Teaching You How to #Win – Public Picks/Hot Hands/Tourney Selections #NFL Week 5

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Public Picks

This is a new segment for us to cover this year. Currently FanDuel and Draftkings won’t tell you who the public is on for this week’s contests. There is a reason for that from their perspective but from ours, we love it. While we cannot tell you specifically which site has which figures as that would violate our partnership agreement with each company, we can tell you based on the NFL.com, Perfect Lineup challenge, who the public is on. Yet another reason why you only need to come to our site for all of your Daily Fantasy information.Public_Picks_wk6

  • QB – Tom Brady 43.0%
  • RB – Devonta Freeman 64.2%
  • WR – DeAndre Hopkins 40.3%
  • TE – Rob Gronkowski 62.4%
  • K – Stephen Gostkowski 37.7%
  • DEF – Denver 45.5%

Can you take all of these and still fill out a lineup, probably not but come check out our lineup analyzer and build your winning lineup with our high quality analysis here.


Hottest Players

Current top 5 performers for both FanDuel and Draftkings!

fanduel

  1. Tom Brady 26.0 – $9,000
  2. Antonio Gates 25.7$5,500
  3. Devonta Freeman 24.9 – $8,000
  4. Andy Dalton 23.6$7,600
  5. Le’Veon Bell 22.6 – $9,000

draftkings

  1. Antonio Gates 30.2 – $4,600
  2. Devonta Freeman 28.5 – $6,300
  3. Tom Brady 27.7$8,100
  4. Le’Veon Bell 27.6 $8,500
  5. Julio Jones 27.3 – $9,200

Based on this information, if you were to come over here, to our lineup analyze you can see what recommendations you have by entering most, if not all of these players and see how you do.  They have certainly been the top performers thus far.  Throughout the week, I have continued to provide enhanced information about who to take this week.  Obviously, Freeman has already played and he sure did continue his hot streak! For this week, I would take Tom Brady from this list or Andy Dalton at QB. For my running back, I like Andrews this week, very cheap and should be a 20+ fantasy player this weekend. At wide out, I like DeAndre Hopkins.  I think he has a shot at 40 points on Sunday. Check back on Sunday morning before the games and I will give you my final selection along with lineup recommendations for the week.


 

Tournament Suggestions

I wanted to add a section this weekend to our list and that is tournament suggestions.  I have received your feedback and one of the things that all of you keep asking is, “What tournaments should I play in?” The short answer is that as you continue to play and save your lineups with us, we are building your player profile so we can make automated suggestions in the future for you. So in the interim time frame, you can come here, to our strategy section and I will highlight some contests each week for you to take a look at:

  1. Always put one entry into the main contest for $25, so you have a shot at the Million
  2. Play 2 double up contests for every main contest you enter at the same price.  So if you play the $5 challenge, then play two $5 double up contests, this will ensure that you are making some money and the main contest entry is gravy on top.
  3. Play one head to head challenge, this is your best odds of winning.
  4. Always enter the prime time challenge and the Mon-Thu challenge because you are only picking from 4 teams, options are limited but low risk and high reward for these contests.

Good Luck this weekend, come back tomorrow as we will provide our expert picks at 9:30 a.m. MST on Sunday mornings from now on!


What You Need To Know: Tuesday

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Click – to see for yourself

1. Did Phillip Rivers Just Punch a Bird?

In what may be the second greatest mystery of the internet, just behind that white dress, that wasn’t really white – we have this – Did Phillip Rivers punch a bird…in mid-air?  No, because that would have been amazing and near impossible.  I had to watch it 20 times myself to realize, it’s only a glove.  Another mystery solved, eh Scoob?

Aside from that, the Monday Night Football Game was a great one for 15min – the last 15min – the previous 45min was enough to make a man want to retire in mid-season, (more on that below).  But the action in the 4th quarter was outstanding and the finish…Woo Hoo.  How about those cajones for Mike Tomlin with five seconds left? #Brass.  Way to pull out your inner-Les Miles, Mike – for the Chargers, that’s a heart-breaker.

Considering, Philip Rivers threw for 365 yards against the Steelers in a losing effort, completing two touchdown passes, both to Antonio Gates, playing in his 1st game back from a suspension—(Rivers has now thrown 74 touchdown passes to Gates in their 12 years together as Chargers teammates. That’s the most TD passes from a QB to a teammate in Chargers history, as well as the highest career total for any quarterback to a tight end. Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski rank second on that latter list, having hooked up for 57 TD passes in their six seasons together on the Patriots)—The Packers know how you feel Chargers, because the last time a Monday Football game ended on the last play in regulation was this:


2. This Post-Season has been En Fuego!

Awww New York.  The best revenge is to score a lot of runs and you did that, making quick work of an early 3-run deficit – scoring 10 runs over 3 innings – eventually winning 13-7 over the Dodgers.  Now about Utley and your chants to see him enter the game after the 5th inning – I get it your upset.  This slide…is against the rules, that are loosely interpreted based on the emotional intelligence of a guy in a little hat – he started his slide after 2nd base – that’s a no-no – but it is nothing any player hasn’t done to break up a double play – a double play Tejada knew he wasn’t going to get.  Tejada gets a broken leg and Utley gets a suspension.  The suspension seems to do more with the broken leg than the act, and an over-reaction.  The question for me is this:  How does Utley get suspended on a play that was “illegal”, but was not enough to be called interference and an automatic double play?   I’ll let this guy explain:

  • WAS UTLEY’S SUSPENSION WARRANTED? – All you can hope for out of any postseason series — other than your team winning, of course — is to have it not be sidetracked by anything other than the quality of the two teams playing each other and the result of their conflict. You don’t want to lose, but if you lose, you want to lose clean. You just want people to be talking about the game itself……(continue reading)

More Baseball Thoughts I can not put anywhere else:

  • The Cubs have NEVER won a post-season series when they lost the first game, 0-11 ALL-TIME.
  • Before Game 2, the CUBS NEVER won a game when the other team hit 3 HR’s – they finally won one.
  • The Cubs are 0-4 ALL-TIME when clinching a series at home.
  • The Cubs just set a new post-season record for most home runs in a game with 6.
  • Strange things are afoot at the Circle K – but surely the Cubs will find a way to snatch defeat – right?  Theo Epstein can’t erase two curses in our lifetime, right?

Huge day for Correa

Prior to the Royals’ comeback in the eighth inning, Minute Maid Park was home to the “Carlos Correa Show.” The Astros shortstop tallied hits in all four of his at-bats – a game-tying home run in the third inning, a go-ahead RBI double in the fifth, a two-run homer in the seventh, and a single to lead off the
ninth. Correa, who celebrated his 21st birthday last month, became the youngest player to record at least four hits and four RBIs in a postseason game.AltX.Logo.white

  • The only other player to achieve that feat before his 25th birthday was Goose Goslin, who was 23 at the time of his four-hit, four-RBI game in Game Four of the 1924 World Series for the Senators.
  • Correa is also the youngest to record three extra-base hits in a postseason game, and he’s the second-youngest player with a multi-homer game in the postseason – Andruw Jones was 19 at the time of his two-homer performance for the Braves in Game One of the 1996 World Series versus the Yankees.

Royals save season with late comeback against Astros

Facing a four-run deficit with six outs to play in their season, the Royals exploded for five runs in the top of the eighth inning to come away with a 9-6 victory over the Astros and send the series back to Kansas City for a deciding fifth game. If any team was capable of a comeback like this it was the Royals – Kansas City enjoyed a similar comeback in the Wild Card game against the A’s last year, erasing a four-run deficit in the eighth and ninth innings before emerging victorious in the 12th inning.

So to recap, the Royals have overcome a four-run deficit in the eighth inning or later to stave off elimination in the postseason in back-to-back years. No other major-league team has ever forged a comeback of that kind in the postseason when facing elimination. In fact, only eight other teams have overcome deficits of four-or-more runs at any point of a postseason victory that staved off elimination, and none of those eight teams have more than one such win.

  • By the way, the first team ever to win such a game was the 1919 Chicago White Sox (Black Sox), who overcame a 4-0 Cincinnati lead to win Game Six of the World Series, 5-4, in 10 innings, cutting the Reds’ Series lead to four games to two. (That Series was played in a best-of-nine format.) The Sox produced the winning run in the top of the tenth on hits by Buck Weaver, Shoeless Joe Jackson and Chick Gandil – each of whom was later barred from the game by Commissioner Landis.

3. Straight Ca$h Homie…

Using our info and Beckwith’s daily information – I won 75% of the tournaments I entered.  If you would have read the Projection 2 Spend Report – your lineup would have scored over 200pts, just by selecting the green guys.  As for DC*3PO‘s picks for the NFL, he took a slide backwards, thanks to Tennessee and Oakland, but was still a decent 58% ATS – and a phenomenal 70% ATS for the college games I picked for him.  I lost a 15-teamer on Saturday because of two overs not coming in – Cal/Utah and FU/Mizzou – Cripes, but i’ll take 86% everytime – just need that 100% once.  Become a member today and lt us Teach You How To #win – here are the Perfect Lineups for #NFL week 5:

fanduel

FD_perfectL_wk5

draftkings

DK_perfectL_wk5


In Closing…

I’ll let Pat Forde describe the wierdness that was College Football yesterday…

  • Forde-Yard Dash: Taking stock of college football’s coaches after a bizarre Monday  We’re not yet to mid-October, and already four head coaches have been fired. A legendary fifth abruptly retired Monday night. A sixth just came back from a three-game suspension. In a sport with increasingly more money at stake, the pressure on the men leading the programs has escalated accordingly……(continue reading)

Teaching You How to #Win – Public Picks/Hot Hands/Tourney Selections #NFL Week 5

name of site - hunter thompson style

Public Picks

This is a new segment for us to cover this year. Currently FanDuel and Draftkings won’t tell you who the public is on for this week’s contests. There is a reason for that from their perspective but from ours, we love it. While we cannot tell you specifically which site has which figures as that would violate our partnership agreement with each company, we can tell you based on the NFL.com, Perfect Lineup challenge, who the public is on. Yet another reason why you only need to come to our site for all of your Daily Fantasy information.

public_picks_wk5

  • QB – Tom Brady 46.7%
  • RB – Le’Veon Bell 58.8%
  • WR – Julio Jones 62.8%
  • TE – Rob Gronkowski 75.2%
  • K – Stephen Gostkowski 31.7%
  • DEF – Denver 43.1%

Can you take all of these and still fill out a lineup, probably not but come check out our lineup analyzer and build your winning lineup with our high quality analysis here.


Hottest Players

Current top 5 performers for both FanDuel and Draftkings!

fanduel

  1. Tom Brady 26.2 – $8,800
  2. Devonta Freeman 23.8 – $7,600
  3. Le’Veon Bell 23.6 – $9,000
  4. Aaron Rodgers 23.6 – $9,200
  5. Julio Jones 22.7 – $9,200

draftkings

  1. Julio Jones 29.7 – $9,200
  2. Le’Veon Bell 28.6 – $8,500
  3. Tom Brady 28.5 – $7,800
  4. Larry Fitzgerald 27.1 – $6,800
  5. Devonta Freeman 26.7 – $6,300

Based on this information, if you were to come over here, to our lineup analyze you can see what recommendations you have by entering most, if not all of these players and see how you do.  They have certainly been the top performers thus far.  Throughout the week, I have continued to provide analysis from a multitude of areas that will outline that you really should have Brady on at least one of your daily fantasy lineups this weekend.  I believe Julio Jones has a bounce back game and goes over the 150 yard marker with 1 TD.  Freeman is my main concern from this list as the Washington defense is ranked #1 against the run coming into this contest.  That is partially due to the fact that they haven’t played any running teams yet this season and NO, I don’t count Philly as a running team!  That said, you have to ride the hot hand and right now Freeman is the hottest hand in the league.  Each of the rest of these players should be at or above our projection this week, with great matchups look for another huge fantasy scoring week, this weekend.


 

Tournament Suggestions

I wanted to add a section this weekend to our list and that is tournament suggestions.  I have received your feedback and one of the things that all of you keep asking is, “What tournaments should I play in?” The short answer is that as you continue to play and save your lineups with us, we are building your player profile so we can make automated suggestions in the future for you. So in the interim time frame, you can come here, to our strategy section and I will highlight some contests each week for you to take a look at:

  1. Always put one entry into the main contest for $25, so you have a shot at the Million
  2. Play 2 double up contests for every main contest you enter at the same price.  So if you play the $5 challenge, then play two $5 double up contests, this will ensure that you are making some money and the main contest entry is gravy on top.
  3. Play one head to head challenge, this is your best odds of winning.
  4. Always enter the prime time challenge and the Mon-Thu challenge because you are only picking from 4 teams, options are limited but low risk and high reward for these contests.

Good Luck this weekend, come back tomorrow as we will provide our expert picks at 9:30 a.m. MST on Sunday mornings from now on!


What No One Tells You About Becoming a Fan

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Detroit Lions fan Ward Elliot of Livonia yells out

Photo: Diane Weiss, DFP

1. But, you’re a Lions Fan…

Do you suffer from too many emotions?  Is constant disappointment a side effect of you having too much HOPE?  Does your face hurt from smiling once in a while?  If you have been emotionally vacant since 2008 – then Become A Lions Fan.  Think of all you get to endure, all you will have to tolerate…

Last Night, you were one-yard away from not having to hear anymore about the 12th man.  One Yard away from not having to hear anymore about Russell Wilson – who’s no Colin Kaepernick.  Then, as per usual for you – defeat, snatched from the jaws of victory.  It’s enough to make you scream – “WHAT ARE THE LIONS DOING ON MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL?!”  So goes life as a Lions Fan.   1957 is not just the last title the team has – it is a garage code for you.  Typically all that’s left is the Thanksgiving Game, today hurts – maybe just watch some more highlights of Barry Sanders – Yeah, that’ll help, cuz he played for you!  Just try not to smile too much, after-all, you’re at the quarter-pole of 0-16.


2. Straight Ca$h Homie…

Another successful week for us and our members.  Case in point: Using our delicious info, a friend of the site won $20,000 and a free trip last week – that is prettay, prettaay, prettaaay good.  As the week goes on, DC*3PO gets smarter and smarter, he was 67% ATS – check it out – www.theDiRTCanon.com – sign up and let us Teach You How To #Win – here are the Perfect Lineups for week 4, at least for Detroit Fan, you had the best D:

fanduel

FD_perfectL_wk4

draftkings

DK_perfectL_wk4


3. Mattingly, Shave those Side-Burns…

Sure it might be gimmicky, but it is meaningful baseball and tonight the gimmick begins.  The result is bigger than a Loyalty Quiz for Red Sox Fans for Playoff Tickets.  It is bigger than the Smugness of Being a Cardinals Fan.  It’s the chance to #win the World Series.  The newest gimmick, corrects the original gimmick of the Wild Card – all because the Giants also won 100 games, but the Braves won the division and it was viewed as a wrong that needed to be corrected.  Just as this one-game, play-in, corrects the original sin of the Wild Card team – meaning it should be more important and rewarding to win your division.  If you didn’t?  We’ll give you a title-shot, but you are now at a disadvantage, and just as importantly, it creates drama that seems to be missing far too often from the viewpoint of those, who do not love this game.

  • Pennants Pursued – Whether Beane’s view of his job is completely accurate or not, most analysts agree on his main point……(continue reading)

    “My sh*t doesn’t work in the playoffs,” Oakland A’s GM Billy Beane once said. “My job is to get us to the playoffs. What happens after that is f***ing luck.”


4. Addiction is a Cruel Bitch

AL Wild Card: ASTROS @ YANKEES – ESPN 8p EST

It seems weird to see the Yankees celebrate a Wild Card berth.  Sure, it is the postseason, but we view the Yankees as better than that.  Of course, it is a marvel that the Yankees were able to get to this point.  We thought back in Spring Training, that this season would be a whirlwind of circus proportions, dealing with A-Rod and an aging player-base, that also had suspect pitching.  Yet, here they are, and without CC Sabathia.

It’s a monumental under-taking for Sabathia to admit and admit himself to get help.  Today will not be the most difficult thing that CC will have to go thru – everyday will be the most difficult – and how crushing must it be to go thru this, with the feeling that you have let your team down, as much as you have let yourself and your family down.  Best of luck to you CC.

But, there is still a game to play and it looks as if we are watching two teams headed in different directions.  To me the best player on the field will be Carlos Correa, but the story will be Dallas Keuchel.  Dallas, a 20-game winner…pitching on short rest…for the first time…in the Bronx Zoo…For all the young Astros this will be an event like no other, and regardless of the outcome, will be a huge step in how they grow the next few years into possible champions.  The Astros may have ran out of gas at the end, but there is no doubt they belong and they might be playing October baseball more frequently in the future.

 

Teaching You How 2 #Win Since Like…Right NOW #week4 #NFL #DraftkingsLineups #FanDuelLineups

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DiRTy Plays NFL week 4


We have our first controversy of the season as Cam Newton has decided to throw the refs under the bus but this guys biceps aren’t going to take it.  The simple fact is that Cam is over reacting to something that was a normal play.  I have no doubt that Ed said something to him but this just goes back to Newton thinking that he is untouchable.  He is still the most immature QB in the league and this is after Manziel’s stint in rehab.  This is the exact reason that he will never win anything in the NFL!

Onto better news, The DiRT Canon AI has officially gone live with the latest update coming out today by 5 p.m. to our Lineup Analyzer!  This means that you will now get full recommendations for us to analyze your lineup in real time.  NO MORE WAITING, so come and check it out here and if you sign up for our Silver membership you will get the rest of the month at 50% off.  This means our season is underway and I know you are still looking to become a millionaire, whether you play on Draftkings or FanDuel, let us help. As we look at tournaments to target, build your player profile, we are also going to provide you with our experts’ picks as they bring you #TheBeSTDiRT for building your lineups each and every week. So let’s breakdown week 4 for Draftkings & FanDuel!

Absolute Must Have

We know you have been waiting since the end of the NBA season for you Absolute player selections so here we go. Reminder that this selection is for players with a salary above $7,000. Week 4, we are starting see who are the best performers in the league and so with that our absolute Must Have for Draftkings is Antonio Brown….AGAIN, coming in with a top projection of 31.91.

Sep 23, 2012; Oakland, CA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers receiver Antonio Brown (84) carries the ball against the Oakland Raiders at the O.co Coliseum. The Raiders defeated the Steelers 34-31. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-USA TODAY Sports

Let’s face it, he is making his imprint on being the best wide receiver in the game. On FanDuel we have Carson Palmer coming in on our top spot. Let’s face it, the Cardinals are for real when Palmer starts, going 15 and 2 over his last 17 starts.  Their defense is creating turnovers and Arians loves to go deep.  Personally, I think the most successful change for this team is the movement of Larry Fitzgerald into the slot position.  If you watch The League on FX, you know they had a who show about the Slots of your Lineup but if you want to win on Draftkings, these are the guys you should be looking for, high volume catches with touchdowns in the red zone.

Check out your Draftkings Absolute’s here and your FanDuel Absolute’s here.

Please note, Ben Roethlisberger is OUT for this week and if you check out our Injury Breakdown report, you will see our impacted player and injury projection information!

Absolute Notable

Onto our mid-level salaried guys, we have our Notables section. This is for players with a salary between $5,300 and $6,900. Our Draftkings Absolute Notable for week 2 is Carson Palmer.

Aug 9, 2013; Green Bay, WI, USA; Arizona Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer (3) during warmups prior to the game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. The Cardinals won 17-0. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The only surprise here is that his salary is still under $7,000. Take advantage while you can because I highly doubt this will be the case for any week in the future.  The Absolute Notable for FanDuel is Nick Foles. The numbers are still telling us to take a look at him but after he was unable to produce a touchdown, at home, against the terrible Steelers pass defense, I wouldn’t take him.  In this section, look at Tyrod Taylor to put up big numbers again this week.  His is not only producing in fantasy but he is #5 in QBR in the league right now and only 2% of you have had him in each of the first 3 weeks of the season.

Check out your Draftkings Absolute’s here and your FanDuel Absolute’s here.

Absolute Sleeper

Our Absolute Sleeper section looks for guys that have a salary of $5,100 and under. Coming in as our Absolute Sleeper for week 2 on Draftkings is the Nick Foles. As we said in our notable section, he will be a boom or bust play this week, I stay shy away from him and look for better production from Tyrod Taylor. That said, not very many will have him and if he just gets his average, you will have a shot at a ton of cash this weekend. For FanDuel we have San Francisco’s defense as our Absolute Sleeper.

Yes, I know, why would our AI produce San Francisco after being blowout the last two weeks and my answer is simple, they are at home.  In their only home game, they absolutely demolished the Vikings offense and Hyde went off.  Do I believe that will happen again, probably not but let’s face it Rodgers does throw picks on the road and this is one of those games where that one guy knows something that you don’t know, maybe you should go with that guy.  Look at it this way, take a chance in one lineup with the 49ers defense and stack the lineup with all of the top performing guys and see what you get.  I suspect less than 1% of the population is going to be on them this week and the last time we had a similar projection, it was the Bills on week 1 and they tore up Andrew Luck.

My #1 Sleeper this week is Carlos Williams. He is coming off touchdowns in all three games and with McCoy likely to sit out at least this week, look for him to have a huge game against the Giants defense.  While our AI projection for him, still has him slotted in the number 2 spot, when McCoy is officially listed as Out, be sure to check out our Injury Breakdown report to see our impacted players and injury projection.  Just go to our home page here, click on Injury Breakdown and you are off and running.

Heaviest Favorites

As of today, the heaviest favorites for the week are as follows:

  • Indianapolis -10 over the Jags
  • Seattle -10 over the Lions
  • Green Bay -9.5 over the 49ers

I have already told you that I’m on the 49ers as my dog for the week.  I don’t think they will win but our AI has Green Bay winning 23 – 21 this week and I think that is a pretty realistic outcome.  Seattle will demolish the Lions and beat them down by 3 touchdowns this weekend as they look to get back to .500 for the season.  Nothing like going home to get you back on track and playing against the Bears and Lions at home, certainly doesn’t hurt!  Now for the Colts and Andrew Luck, attempting to keep their divisional winning streak alive and up to 15 consecutive games.  The Colts have to have this game if they want to keep their name in the conversation for Super Bowl consideration and the Jags are coming off a beat down from the Patriots.  Colts roll this week and Luck gets back on track with 5 TD passes.  Consider him for your lineup this week, it might be his best week of the season.

Top Overall Game Over/Under

If you checked me out last week, I went a total of 15 out of 16 using our AI to help me select and nailed the over for Monday night between Green Bay and Kansas City.  This week our top over under is yet again Green Bay and their opponent San Francisco.  The over is at 48.5 as of this morning on 5Dimes.com and I am taking the under in this matchup.  I actually have the Bills and Giants scoring the most combined points this weekend.  Our AI says 46 for the Packers and 49ers matchup and I am going to stick with that, Rodgers hits a late touchdown to James Jones and they sneak out a victory over the 49ers, who get some pride back after the past two weeks.

Toughest QB Matchup

Blake Bortles_headshots_250This week we have Philip Rivers coming in at our top spot. Cleveland has an 11.66 rating against QB’s this season on the road and Rivers is coming off one of his worst performances, being sacked 5 times and throwing that terrible pick six against the Vikings.  That said, Cleveland is giving up the most rushing yards this season, look for San Diego to run the ball more in this game and Rivers to go without any turnovers.  Next we have Matt Ryan.  I have no idea how Houston keeps showing up with a tough defense, but they did shut down the Bucs last week and their opponents this year have not been at Ryan’s caliber.  I am on the Falcons this week (as always) and they should terrorize this secondary with Julio Jones continuing his 10+ catch 125+ yards per game.  Last we have Blake Bortles.  This is the one that I think has the best chance of being the worst QB for the week.  Not that I think the Colts defense is anything to worry about but I do think their offense gets going and this quickly turns into a route.  Bortles won’t have much to respond with and finishes with 212 yards, 1 TD and 2 Int’s.

Matchups to Exploit

In this segment, I am going to breakdown the pass defense, rush defense and overall defense to exploit for the week. If a team shows up in this area, it is because our system shows them as giving up the most yardage totals for the upcoming week.

Let’s make this simple to the stats as they come directly from our Odds page, so come and take a peak here.

  • Passing Yards is the New York Giants at 357.5 yards
  • Rushing Yards is Cleveland at 144.8 yards
  • Overall is Detroit at 414.7 yards

 

I agree that Tyrod Taylor is going to torch the Giants defense this weekend and I like him on both FanDuel and Draftkings.  In fact, he is the reason that I have been cashing at such a high rate and hitting some of the larger payouts of the season thus far.  As I have already said, I am on the Chargers running the ball more this week to protect Rivers and Seattle is going to put a beat down on the Lions. These are all matchups I like and so if you can identify some players like Woodhead for the Chargers, Jimmy Graham for Seattle and Taylor for the Bills, I think you are headed in the right direction.

QB Selections

Our top 3 QB’s for this week in order of projected score is Aaron Rodgers #1, Carson Palmer #2 and Cam Newton #3. This probably doesn’t come as much surprise to you given that the Rodgers is on a roll, coming off a 5 TD performance. Aug 9, 2013; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) during the game against the Arizona Cardinals at Lambeau Field.  The Cardinals won 17-0.  Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports We have hit on this a bunch but I don’t think he is going to be as on as he has been this season, look for a solid performance but probably not a QB I would take in daily fantasy this week because of cost versus production.  Second we have Palmer.  I really like him going up against the Rams and Arians just likes to toss the ball around.  Look for another solid 22+ point performance and he isn’t all that expensive.  Last we have Cam Newton.  I just hope he keeps his mouth shut after the game and let’s see what he can do against the terrible Bucs this weekend.  I like Olsen again this week so that means we need to have Cam give a solid performance.

 

For full QB projections for Draftkings go here.

For full QB projections for FanDuel go here.

Public Picks

This is a new segment for us to cover this year. Currently FanDuel and Draftkings won’t tell you who the public is on for this week’s contests. There is a reason for that from their perspective but from ours, we love it. While we cannot tell you specifically which site has which figures as that would violate our partnership agreement with each company, we can tell you based on the NFL.com, Perfect Lineup challenge, who the public is on. Yet another reason why you only need to come to our site for all of your Daily Fantasy information.

PublicPicks

QB – Aaron Rodgers 63.1%

RB – Le’Veon Bell 55.4%

WR – Julio Jones 66.9%

TE – Greg Olsen 43.2%

K – Mason Crosby 31.6%

DEF – Arizona 33.6%

Can you take all of these and still fill out a lineup, probably not but come check out our lineup analyzer and build your winning lineup with our high quality analysis here.

Hottest Players

Current top 5 performers for both FanDuel and Draftkings!

fanduel Fan Duel

  1. Julio Jones 28.3 – $9,400
  2. Aaron Rodgers 26.1 – $9,200
  3. Larry Fitzgerald 24.9 – $7,400
  4. Antonio Brown 24 – $8,900
  5. Andy Dalton 23.9 – $7,600

draftkings

  1. Julio Jones 37.0 – $9,300
  2. Antonio Brown 31.9 – $9,200
  3. Larry Fitzgerald 30.8 – $6,500
  4. Aaron Rodgers 27.7 – $7,900
  5. Le’Veon Bell 26.2 – $7,700

Weather

As of today, we only have some weather conditions expected and they are as follows:

  • Carolina @ Tampa Bay with a 65% chance of rain
  • Philadelphia @ Washington with a 65% chance of rain
  • Kansas City @ Cincinnati with a 54% chance of rain

Lineup Considerations

Now for the part that we know you have all been waiting for, give me the lineup that will win. I know, I know, we have done this quite significantly in the past and now we have our lineup analyzer providing automatic lineup recommendations but what do I think. Here is my top lineup for week 3, main contest on Draftkings:

Experts Pick

DK_Expert_wk4

Now we look to provide your FanDuel lineups for the week below:

Logan Cartwright’s Expert Pick

FD_Expert_wk4

Come check out the rest NOW.

How to Stop Worrying and Just Draft!

Short post today, but if you remember back in July, I participated in several mock drafts – I know it was early, it was for research.  Well now there is even more information, but stunningly, people still are not drafting QB’s, it’s RBs.  Re-read that post here 

With our staff working long hours in the dungeon to get our new site up and running, I thought I would revisit this topic again for some of you that still play in “season long” leagues and give you ancropped-logo_1260147_print-1-e14180934753933.png idea where guys are being drafted, on average.  In the infinite space of Fantasy Football, it all means nothing really, because, I’m sure we all have that guy in our league that selects all Denver Broncos, or better yet Tim Tebow – you know who you are!  At the end of the day, we could tell you with certainty, this guy is ranked here and it won’t matter because your plan of taking Roethlisberger in the 8th round (ADP) is blown up, when he is taken with the 17th overall pick, by a guy who already has a QB – I’ve seen it a hundred times.  So R-E-L-A-X, you’ve read enough fluff, watched even more and when it comes down to it, none of it means anything unless you can fleece that guy in a trade that puts you over the top – and isn’t that were the fun really is anyway?  But just in case, here is the Average Draft Position for PPR and non-PPR, after last night’s perfect lineup, a night of ‘STROS:

82515_perf.lineup

PPR NON-PPR
Player Pos Team ADP Player Pos Team ADP
Adrian Peterson RB MIN 2.7 Eddie Lacy RB GB 2.3
Le’Veon Bell RB PIT 2.9 Jamaal Charles RB KC 2.3
Eddie Lacy RB GB 3.4 Adrian Peterson RB MIN 3.0
Jamaal Charles RB KC 3.7 Antonio Brown WR PIT 4.3
Antonio Brown WR PIT 3.9 Odell Beckham Jr. WR NYG 7.7
Marshawn Lynch RB SEA 8.2 Le’Veon Bell RB PIT 8.3
Odell Beckham Jr. WR NYG 9.8 Marshawn Lynch RB SEA 8.3
C.J. Anderson RB DEN 9.9 Rob Gronkowski TE NE 9.0
Rob Gronkowski TE NE 10.1 Dez Bryant WR DAL 10.7
LeSean McCoy RB BUF 10.6 LeSean McCoy RB BUF 11.3
Dez Bryant WR DAL 10.8 DeMarco Murray RB PHI 11.7
Matt Forte RB CHI 11.9 Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 12.0
Julio Jones WR ATL 12.8 Julio Jones WR ATL 12.3
DeMarco Murray RB PHI 13.4 Calvin Johnson WR DET 13.3
Demaryius Thomas WR DEN 14.1 Arian Foster RB HOU 15.0
Jeremy Hill RB CIN 14.5 Matt Forte RB CHI 15.7
Calvin Johnson WR DET 16.0 Jordy Nelson WR GB 15.7
Jordy Nelson WR GB 16.8 C.J. Anderson RB DEN 16.7
A.J. Green WR CIN 20.0 Andrew Luck QB IND 17.7
Justin Forsett RB BAL 21.6 Jeremy Hill RB CIN 17.7
Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 23.4 A.J. Green WR CIN 18.7
T.Y. Hilton WR IND 24.9 T.Y. Hilton WR IND 21.7
Randall Cobb WR GB 25.5 Justin Forsett RB BAL 25.3
Andrew Luck QB IND 25.9 Randall Cobb WR GB 26.3
Lamar Miller RB MIA 27.0 Jimmy Graham TE SEA 26.7
Mark Ingram RB NO 29.8 Lamar Miller RB MIA 27.0
Aaron Rodgers QB GB 30.0 Alshon Jeffery WR CHI 27.0
Melvin Gordon RB SD 30.8 Latavius Murray RB OAK 28.3
Mike Evans WR TB 31.9 Melvin Gordon RB SD 29.7
Frank Gore RB IND 32.3 Aaron Rodgers QB GB 30.0
Jimmy Graham TE SEA 33.8 Mike Evans WR TB 30.3
Latavius Murray RB OAK 34.0 Mark Ingram RB NO 32.7
Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 34.2 Frank Gore RB IND 33.0
DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 35.7 Andre Ellington RB ARI 34.3
Brandin Cooks WR NO 35.8 Alfred Morris RB WAS 35.0
Jordan Matthews WR PHI 36.5 Jordan Matthews WR PHI 36.7
Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 37.4 Brandin Cooks WR NO 38.0
Andre Ellington RB ARI 38.4 Kelvin Benjamin WR CAR 38.0
Alfred Morris RB WAS 38.6 Carlos Hyde RB SF 39.7
Carlos Hyde RB SF 41.7 Joique Bell RB DET 40.3
Joseph Randle RB DAL 41.9 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN 40.7
T.J. Yeldon RB JAC 43.8 T.J. Yeldon RB JAC 42.3
Arian Foster RB HOU 44.7 DeAndre Hopkins WR HOU 43.3
C.J. Spiller RB NO 45.4 Drew Brees QB NO 45.0
Sammy Watkins WR BUF 47.5 Sammy Watkins WR BUF 45.3
Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 47.8 C.J. Spiller RB NO 45.7
Todd Gurley RB STL 48.5 Martavis Bryant WR PIT 46.0
Drew Brees QB NO 49.6 Golden Tate WR DET 51.0
Joique Bell RB DET 50.1 Joseph Randle RB DAL 51.3
Golden Tate WR DET 52.8 Todd Gurley RB STL 53.3
DeSean Jackson WR WAS 53.2 Jonathan Stewart RB CAR 53.7
Jeremy Maclin WR KC 54.8 Michael Floyd WR ARI 56.0
Keenan Allen WR SD 54.8 DeSean Jackson WR WAS 56.3
Amari Cooper WR OAK 55.2 Peyton Manning QB DEN 58.7
Martavis Bryant WR PIT 55.7 Amari Cooper WR OAK 58.7
Tevin Coleman RB ATL 57.5 Jeremy Maclin WR KC 58.7
Andre Johnson WR IND 57.7 Travis Kelce TE KC 59.7
Travis Kelce TE KC 59.8 Mike Wallace WR MIN 62.0
Peyton Manning QB DEN 60.8 Andre Johnson WR IND 62.7
Julian Edelman WR NE 61.3 Keenan Allen WR SD 62.7
Greg Olsen TE CAR 63.8 Tevin Coleman RB ATL 65.3
Chris Ivory RB NYJ 68.2 Greg Olsen TE CAR 65.7
Giovani Bernard RB CIN 68.7 Eric Decker WR NYJ 65.7
Mike Wallace WR MIN 69.8 Matt Ryan QB ATL 66.3
Rashad Jennings RB NYG 70.2 Rashad Jennings RB NYG 66.3
Matt Ryan QB ATL 71.3 Brandon LaFell WR NE 66.3
Jarvis Landry WR MIA 71.9 Kevin White WR CHI 69.0
Vincent Jackson WR TB 74.2 Vincent Jackson WR TB 69.7
Brandon LaFell WR NE 75.0 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 70.3
Kevin White WR CHI 75.7 Matthew Stafford QB DET 73.3
Shane Vereen RB NYG 75.8 Terrance Williams WR DAL 74.3
Allen Robinson WR JAC 76.7 Bishop Sankey RB TEN 75.3
Eric Decker WR NYJ 76.8 Jarvis Landry WR MIA 76.0
Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT 77.8 DeVante Parker WR MIA 77.0
Charles Johnson WR MIN 78.2 Eli Manning QB NYG 77.3
Martellus Bennett TE CHI 79.2 Allen Robinson WR JAC 77.7
Bishop Sankey RB TEN 81.2 Chris Ivory RB NYJ 78.3
Michael Floyd WR ARI 81.4 Cam Newton QB CAR 80.3
Brandon Marshall WR NYJ 83.2 Charles Johnson WR MIN 80.7
Duke Johnson RB CLE 83.9 Martellus Bennett TE CHI 81.7
Ameer Abdullah RB DET 85.3 Giovani Bernard RB CIN 82.7
Nelson Agholor WR PHI 85.6 Darren McFadden RB DAL 83.0
Roddy White WR ATL 85.7 Coby Fleener TE IND 83.0
Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 86.1 Larry Fitzgerald WR ARI 85.0
Russell Wilson QB SEA 87.1 Julian Edelman WR NE 85.3
LeGarrette Blount RB NE 87.1 Ryan Tannehill QB MIA 86.0
Torrey Smith WR SF 87.7 Shane Vereen RB NYJ 87.0
Darren McFadden RB DAL 89.2 Ameer Abdullah RB DET 87.7
Ryan Tannehill QB MIA 90.5 Kenny Stills WR MIA 88.7
Eli Manning QB NYG 91.4 Zach Ertz TE PHI 90.0
Terrance Williams WR DAL 91.8 Russell Wilson QB SEA 90.7
DeVante Parker WR MIA 92.2 Duke Johnson RB CLE 92.3
Matthew Stafford QB DET 94.4 Brandon Marshall WR NYJ 93.0
Zach Ertz TE PHI 94.4 Kendall Wright WR TEN 93.3
Jordan Cameron TE MIA 96.2 Nelson Agholor WR PHI 93.7
Cam Newton QB CAR 97.5 Roddy White WR ATL 94.3
Devonta Freeman RB ATL 99.2 Torrey Smith WR BAL 95.3
Breshad Perriman WR BAL 101.8 Darren Sproles RB PHI 96.0
Ryan Mathews RB PHI 102.8 Tony Romo QB DAL 97.7
Delanie Walker TE TEN 105.5 Jordan Cameron TE MIA 98.7
Tre Mason RB STL 105.8 Breshad Perriman WR BAL 102.7
Kendall Wright WR TEN 105.8 Dorial Green-Beckham WR TEN 103.3
Tony Romo QB DAL 105.9 Denard Robinson RB JAC 105.3
Julius Thomas TE JAC 106.3 Devonta Freeman RB ATL 108.0
Kenny Stills WR MIA 107.2 James White RB NE 108.7
David Johnson RB ARI 108.3 Philip Rivers QB SD 109.3
Anquan Boldin WR SF 109.9 David Johnson RB ARI 110.3
Marques Colston WR NO 112.8 Delanie Walker TE TEN 111.3
Coby Fleener TE IND 113.1 Seattle Seahawks DEF SEA 112.7
Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 113.2 LeGarrette Blount RB NE 114.3
Philip Rivers QB SD 114.1 Victor Cruz WR NYG 114.3
Darren Sproles RB PHI 114.2 Anquan Boldin WR SF 117.3
Knile Davis RB KC 118.0 Carson Palmer QB ARI 119.3
Victor Cruz WR NYG 119.6 Julius Thomas TE JAC 120.7
John Brown WR ARI 120.5 Ryan Mathews RB PHI 121.0
Tom Brady QB NE 120.6 Isaiah Crowell RB CLE 121.7
Dorial Green-Beckham WR TEN 121.7 Eddie Royal WR CHI 121.7
Doug Martin RB TB 121.9 Joe Flacco QB BAL 122.7
Danny Woodhead RB SD 124.5 Tre Mason RB STL 122.7
Pierre Garcon WR WAS 125.5 Pierre Garcon WR WAS 123.7
Jason Witten TE DAL 126.8 Marques Colston WR NO 124.3
Charles Sims RB TB 129.2 Derek Carr QB OAK 127.3
Eddie Royal WR CHI 134.5 John Brown WR ARI 127.3
Seattle Seahawks DEF SEA 135.1 Tom Brady QB NE 128.0
Joe Flacco QB BAL 136.8 Larry Donnell TE NYG 128.0
James White RB NE 138.0 Jason Witten TE DAL 129.3
Michael Crabtree WR OAK 139.8 Teddy Bridgewater QB MIN 129.7
David Cobb RB TEN 143.2 Vernon Davis TE SF 130.3
Steve Smith WR BAL 145.5 Fred Jackson RB BUF 133.7
Vernon Davis TE SF 147.1 Doug Martin RB TB 134.0
Roy Helu RB OAK 147.5 Charles Sims RB TB 136.3
Houston Texans DEF HOU 150.5 Andy Dalton QB CIN 137.0
Buffalo Bills DEF BUF 150.8 Houston Texans DEF HOU 139.3
Montee Ball RB DEN 151.5 Buffalo Bills DEF BUF 140.3
Denard Robinson RB JAC 152.7 Colin Kaepernick QB SF 142.0
Brian Quick WR STL 152.8 Roy Helu RB OAK 143.0
Doug Baldwin WR SEA 153.2 Michael Crabtree WR OAK 143.3
Stevan Ridley RB NYJ 153.5 Jordan Reed TE WAS 144.7
St. Louis Rams DEF STL 154.2 Danny Woodhead RB SD 145.0
Teddy Bridgewater QB MIN 154.2 St. Louis Rams DEF STL 145.3
Carson Palmer QB CIN 155.1 Brian Quick WR STL 145.3
Tyler Eifert TE CIN 156.3 Stephen Gostkowski K NE 147.3
Davante Adams WR GB 156.5 Arizona Cardinals DEF ARI 147.7
Andre Williams RB NYG 156.9 Jameis Winston QB TB 148.3
Reggie Bush RB SF 157.5 Reggie Bush RB SF 148.3
Kyle Rudolph TE MIN 159.3 Andre Williams RB NYG 148.7
Stephen Gostkowski K NE 161.1 Mychal Rivera TE OAK 148.7
Owen Daniels TE DEN 162.8 Owen Daniels TE DEN 149.7
Percy Harvin WR BUF 162.9 Jay Ajayi RB MIA 151.3
Cody Latimer WR DEN 163.2 New York Jets DEF NYJ 152.7
Alfred Blue RB HOU 164.1 Percy Harvin WR BUF 155.7
Jay Ajayi RB MIA 164.4 Steve Smith WR BAL 156.0
New York Jets DEF NYJ 164.5 Knile Davis RB KC 157.0
Cody Parkey K PHI 166.7 Mason Crosby K GB 157.3
Arizona Cardinals DEF ARI 167.5 Denver Broncos DEF DEN 157.7
Mason Crosby K GB 167.6 Justin Tucker K BAL 157.7
Dan Herron RB IND 169.0 Cody Parkey K PHI 158.0
Rueben Randle WR NYG 169.0 Cincinnati Bengals DEF CIN 158.3
Stevie Johnson WR SD 170.8 Steven Hauschka K SEA 159.3
Larry Donnell TE NYG 171.3 New England Patriots DEF NE 159.7
Sam Bradford QB PHI 171.4 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE TB 159.7
DeAngelo Williams RB PIT 171.5 Dan Bailey K DAL 160.0
Terrance West RB CLE 171.5 Connor Barth K DEN 160.7
Carolina Panthers DEF CAR 171.9 Doug Baldwin WR SEA 160.7
Fred Jackson RB BUF 172.2 Stevie Johnson WR SD 161.0
Colin Kaepernick QB SF 172.5 David Cobb RB TEN 161.3
Denver Broncos DEF DEN 172.9 Tavon Austin WR STL 161.7
Jordan Reed TE WAS 173.9 Cecil Shorts III WR HOU 162.0
New England Patriots DEF NE 174.2 Devin Funchess WR CAR 162.0
Justin Tucker K BAL 174.6 Adam Vinatieri K IND 164.0
Josh Hill TE NO 174.8 Green Bay Packers DEF GB 164.7
Miami Dolphins DEF MIA 175.2 Josh Hill TE NO 165.3
Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE TB 175.2 Blair Walsh K MIN 166.3
Derek Carr QB OAK 175.9 Jay Cutler QB CHI 166.3
Connor Barth K DEN 176.6 Stevan Ridley RB NYJ 167.0
Adam Vinatieri K IND 177.3 Dwayne Allen TE IND 167.0
Steven Hauschka K SEA 177.3 Matt Asiata RB MIN 167.3
Dan Bailey K DAL 178.4 Caleb Sturgis K MIA 167.7
Jameis Winston QB TB 179.1 Dwayne Bowe WR CLE 167.7
Jay Cutler QB CHI 181.2 Carolina Panthers DEF CAR 168.0
Andy Dalton QB CIN 181.5 Tyler Eifert TE CIN 168.0
Phillip Dorsett WR IND 182.5 Branden Oliver RB SD 168.3
Matt Bryant K ATL 183.2 Sam Bradford QB PHI 168.7
Cecil Shorts III WR HOU 183.6 Rueben Randle WR NYG 169.0
Allen Hurns WR JAC 183.7 Antonio Gates TE SD 169.3
Jaelen Strong WR HOU 184.3 Kyle Rudolph TE MIN 169.3
Green Bay Packers DEF GB 184.8 Mohamed Sanu WR CIN 169.7
Markus Wheaton WR PIT 184.9 Cody Latimer WR DEN 170.3
Caleb Sturgis K MIA 186.2 Eric Ebron TE DET 170.7
Devin Funchess WR CAR 186.2 Phillip Dorsett WR IND 170.7
Kenny Britt WR STL 186.8 Ladarius Green TE SD 171.7
Dwayne Bowe WR CLE 187.1 Chris Johnson RB FA 172.0
Dwayne Allen TE IND 187.3 Miami Dolphins DEF MIA 172.3
Marvin Jones WR CIN 188.4 Baltimore Ravens DEF BAL 173.0
Kansas City Chiefs DEF KC 190.8 Jace Amaro TE NYJ 174.3
Mychal Rivera TE OAK 191.9 Kenny Britt WR STL 174.3
Justin Hunter WR TEN 192.5 Steve Smith WR BAL 175.0
Cameron Artis-Payne RB CAR 192.8 Kansas City Chiefs DEF KC 175.7
Heath Miller TE PIT 195.2 Dan Carpenter K BUF 176.3
Blair Walsh K MIN 195.2 Greg Zuerlein K STL 177.7
Marcus Mariota QB TEN 196.5 Matt Bryant K ATL 178.0
Indianapolis Colts DEF IND 198.0 Philadelphia Eagles DEF PHI 178.7
Greg Zuerlein K STL 198.2 Matt Prater K DET 179.0
Eric Ebron TE DET 198.3
Nick Foles QB STL 198.6
Shaun Suisham K PIT 199.2
Branden Oliver RB SD 199.5
Andrew Hawkins WR CLE 199.6
Cincinnati Bengals DEF CIN 199.8
Rob Housler TE CLE 200.5
Charles Clay TE BUF 201.1
Philadelphia Eagles DEF PHI 201.2
Antonio Gates TE SD 201.8
Maxx Williams TE BAL 202.0
Zac Stacy RB NYJ 202.9
Jonas Gray RB NE 203.0
Jace Amaro TE NYJ 203.3
Travaris Cadet RB NE 203.4
Pierre Thomas RB FA 203.7
Donte Moncrief WR IND 203.9
Robert Woods WR BUF 203.9
Jared Cook TE STL 204.2
Blake Bortles QB JAC 204.3
Khiry Robinson RB NO 204.5
Matt Prater K DET 204.8
Alex Smith QB KC 204.8
Matt Jones RB WAS 204.9
Detroit Lions DEF DET 205.0
Josh McCown QB CLE 205.2
Jerick McKinnon RB MIN 205.7
Ladarius Green TE SD 207.7
Brian Hartline WR CLE 207.8
Theo Riddick RB DET 208.2
Robert Griffin III QB WAS 208.3
Marquess Wilson WR CHI 208.5
Dan Carpenter K BUF 208.5
Devin Smith WR NYJ 208.8
Cole Beasley WR DAL 209.2
Chris Polk RB HOU 209.3
Tavon Austin WR STL 209.5
Baltimore Ravens DEF BAL 209.7
Ronnie Hillman RB DEN 209.8
Nick Novak K SD 209.8
Jermaine Kearse WR SEA 210.0
Tyler Lockett WR SEA 210.2
Chris Johnson RB FA 210.4
Josh Huff WR PHI 211.9
Greg Jennings WR MIA 213.6
Malcom Floyd WR SD 213.9
Minnesota Vikings DEF MIN 214.5
Matt Cassel QB BUF 215.1
Riley Cooper WR PHI 215.3
Stedman Bailey WR STL 216.7
Reggie Wayne WR FA 217.0
Cleveland Browns DEF CLE 217.5
James Starks RB GB 220.7
Robert Turbin RB SEA 228.2
Javorius Allen RB BAL 228.5
Lance Dunbar RB DAL 228.5
Mohamed Sanu WR CIN 229.4
Cairo Santos K KC 231.7