DiRTy Plays #NBA Monday 5pt Play – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 22, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016


DiRTy Plays – Monday 5 Point Play

The Lineup Analzyer is in full affect now, just click here to check it out! Now, I will walk you through 5 key points and end with The DiRT Canon top lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings, along with the lineup analysis for you to consider tonight!

Point 1 – Value Plays:

  • Point Guard – Jordan Clarkson is our top value play with a value on DraftKings of -1.14 and for FanDuel, Cory Jospeh has a value of -1.14.
  • Shooting Guard – Kyle Korver leads our value play at SG with a FanDuel value of +1.84 and on DraftKings a -0.31. He is a strong consideration for value tonight.
  • Small Forward – P.J. Tucker is our leader with a -.95 on FanDuel value and, Giannis Antetokounmpo is -3.25 on DraftKings.
  • Power Forward – Gorgui Dieng is our top value for FanDuel at -1.92 and, Patrick Patterson on DraftKings is at -4.61.
  • Center – Jordan Hill leads this category with a -2.61 value on FanDuel and Jared Sullinger is -2.65 on DraftKings; Sullinger is a strong play with Oliynk out for the next 3-4 weeks, he will see extended time on the floor with a nice matchup tonight.

I wanted to add some additional value player to our list today as these players are within our variance threshold but also have a projection of at least 30 fantasy points for tonight. This should help you with your player selection for tonight as these are guys with great matchups and should have solid performances relative to their assigned salary. Those players are as follows:

  • Point Guard – Ricky Rubio is our top projected PG from a value perspective with a projection of 32.2 on FanDuel and Jordan Clarkson with a 30.66 on DraftKings.
  • Shooting Guard – Khris Middleton leads this category at 40.50 projection on DraftKings and a value of -2.7 where on FanDuel his projection is 37.41 and a -2.49.
  • Small Forward – Giannis Antetokounmpo is our top SF from a value perspective with a FanDuel projection of 36.69 and on DraftKings, he has a projection of 39.35 tonight.
  • Power Forward – Gorgui Dieng is our top value PF for Fanduel tonight with a projection of 30.62.   Julius Randle is projected at 31.13 for DraftKings.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan is the top center for tonight in Fanduel with a projection of 36.66.  Jared Sullinger in DraftKings with a projection of 31.55.

Point 2 – Top 5 Players to Consider:

Below are our top 5 players when considering all of our custom metrics such as big play potential, projection to spend ratio, overall projection and opponent rank:

FanDuel_

  • Point Guard – Steph Curry is our top PG for tonight with a projection of 44.28.
  • Shooting Guard – Khris Middleton is the top SG for tonight with a projection of 37.41.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James is the top projected player at this position with a 40.11.
  • Power Forward – Draymond Green is our top PF for tonight with a projection of 33.57.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan is our top projected center for tonight with a projection of 36.66.

draftkings

  • Point Guard – Steph Curry has a top projection of 48.41 tonight.
  • Shooting Guard – Khris Middleton is our top SG for tonight at 40.50.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James has a top projection for SF’s tonight at 43.02.
  • Power Forward – Draymond Green is the top projected PF tonight at 36.96.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan also leads the Centers on DraftKings with a projection of 39.10 tonight.

Point 3 – Lineup Stack Potentials:

In this section we will breakdown the Vegas Odds and provide you with some potential lineup stacks that will accommodate for the salary restrictions for both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Top 3 Over/Under Matchups:

  1. Golden State vs. Atlanta (225.5 projected pts)
  2. Boston vs. Minnesota (217 projected pts)
  3. Phoenix vs. LA Clippers (212 projected pts)

Projected Points per Team:

  1. Golden St Warriors (116 projected pts)
  2. LA Clippers (114 projected pts)
  3. Boston Celtics (111 projected pts)
  4. Sacramento Kings (110.5 projected pts)
  5. Atlanta Hawks (109 projected pts)
  6. Cleveland Cavs (108 projected pts)

*This information was provided by http://www.fivedimes.com

FanDuel_To download the top 3 stacks for FanDuel tonight, just click the link below:

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack2

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack3

draftkingsTo download the top 3 stacks for DraftKings tonight, just click the link below:

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack2

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack3

Point 4 – Key Injuries:

  • injuryChris Paul: UPDATE: Paul left Saturday’s loss to Golden State with a thigh injury but is expected to be OK, reports.
  • Kyrie Irving: UPDATE: Irving is dealing with an illness and will not return to Sunday’s game against the Thunder, Joe Gabriele of Cavs.com reports. If he doesn’t go, look for Delledova to get the start.
  • Dwayne Wade: UPDATE: Wade (knee) is listed as a game-time decision for Monday’s tilt with the Pacers, Jason Lieser of the Palm Beach Post reports.
  • Chris Bosh: UPDATE: Bosh (calf) will not play in Monday’s game against the Pacers, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. With him sidelined again, look for Deng to play high minutes.
  • George Hill: UPDATE: Hill is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Heat with a right elbow sprain, the team announced.
  • Andrew Bogut: UPDATE: Bogut (Achilles) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Hawks, Chris Vivlamore of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
  • Tyson Chandler: UPDATE: Chandler (shoulder) is considered doubtful for Monday’s game against the Clippers, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports.
  • Jared Bayless: UPDATE: Bayless (knee) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Lakers, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
  • John Henson: UPDATE: Henson (back) is listed as out for Monday’s game against the Lakers, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.

Point 5 – Absolutes:

This information is based on the overall projection of each player as well as the opponent they are playing against. We combine those factors and determine the best plays broken down by salary range. To get a full copy of this report for DraftKings click here, for FanDuel click here.

  • The top overall #AbsoluteMustHave is LeBron James for both sites tonight as he has the best matchup, value and projection combo for tonight.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteNotable is Andrew Wiggins for both DraftKings and FanDuel tonight as his mid range salary makes him a strong consideration in all formats.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteSleeper is Zach LaVine on DraftKings with Tristan Thompson leading this category for FanDuel.

DraftKings Lineup Consideration

DK_LAFor DraftKings tonight, we have some interesting matchups but when looking at overall performance the games to really take advantage of are going to be the Bucks against the Lakers and then the Boston and T-Wolves game. In this lineup we have 7 of our 8 roster spots coming from these two games as the key players for each team matchup well with what the opposing defenses end up giving up. Thomas leads this group as our top chalk play and he is coming off a 49 point performance against Denver on Sunday. Next we have Middleton and Antetokoumnpo, who both have been playing lights out but are relatively unknown, even in the fantasy community which means they should have low ownership. This will be key given the fact that there is a 100k 1st place top prize in the $3, Sharpshooter contest tonight. Next we have Julius Randle at PF and Jared Sullinger at Center. Both players have been consistently hitting that 30 point marker and both should see plenty of playing time tonight. We finish this lineup with Kyle Korver, Marcus Morris and Ricky Rubio. All three should combine for approximately 110 fantasy points tonight and with the bonuses that DraftKings has in their scoring system, these are all strong plays for either 3 point makes or in Rubio’s case, a double-double.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.

FanDuel Lineup Consideration

FD_LAFor our top FanDuel lineup, we are not only looking at the top projection but also looking for the trend of the team and in doing so we have identified a lineup that has been averaging over 300 points over their last 5 games. This is key as you look to build your lineup as you want to ensure that not only is their a high enough projection for tonight but what has this team been doing. In this particular lineup we also have a top score for this lineup of 445 points. That always needs to be at least 400, otherwise, your likelihood of hitting a bit amount in a main contest is pretty unlikely. In breaking down this lineup, we have two Heat players of Deng and Dragic as both have been playing well and with Bosh definitely out tonight and Wade listed as questionable, these two are must plays even though their projections might not be as high as you would like. Next we have Jordan Clarkson, who has been lights out of late and will continue to do so as long as he plays 30+ minutes per game. At the SG, we have Wiggins and Middleton tonight as Middleton should lead all SG’s tonight. Alongside Deng, we are going to roll with Antetokounmpo as he has torched the Lakers in every game he has played against them, including a 50 point fantasy night. At the PF, we have Tristan Thompson, who is starting at Center for the Cavs and since that move has almost averaged a double-double and his PF companion is Gorgui Dieng. Dieng still has too much value to be ignored and he will get at least 30 fantasy points tonight. At Center, we are rolling with The DiRT Canon top projected center of DeAndre Jordan but you will have enough cap for any center that you would like with this lineup so if you want to go with Towns, you will have the room to afford him as well.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.


If you would like for us to analyze your lineup, just contact us here or DM us on Facebook or Twitter.

DiRTy Plays Monday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 22, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 20% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Andre Drummond has an 84% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.75 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Steph Curry is the top performer over the last 5 games for players playing tonight with a 52.35 average and an opponent that is giving up 61.45 to the PG position over their last 5
  • Chris Paul and Curry are the only players averaging over 50 fantasy points over their last 5 games
  • DeAndre Jordan is averaging over 45 fantasy points per game over his last 5 games and of the players over 40 fantasy points he has the lowest salary at $7,600 on DraftKings tonight
  • Goran Dragic is the lowest salary at $6,200 with players over 35 fantasy points over their last 5 games at 36.3

Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 21.90% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.79 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 22.44% of your projected team total with an average of 2.87 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 20.42% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.16 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 16.99% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.09 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 18.25% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.48 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be SG, PG, G, SF, C, PF, F, Util with a projected score of 279 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 21.63% of your projected team total with an average of 73.1 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 22.11% of your projected team total with an average of 74.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 20.92% of your projected team total with an average of 65.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 18.95% of your projected team total with an average of 59.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.4% of your projected team total with an average of 41.6 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be SG, PG, SF, PF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 315.0 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Chris Paul: UPDATE: Paul left Saturday’s loss to Golden State with a thigh injury but is expected to be OK, reports.
  • Kyrie Irving: UPDATE: Irving is dealing with an illness and will not return to Sunday’s game against the Thunder, Joe Gabriele of Cavs.com reports. If he doesn’t go, look for Delledova to get the start.
  • Dwayne Wade: UPDATE: Wade (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Pacers, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. If he doesn’t play, look for Dragic and Deng to continue their high production.
  • Chris Bosh: UPDATE: Bosh (calf) will not play in Monday’s game against the Pacers, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. With him sidelined again, look for Deng to play high minutes.
  • Andrew Bogut: UPDATE: Bogut (Achilles) will not play Saturday against the Clippers, the San Francisco Chronicle reports. If he doesn’t play, look for Green to play extended minutes at the Center position with Ezili starting the game off.
  • Tyson Chandler: UPDATE: Chandler (shoulder) has been ruled out of Sunday’s game against the Spurs, Paul Coro of Arizona Republic reports. With him sitting out yesterday, Alex Len took the majority of minutes and should get the start again tonight.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here. Check back at 6 p.m. EST to get our full analysis and insights from our top experts via our DiRTy Plays 5 pt Play!


DiRTy Plays Sunday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 21, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Russell Westbrook has a 11% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Andre Drummond has an 84% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Paul George is projected to hit 2.87 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Damian Lillard is the hottest player in the NBA right now at 55.6 fantasy points per game over his last 5 including a 70+ in his last game against the Warriors
  • Westbrook & Durant continue to produce 50+ fantasy points each and every time they step out onto the court.
  • Rudy Gobert leads the list for players under $7,000 assigned salary with 38+ fantasy points over his last 5 games.

Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 23.85% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.79 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 20.53% of your projected team total with an average of 2.14 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 17.85% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.21 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 19.95% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.30 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 17.82% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.19 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, SF, F, C with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 23.11% of your projected team total with an average of 72.7 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 20.31% of your projected team total with an average of 63.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.43% of your projected team total with an average of 54.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 23.37% of your projected team total with an average of 73.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 15.78% of your projected team total with an average of 49.6 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PF, PG, SG, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 314.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Kobe Bryant: UPDATE: Bryant is probable to play Sunday versus the Bulls after dislocating his finger in Friday’s matchup with the Spurs, Mike Bresnahan of the Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Deron Williams: UPDATE: Williams is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the 76ers due to an ankle injury, Earl K. Sneed of Mavs.com reports.
  • Jerami Grant: UPDATE: Grant (eye) sat out of practice Saturday, but is still listed as probable heading into Sunday’s game against the Mavericks, Jessica Camerato of CSN Philly reports
  • Kawhi Leonard: UPDATE: Leonard (left calf tightness) is questionable for Sunday’s game against the Suns.
  • Brandon Knight: UPDATE: Knight (groin) took part in some shooting drills and individual workouts at Wednesday’s practice, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports. “He’s moving better,” interim coach Earl Watson said of Knight. “He’s progressing. The main thing with him will be to bring him along slowly in steps.”
  • Tyson Chandler: UPDATE: Chandler’s shoulder injury has been diagnosed as a sprain rather than a strain, but it remains uncertain if he’ll be able to play Sunday against the Spurs, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports.
  • Iman Shumpert: UPDATE: Shumpert (shoulder) is doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Thunder, Tom Withers of the Associated Press reports.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here.


DiRTy Plays Saturday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 20, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


absolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


proj2spendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


dailyprojThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


salarybreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

bigplayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 19% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • DeAndre Jordan has an 59% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.78 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Curry, Westbrook, Durant & Harden are all averaging over 50 points during their last 5 games.
  • Drue Holiday is averaging 42.15 points per game over his last 5 with a salary of only $6,900
  • Gobert and Dieng are averaging over 38 fantasy points per game over their last 5, both with a salary of $6,700

 


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 22.93% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.42 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 23.89% of your projected team total with an average of 2.98 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 18.68% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.42 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 17.24% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.29 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 17.36% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.15 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be SG, PG, G, SF, PF, F, C with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 22.97% of your projected team total with an average of 74.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 24.31% of your projected team total with an average of 78.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.84% of your projected team total with an average of 53.9 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 18.30% of your projected team total with an average of 68.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.57% of your projected team total with an average of 42.9 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be SF, PG, PF, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 312.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • D-Wade is listed as a GTD and he missed last night, which allowed for Deng and Dragic to go off. You might consider that combo again tonight.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here.


DiRTy Plays Friday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 19, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 19% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Andre Drummond has an 84% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.74 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Curry, Westbrook, Durant & Harden are all averaging over 50 points during their last 5 games.
  • Drue Holiday is averaging 42.15 points per game over his last 5 with a salary of only $6,900
  • Gobert and Dieng are averaging over 38 fantasy points per game over their last 5, both with a salary of $6,700

 


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 23.51% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.76 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 21.17% of your projected team total with an average of 2.84 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 18.54% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.42 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 19.12% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.34 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 17.67% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.27 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, SF, F, C with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 22.69% of your projected team total with an average of 72.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 21.48% of your projected team total with an average of 68.9 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.72% of your projected team total with an average of 56.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 21.74% of your projected team total with an average of 69.7 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.38% of your projected team total with an average of 48.6 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PG, PF, SG, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 321.8 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Rajon Rondo: UPDATE: Rondo is listed as probable for Friday’s game against Denver with turf toe, Sean Cunningham of ABC 10 Sacramento (KXTV) reports.
  • Kawhi Leonard: UPDATE: Leonard will not be playing in Thursday’s game against the Clippers due to calf tightness, Jabari Young of the San Antonio Express-News reports. Check back to see about tonight’s contest.
  • Marc Gasol: Is out for 4 – 6 months and will be out for the rest of the season.
  • Hassan Whiteside: UPDATE: Whiteside has been suspended for one game by the NBA and will be held out of Miami’s game against Atlanta next Friday, Jason Lieser of The Palm Beach Post reports.
  • D-Wade: UPDATE: Wade (knee) is listed as a game-time call for Friday’s game against the Hawks, Shandel Richardson of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
  • Chris Bosh: UPDATE: Bosh (calf) will not practice Wednesday and the team announced that he will not travel with the team for Miami’s game in Atlanta on Friday, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
  • Brandon Knight: UPDATE: Knight (groin) took part in some shooting drills and individual workouts at Wednesday’s practice, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports. “He’s moving better,” interim coach Earl Watson said of Knight. “He’s progressing. The main thing with him will be to bring him along slowly in steps.”

Don’t forget to check back for our 5 Point Play @ 6:00 EST, our daily NBA DFS insight, as you set your lineups prior to the first tip off tonight.


DiRTy Plays Thursday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 18, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


Absolutes_1The DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilized a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2Spend_1The next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProj_1This analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreak_1In this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlay_1The full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • John Wall is #1 overall and should be considered in all formats for tonight.
  • DeAndre Jordan is our top double-double player tonight.
  • JR Smith is our top 3 point shooter for tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5_1In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • John Wall, Chris Paul, DeAndre Jordan, LeBron James and Kyrie Irving are the only guys over 40 during their last 5 games.
  • Jamal Crawford has been over 30 during his last 5 and is only priced at $5,100 tonight.
  • Patty Mills is only priced at $4,500 and has been just under 25 during his last 5. Keep an eye out for Parker to see if he will in fact play, if not Mills is a must start tonight.

Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 21.57% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.16 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 21.40% of your projected team total with an average of 2.19 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 22.03% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.86 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 21.61% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.84 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 13.39% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.02 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be SF, PF, F, PG, SG, G, C with a projected score of 273 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 21.52% of your projected team total with an average of 64.7 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 24.06% of your projected team total with an average of 72.4 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 21.31% of your projected team total with an average of 64.1 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 19.39% of your projected team total with an average of 58.3 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 13.73% of your projected team total with an average of 41.3 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be SG, PG, SF, PF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 309.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Kevin Love: UPDATE: Love (shoulder) took part in practice Wednesday and is listed as probable for Thursday’s matchup with the Bulls, Jason Lloyd of the Akron Beacon Journal reports.
  • Tony Parker: Listed as a GTD tonight with an ankle injury
  • Manu Ginobli: Listed as Out tonight, should be about 3-4 more weeks before he comes back. Look for Danny Green to continue his hot streak
  • Nikola Mirotic: He will still be out but who knows who will get the start but Moore has been playing well of late.

Don’t forget to check back for our 5 Point Play @ 6:00 EST, our daily NBA DFS insight, as you set your lineups prior to the first tip off tonight.


DiRTy Plays Wednesday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 10, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilized a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • The top Triple-Double guy for tonight is Draymond Green with a 20% chance of hitting this mark tonight.
  • The top Double-Double player for tonight is Andre Drummond with a 83% projected rating.
  • The top 3 point shooter for tonight is Steph Curry with a projected 4.71 three’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • James Harden and Steph Curry are the only players over 50 with Harden #1 at 57.45.
  • Anthony Davis, LeBron James and DeAndre Jordan over 45+ fantasy points.
  • Kobe Bryant has the lowest salary at $6,200 on DraftKings for this full list and is ranked #7 over the last 5 games with a DraftKings average of 43.25 fantasy points per game during that span.

Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 23.28% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.83 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 20.78% of your projected team total with an average of 1.96 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 18.41% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.47 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 19.30% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.82 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 18.32% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.27 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, SF, F, C with a projected score of 298 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 22.25% of your projected team total with an average of 70.1 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 22.09% of your projected team total with an average of 69.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.79% of your projected team total with an average of 56 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 20.96% of your projected team total with an average of 66 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.9% of your projected team total with an average of 47.9 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PG, SG, PF, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 309.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Jimmy Butler: He will be sidelined for 3 – 4 weeks so look for E’Twan Moore to start in his place.
  • Marc Gasol: Has a broken foot and is out indefinitely. At this point Ryan Hollins is projected to start in his place as this could be a season ending injury for Gasol.
  • Kobe Bryant: UPDATE: Bryant (shoulder) is considered questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Cavaliers, Mark Medina of the L.A. Daily News reports.
  • Brandon Knight: Will not play until after the All-Star Break so Goodwin will start again tonight.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: He will be out until after the All-Star break so look for Stanley Johnson to continue to get his minutes with huge upside again tonight.
  • Tobias Harris: UPDATE: Harris (ankle) did not go through shootaround, but he still may have a chance to play Wednesday against the Spurs, John Denton of OrlandoMagic.com reports.

Don’t forget to check back for our 5 Point Play @ 6:00 EST, our daily NBA DFS insight, as you set your lineups prior to the first tip off tonight.