cravy MIL (LwOBA .403)
    • Henry Owens BOS (LwOBA .403)
  • Right handed batters
    • Matt Moore TAM (RwOBA .396)
    • Tyler Cravy MIL (RwOBA .369)

All Pitcher Stats

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Hottest Hitters – last 7 days

  • Jorge Soler CHC – DiRT Canon Value127.44
  • Dioner Navarro TOR – DiRT Canon Value117.31
  • Franklin Gutierrez SEA – DiRT Canon Value111.10
  • Omar Infante KC – DiRT Canon Value108.40
  • Deven Marrero BOS – DiRT Canon Value108.20
  • Drew Stubbs TEX – DiRT Canon Value107.34

Other notables:  Tommy Pham: 12-22, 4HRs, 9 RBI, 10 runs scored – Anthony Rizzo: 12-28, HR, 7RBI, 2SB, 6 runs scored – Xander Bogaerts: 9-24, 2HRs, 7 RBI, 1SB, 7 runs scored

Best BvP matchup Tonight

David Ortiz vs. Matt Moore- Ortiz will always remember Moore, the man who gave up his 500th home run. The reason alone, Ortiz will always crush Moore when he’s on the mound. What stats back that up? Zero. That was just a hot take. Good one, eh? Ok, Ortiz is 8-18 against Moore with five extra base hits, three of them being home runs (including a 500th) and a 1.529 OPS.

Brian Dozier vs. Danny Salazar-  Dozier has seen Salazar in a small sample, but he’s done quite well for himself in that time. Dozier is 8-15 against Salazar with five extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.722 OPS.

Miguel Cabrera vs. Jose Quintana- I was talking about this the other day.  He never seems to take advantage of his superior matchups anymore.  Everytime I put him here, or take him, he does not justify his salary. If it wasn’t for the high batting average for Cabrera, could you consider this season a bust for him? I’m leaning towards yes.  At the least, he has a good matchup tonight against Quintana, who he’s 11-30 against with five extra base hits, one of them being a home run, and a 1.041 OPS.  Which he could duplicate if you did not take him, so….you’re move Miggy.


Weather

We seem to be getting the ALL CLEAR sign tonight


Top 4 by Position – in no particular order

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A Pitcher To Consider

Danny Salazar ($11,100) – Salazar has two things I look for when picking my starting pitching for the night. A weak offense, and a high strike out ceiling. Check and check. Facing the Twins tonight, Salazar is certainly in line for a quality start in this one. The Twins own a .307 wOBA in the second half of the season, good for 26th in the league. Add on the fact that they also have the 3rd highest K% in that same time span at 22.7 and you suddenly have a good start lined up. Salazar comes into tonight with a 9.7 K/9 on the season, which has me licking my chops for this one. After a couple of disaster starts for Salazar against Detroit, which saw him give up nine runs in nine innings, he bounced back nicely against the Royals. In that start, Salazar went seven innings giving up one run on four hits while striking out six, which is impressive, as the Royals are the toughest team in the league to strikeout. Even with the expensive price tag, Salazar is certainly worth the price of admission with this start tonight. I mean, you can always pair him with Logan Verrett.

Worth Considering

Matt Carpenter ($4900) –Carpenter, going against Keyvius Sampson, batting leadoff. I could end it right here if I wanted to. But, I’ll give you my reasons. Carpenter batting leadoff against a pitcher who’s allowing a .430 wOBA to left handed batters is a huge reason in itself. Carpenter hits right handed pitching well, with a .328 wOBA and an ISO of .233. In a game that should provide plenty of offense for the Cardinals, Carpenter is in a perfect positon tonight to be a table setter. He’s been hitting extremely well lately and I don’t see that slowing down tonight.

Save $$$…

Mikie Mahtook ($3100) –Mahtook (LSU) has been fantastic since his callup. Batting .289 with four home runs and nine RBIs in his short stint in the majors is about as much as you can ask for (unless your Tommy Pham.) Mahtook hit left handed pitching really well and faces Henry Owens tonight. Owens does fairly well against righties, with a .303 wOBA. However, it’s the .403 wOBA against lefties for Mahtook that really entices me. He’s dirt cheap and his some pop in his bat, something I like to target with my low tiered priced guys. I think you could find a way to squeeze Mahtook into your lineup


The Rest by Position

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What You Need to Know for Tuesday Night Baseball

Before the NFL gets cranked up, we here at the DiRT Canon are going to provide you a cheat-sheet, if you will, of the full slate of games on Tuesdays and Fridays.  So here we go with the new roll out, let us know your thoughts and get ready for some exciting news in the next few days, that’ll get you pumped for football!

Heaviest Favorites – according to Vegas

Matt Harvey v. Colorado Rockies (-230) – Are the Rockies now the Phillies in Vegas’ eyes?  Since the trade-deadline, they have seemingly appeared here a lot.  Tonight the Rockies get Matt Harvey, who comes into tonight with a overall value number of 4.277 with a SO/inning of 1.889.  Harvey appears to be back as the pitcher we are used to seeing, and against RHB’s is giving up only .234 in weighted on-base average.  In the last two weeks, the Rockies have struck out more than any team, during that span – probably because of Drew Stubbs and Brandon Barnes.  Harvey will not be cheap, as he is the third most expensive pitcher tonight at $10,900. However, you never know with Colorado, he could be worth a 20 spot.

Drew Hutchison v. Oakland A’s (-185) – Another team that is struggling to hit the ball lately, is Oakland.  Wins are never a good indicator of a pitchers performance and Drew is a good example at 10-2.  His value tonight is 4.148, but he struggles to strikeout lefties and against righties he is a very expoitable .384 wOBA – second highest.  Oakland in the last two weeks has gone to worst in weighted on-base average at .274.  So considering that Oakland is hard to strikeout a lot, and they are playing in Toronto, yo have to think about the value of Drew at $5,700.  At that price you could expect a chance at 15pts and afford a hitter with greater upside.

Erasmo Ramirez v. Atlanta Braves (-180) – Erasmo enters the night below 4 in value at 3.767 and that could be an alarm.  But, at $5,800 there is some potential value here.  Erasmo at home is a very good .272 wOBA and against lefties, .261 wOBA.  For Atlanta, that means the only dangerous guys to get to Erasmo are likely Cameron Maybin or Chris Johnson.  I am not saying this is the steal of the century, but with a 1.56 SO/inning it is something to consider.

Top Overall Game per O/U

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Chase Field) – [O/U 9] – Hellickson in his last few starts has been a solid pitcher, but when he is named in the highest run total projected by Vegas, you should shy away.  The Blue Jays and A’s are close with 8.5.  So this becomes more of someone you could really exploit and that guy is David Buchanan.  If he was a train, he would be wrecked.  It doesn’t matter if your left or right, you can hand out free tattoos on the guy and the way certain D’backs play at home, an Arizona stack could be a nice play here.

Worst Pitcher L/R matchup

  • Left handed batters
    • Zack Greinke LAD (LwOBA .241)
    • Carlos Rodon CWS (LwOBA .255)
    • Hector Santiago LAA (LwOBA .257)
  • Right handed batters
    • Matt Harvey NYM (RwOBA .234)
    • Zack Greinke LAD (RwOBA .210)
    • Taylor Jungmann MIL (RwOBA .240)

Best Pitcher L/R matchup

  • Left handed batters
    • Michael Lorenzen CIN (LwOBA .437)
    • David Buchanan PHI (LwOBA .428)
  • Right handed batters
    • Carlos Rodon CWS (RwOBA .394)
    • Anibal Sanchez DET (RwOBA .363)

All Pitcher Stats

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Hottest Hitters – last 7 days

  • Andrew McCutchen PIT – DiRT Canon Value – 101.34
  • Josh Donaldson TOR – DiRT Canon Value – 84.11
  • Matt Carpenter STL – DiRT Canon Value – 84.10
  • Ryan Zimmerman WAS – DiRT Canon Value – 84.68
  • Danny Valencia OAK – DiRT Canon Value – 87.67
  • Francisco Cervelli PIT – DiRT Canon Value – 82.91

Other notables:  Ian Desmond is 8 for 23, with 3 HR’s and 6 RBI, 6 runs scored and 3 stolen bases – Khris Davis is 8 for 22 with 4 HR’s, 12 RBI and 5 runs scored.

2nd Base BvP matchup Tonight

Robinson Cano vs. Chris Tillman- Cano is 12-29 against him with three extra base hits, two of those being home runs, and a 1.124 OPS.

Jose Altuve vs. Madison Bumgarner – Altuve hasn’t seen much of Bumgarner, but he has some decent success against him. Altuve is 5-14 with a home run and a .929 OPS against the Giants’ ace.

Neil Walker vs. Carlos Martinez- Three of the hits off Martinez, went for extra bases with two of them being home runs. Add that to a 1.231 OPS.


Weather

The Rockies and New York Mets have a threat of rain during their game tonight. It shouldn’t be enough to cancel, but it could disrupt their play. Watch this one closely.


A Pitcher To Consider

Taylor Jungmann ($8700) – Jungmann is good. He has some stuff that can get batters out, sprinkled in with some strikeouts and you could be hitting a gold mine for $8700. Truly, you can’t beat his price. It amazes me he’s still as low as he is. Tonight, Jungmann gets the strikeout happy Cubs, who have the highest strikeout % in the league for the past month at 23.8. Jungmann comes into tonight’s start with a 2.26 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and 61 strikeouts in 71 innings. His wOBA against righties is fantastic at .249 with a .300 against lefties. He’s done a fantastic job with keeping the ball in the park, giving up only two home runs on the season. Against a team that is struggling with power over the past month, 23rd during that time, and their struggles offensively as a whole, Jungmann is going to be REALLY tough to pass up at $8700.

Worth Considering

AJ Pollock ($4700) – Pollock gets that matchup against David Buchanan and his .362 wOBA against righties. Pollock has been solid this season, coming in with a .306 average with 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and an .820 OPS. Averaging 8.8 points per game, Pollock has been hitting well against RHP this season. Entering tonight, Pollock is hitting .306 against them with nine of his 11 home runs on the season. If you want to get a bit more advanced, that’s good for a .361 wOBA with a .164 ISO against RHP. With how poorly Buchanan is pitching this season, Pollock sounds like a great option in your outfield tonight.

Save $$$…

Cesar Hernandez ($3400) – Hernandez continues to dwell in the lower tiered pricing on DraftKings, while he continues to rack up the points. He’s been a double digit scoring machine lately, with four out of his last five games. Enticed yet? He’s always a threat to steal a bag, with 14 of his 17 coming off RHP. His wOBA against righties sits a .311 on the season, which just continues to trend upward. Hernandez is not a power threat, with only one home runs on the season, but his ability to get on base, .342 vs righties, and his ability to swipe a bag, is always something you’d want to shoot for with these low priced players.


 

The Rest by Position

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