What You Need to Know for Tuesday Night Baseball

Before the NFL gets cranked up, we here at the DiRT Canon are going to provide you a cheat-sheet, if you will, of the full slate of games on Tuesdays and Fridays.  So here we go with the new roll out, let us know your thoughts and get ready for some exciting news in the next few days, that’ll get you pumped for football!

Heaviest Favorites – according to Vegas

Matt Harvey v. Colorado Rockies (-230) – Are the Rockies now the Phillies in Vegas’ eyes?  Since the trade-deadline, they have seemingly appeared here a lot.  Tonight the Rockies get Matt Harvey, who comes into tonight with a overall value number of 4.277 with a SO/inning of 1.889.  Harvey appears to be back as the pitcher we are used to seeing, and against RHB’s is giving up only .234 in weighted on-base average.  In the last two weeks, the Rockies have struck out more than any team, during that span – probably because of Drew Stubbs and Brandon Barnes.  Harvey will not be cheap, as he is the third most expensive pitcher tonight at $10,900. However, you never know with Colorado, he could be worth a 20 spot.

Drew Hutchison v. Oakland A’s (-185) – Another team that is struggling to hit the ball lately, is Oakland.  Wins are never a good indicator of a pitchers performance and Drew is a good example at 10-2.  His value tonight is 4.148, but he struggles to strikeout lefties and against righties he is a very expoitable .384 wOBA – second highest.  Oakland in the last two weeks has gone to worst in weighted on-base average at .274.  So considering that Oakland is hard to strikeout a lot, and they are playing in Toronto, yo have to think about the value of Drew at $5,700.  At that price you could expect a chance at 15pts and afford a hitter with greater upside.

Erasmo Ramirez v. Atlanta Braves (-180) – Erasmo enters the night below 4 in value at 3.767 and that could be an alarm.  But, at $5,800 there is some potential value here.  Erasmo at home is a very good .272 wOBA and against lefties, .261 wOBA.  For Atlanta, that means the only dangerous guys to get to Erasmo are likely Cameron Maybin or Chris Johnson.  I am not saying this is the steal of the century, but with a 1.56 SO/inning it is something to consider.

Top Overall Game per O/U

Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Chase Field) – [O/U 9] – Hellickson in his last few starts has been a solid pitcher, but when he is named in the highest run total projected by Vegas, you should shy away.  The Blue Jays and A’s are close with 8.5.  So this becomes more of someone you could really exploit and that guy is David Buchanan.  If he was a train, he would be wrecked.  It doesn’t matter if your left or right, you can hand out free tattoos on the guy and the way certain D’backs play at home, an Arizona stack could be a nice play here.

Worst Pitcher L/R matchup

  • Left handed batters
    • Zack Greinke LAD (LwOBA .241)
    • Carlos Rodon CWS (LwOBA .255)
    • Hector Santiago LAA (LwOBA .257)
  • Right handed batters
    • Matt Harvey NYM (RwOBA .234)
    • Zack Greinke LAD (RwOBA .210)
    • Taylor Jungmann MIL (RwOBA .240)

Best Pitcher L/R matchup

  • Left handed batters
    • Michael Lorenzen CIN (LwOBA .437)
    • David Buchanan PHI (LwOBA .428)
  • Right handed batters
    • Carlos Rodon CWS (RwOBA .394)
    • Anibal Sanchez DET (RwOBA .363)

All Pitcher Stats

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Hottest Hitters – last 7 days

  • Andrew McCutchen PIT – DiRT Canon Value – 101.34
  • Josh Donaldson TOR – DiRT Canon Value – 84.11
  • Matt Carpenter STL – DiRT Canon Value – 84.10
  • Ryan Zimmerman WAS – DiRT Canon Value – 84.68
  • Danny Valencia OAK – DiRT Canon Value – 87.67
  • Francisco Cervelli PIT – DiRT Canon Value – 82.91

Other notables:  Ian Desmond is 8 for 23, with 3 HR’s and 6 RBI, 6 runs scored and 3 stolen bases – Khris Davis is 8 for 22 with 4 HR’s, 12 RBI and 5 runs scored.

2nd Base BvP matchup Tonight

Robinson Cano vs. Chris Tillman- Cano is 12-29 against him with three extra base hits, two of those being home runs, and a 1.124 OPS.

Jose Altuve vs. Madison Bumgarner – Altuve hasn’t seen much of Bumgarner, but he has some decent success against him. Altuve is 5-14 with a home run and a .929 OPS against the Giants’ ace.

Neil Walker vs. Carlos Martinez- Three of the hits off Martinez, went for extra bases with two of them being home runs. Add that to a 1.231 OPS.


Weather

The Rockies and New York Mets have a threat of rain during their game tonight. It shouldn’t be enough to cancel, but it could disrupt their play. Watch this one closely.


A Pitcher To Consider

Taylor Jungmann ($8700) – Jungmann is good. He has some stuff that can get batters out, sprinkled in with some strikeouts and you could be hitting a gold mine for $8700. Truly, you can’t beat his price. It amazes me he’s still as low as he is. Tonight, Jungmann gets the strikeout happy Cubs, who have the highest strikeout % in the league for the past month at 23.8. Jungmann comes into tonight’s start with a 2.26 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and 61 strikeouts in 71 innings. His wOBA against righties is fantastic at .249 with a .300 against lefties. He’s done a fantastic job with keeping the ball in the park, giving up only two home runs on the season. Against a team that is struggling with power over the past month, 23rd during that time, and their struggles offensively as a whole, Jungmann is going to be REALLY tough to pass up at $8700.

Worth Considering

AJ Pollock ($4700) – Pollock gets that matchup against David Buchanan and his .362 wOBA against righties. Pollock has been solid this season, coming in with a .306 average with 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and an .820 OPS. Averaging 8.8 points per game, Pollock has been hitting well against RHP this season. Entering tonight, Pollock is hitting .306 against them with nine of his 11 home runs on the season. If you want to get a bit more advanced, that’s good for a .361 wOBA with a .164 ISO against RHP. With how poorly Buchanan is pitching this season, Pollock sounds like a great option in your outfield tonight.

Save $$$…

Cesar Hernandez ($3400) – Hernandez continues to dwell in the lower tiered pricing on DraftKings, while he continues to rack up the points. He’s been a double digit scoring machine lately, with four out of his last five games. Enticed yet? He’s always a threat to steal a bag, with 14 of his 17 coming off RHP. His wOBA against righties sits a .311 on the season, which just continues to trend upward. Hernandez is not a power threat, with only one home runs on the season, but his ability to get on base, .342 vs righties, and his ability to swipe a bag, is always something you’d want to shoot for with these low priced players.


 

The Rest by Position

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In the DiRT

For my money the Greatest President of all time, who wrote the greatest speech ever orated about the principles of Nationalism, Republicanism, Equal Rights, Liberty and Democracy – some have sang our National Anthem longer than it took Lincoln to give the Gettysburg Address:

Four score and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation, conceived in liberty, and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal.

Now we are engaged in a great civil war, testing whether that nation, or any nation so conceived and so dedicated, can long endure. We are met on a great battlefield of that war. We have come to dedicate a portion of that field, as a final resting place for those who here gave their lives that that nation might live. It is altogether fitting and proper that we should do this.

But, in a larger sense, we can not dedicate, we can not consecrate, we can not hallow this ground. The brave men, living and dead, who struggled here, have consecrated it, far above our poor power to add or detract. The world will little note, nor long remember what we say here, but it can never forget what they did here. It is for us the living, rather, to be dedicated here to the unfinished work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced. It is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us—that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion—that we here highly resolve that these dead shall not have died in vain—that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom—and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.

So it is on this day, 150 years ago tonight, that Abraham Lincoln was shot at Ford’s Theater.  Assassinated by a Confederate sympathizer named John Wilkes Booth, 5 days after Robert E Lee surrendered at Appomattox in the afternoon of April 9th.

In our postmodern, multicultural life that dilutes prominence as a concept – Lincoln is a fading lion, symptomatic of our fading confidence in our national greatness – Instead, Lincoln should be remembered as an icon, a symbol that inspires and guides our duties in American life.

and if he were alive today, he might just let us all know how he feels about life in San Dimas


 

For baseball today, it seems we have 5 games that Vegas projects to have 8 or more runs scored.  Those being NYY @ BAL (8), TB @ TOR (8.5), CHW @ CLE (8), OAK @ HOU (8.5) and LAA @ TEX (9).  So choose some of those righty/lefty matchups in those games to give your lineup a punch.  Here are some guys to consider for those that have the best matchups today:

  • Chase Utley 2B PHI
  • Leonys Martin OF TEX
  • Shin-Soo Choo OF TEX
  • Adrian Beltre 3B TEX
  • Matt Joyce OF LAA
  • Kole Calhoun OF LAA
  • Eric Sogard 2B OAK
  • Luis Valbuena 3B HOU
  • Colby Rasmus OF HOU
  • Jose Altuve 2B HOU
  • Evan Longoria 3B TB
  • Asdrubel Cabrera SS TB
  • Desmond Jennings OF TB
  • Jose Reyes SS TOR
  • Buster Posey C SF
  • Gregor Blanco OF SF

 

  • other players with good matchups are:
    • Hanley Ramirez OF BOS 5-16 with 2 doubles, 1HR, 2RBI, 3BB v Strasburg
    • Jose Lobatan C WAS 2-5 with 2RBI, 3BB v Masterson
    • Adam Jones OF BAL 17-56 with 4 doubles, 1 triple, 3HR, 12RBI, 4BB v CC Sabathia
    • Manny Machado 3B BAL 6-20 with 3 doubles, 5RBI v CC Sabathia
    • Carlos Beltran OF NYY 3-3 with 1 double, 1HR, 1RBI v Gonzalez
    • Brian McCann C NYY 2-8 with 1HR, 1RBI v Gonzalez
    • Michael Brantley OF CLE 10-20 with 3 doubles, 1HR, 5RBI, 2BB v J.Quintana
    • Joey Votto 1B CIN is on fire hitting in the two hole so far and is a lefty/righty matchup v Arrieta.

For Pitchers go with Matt Harvey of the Mets and DeSclafani of the Reds.

DK_41415_MLB

as an example

We play DraftKings because it is a better product for baseball with more points and no negative scoring.  Play along with us and sign up here:

 

 

Abstract DiRT

You begin to wonder sometimes, is there any redemption in parlaying your earnings into a bigger pile – there is – but bigger than that is the effort and time that was put in to solve a rubik’s cube of information to create winning lineups for the Daily Fantasy delights.  We’ve done that.  We win.  It’s that simple.  We can show you the analytics, the reports, the lineup combinations and the question becomes – will you play?  No one provides the detail, the information, the exactness of projections like we do – not FanDuel, not Draftkings and defintely not all those other slack-jawed yokels.  Play along with us, use us, we give you the info for free (for now) – you see our results and it’s time for you to build yours.  We are working on baseball next and will have something big before football starts.  But the question is, will you be one of the fore-runners, or sit back with a case of the s’posed-ta’s wondering which membership plan is for you?  Contact us today and join us on the ground floor….Now on to the DiRT


1.

Basketball is a dangerous sport.  These Redwood Gladiators are constantly in peril from the razor-like-bucket.  It could explain why the Center position is fading away along with post-moves.  The hoop is dangerous, as Hassan Whiteside found out last night trying to block one of the Flying Plumlee’s.  Mr. Whiteside needed 10 stitches to close the wound between his middle and ring fingers he described as pretty bad because, “he could see the meat.”  With a handful of games remaining and Miami fighting for their playoff lives, they have to hope he comes back soon – regardless of how many times he #ActaFool.

But that was the smallest event that happened between the Heat and the Bucks.  You see the Bucks were down 11 and stormed back, down two, with eight seconds left.  Chaos ensues, and the Bucks of Milwaukee now hold a 2.5 game lead on the Heat for the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference.  If Milwaukee lost, their lead would have been just half-a-game.  If you read our NBA DiRTy plays you would have had Khris Middleton and Zaza Pachulia who did this:


2.

We’ve talked alot about karmic responsibility the last couple of days and then that happened.  The Fresno Grizzlies created a promotional campaign around “Back to the Future” and were planning on giving away W.S. rings.  Then someone must have forwarded one of our posts and they pulled the promotion – saying they do not want to be a “jinx“.  It’s out there Jerry, you can not take it back in this modern instagram-world.  You should have thought about that before you got the hopes up in Fresno.  But can you really blame the Astros affiliate – afterall, Sports Illustrated published this last year, in June.

The ‘Stros do have a lot of talent and if you can, watch George Springer, Jose Altuve, Dallas Keuchel or Chris Carter.  They also have two talented prospects waiting to debut like Carlos Correa and Mark Appel.  The Houston Astros will continue to get better and they have the makings of a really talented contender – if they can keep everyone (like the Utah Jazz).  But the Karmic wheel-O-justice spins for thee and you can book it now – the Astros will not win the World Series in 2017 – no one say anything else.


3.

The Oakland Dog – available at Oakland A’s spring training facility in Mesa, AZ – A hot dog topped with mac and cheese, green chiles and bacon. No word yet if they are planning on selling this in Oakland.

Gone are the days of getting just a hot dog and a beer.  The tide shifted years ago when ballparks began offering sushi or upscale dining to go with normal ballpark fare.  Every year it seems we get some place kickin’ it up a notch – here’s what some items are on the menu for 2015 around the country, see if you notice a theme.

  • Texas Rangers“Just Bacon” food stand – They will have an actual stand in the ballpark, dedicated to nothing but bacon.  They’ll sell candied bacon in a mini-helmet, bacon-cotton-candy and even bacon-beer.  Even if you are not riding the ‘everything-bacon’ wave – you’ve got to try a bacon beer right? for science?
  • Texas Rangers – The S’mOreo – A deep fried marshamallow surrounded by two deep fried oreos topped with chocolate sauce and whipped cream.  It’s almost bite-sized, so six of them could get eaten before you know what happened.
  • Texas RangersChicken-Fried-Corn-on-the-Cob – Again in Texas, this time they take corn, slather it with buttermilk batter before dropping it into the fryer.  Sounds like another challenge that must be washed down with a cold Bacon Beer – it just seems wrong, but you must do it for science.
  • Arizona DiamondbacksChurro Dog – Remember when the D’bags gave us the 18″ corn-dog stuffed with cheese, jalapenos and bacon.  This year they want us to finish off the D-Bat dog with a low-cal desert: a churro, nestled in a donut bun, topped with frozen-yogurt, whipped cream, chocolate sauce and caramel.  Low-cal because they used frozen-yogurt – thinking of the extra calories they are saving us by not using the iced-cream – at 1100 calories, it’s a nice gesture.
  • Wilmington Blue RocksDonut Dog – This minor league team got with Krispy Kreme to create a Krispy Kreme glazed donut bun that hugs a hot dog, topped with rasberry jam and bacon.  A modern day Monte Cristo sandwich.  Get your friends to try it first.
  • Wisconsin Timber-RattlersBig Mother Funnel Burger – Placing meat in desert-type-cakes seems to be the new thang and in Wisconsin we have another.  We have a bacon-cheeseburger between two funnel-cakes.  The question for all you gastro-engineers is: how well does the structure of the funnel-cake hold up to the grease of the bacon cheeseburger? #Murica!
  • Wisconsin Timber-RattlersGrilled Cheese Bacon Cheeseburger – Just like it sounds, a bacon cheeseburger with grilled cheese sammiches for buns.  Throw in some onions and a side of ranch for dipping and someone might scream RoadTrip.
  • Lehigh Valley Iron PigsPork Parfait – It’s a meat mirage disguised as a desert – it’s like Thanksgiving in a cup, if Thanksgiving had pork.  This meat-parfait is layered with mashed potatoes, pulled pork, cheese sauce and green onions – all made to look like its a desert.  So confusing…
  • Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs2-foot long hot dog – This needs a real name and might need a NC-17 rating, because no one should be allowed to hold that much meat in your hand without some sort of supervision.  This tube-monster is topped with chili, beer cheese, bacon and onion straws.  You can have it cut into 4, 6″ pieces, to share, or make you feel better about yourself stuffing your face with all that meat at once, alone.
  • Oklahoma City DodgersOreo Churros – it’s a chocolatey churro with a side of oreo cream dipping sauce – that is science right there. (no picture, just imagine…)
  • The West Michigan Whitecaps are holding a contest for fans to vote one of the items to the ballpark menu.  Here are some of the choices:

    #1 – French Fry Pizza #2 – Cotton Candy Curveball (twinkie wrapped in cotton candy) #3 – Kat Dog (Kit-Kat inside a hot dog) #4 – Weenie Panini

    Other items are Crispy Pig Chips (nachos with pork-rinds), Hot-toTot (tater-tots with buffalo chicken and bleu cheese), and a hot dog in a hallowed out pickle, deep fried.


NOT A SAINT…

You can’t spell Sharper without “Rapes”

This week, news broke that Darren Sharper has agreed to sign a new long term deal with Arizona.  Terms are undisclosed but rumors are, it is for at least 9 years.  Darren Sharper still has offers pending in Louisiana, Nevada and California and could become the 1st player in the Federal Penal League to play for several teams.

This is one of those situations that the entitled, priveledged athlete, convicted of barbarism, should be shipped off to Papillon with the other socio and psychopaths in the world, to live their end of days, together.  Prison shows no mercy to child-molesters and rapists – in Hell you will remember the sins of the flesh.