DiRTy Plays #NBA Monday 5pt Play – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 22, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016


DiRTy Plays – Monday 5 Point Play

The Lineup Analzyer is in full affect now, just click here to check it out! Now, I will walk you through 5 key points and end with The DiRT Canon top lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings, along with the lineup analysis for you to consider tonight!

Point 1 – Value Plays:

  • Point Guard – Jordan Clarkson is our top value play with a value on DraftKings of -1.14 and for FanDuel, Cory Jospeh has a value of -1.14.
  • Shooting Guard – Kyle Korver leads our value play at SG with a FanDuel value of +1.84 and on DraftKings a -0.31. He is a strong consideration for value tonight.
  • Small Forward – P.J. Tucker is our leader with a -.95 on FanDuel value and, Giannis Antetokounmpo is -3.25 on DraftKings.
  • Power Forward – Gorgui Dieng is our top value for FanDuel at -1.92 and, Patrick Patterson on DraftKings is at -4.61.
  • Center – Jordan Hill leads this category with a -2.61 value on FanDuel and Jared Sullinger is -2.65 on DraftKings; Sullinger is a strong play with Oliynk out for the next 3-4 weeks, he will see extended time on the floor with a nice matchup tonight.

I wanted to add some additional value player to our list today as these players are within our variance threshold but also have a projection of at least 30 fantasy points for tonight. This should help you with your player selection for tonight as these are guys with great matchups and should have solid performances relative to their assigned salary. Those players are as follows:

  • Point Guard – Ricky Rubio is our top projected PG from a value perspective with a projection of 32.2 on FanDuel and Jordan Clarkson with a 30.66 on DraftKings.
  • Shooting Guard – Khris Middleton leads this category at 40.50 projection on DraftKings and a value of -2.7 where on FanDuel his projection is 37.41 and a -2.49.
  • Small Forward – Giannis Antetokounmpo is our top SF from a value perspective with a FanDuel projection of 36.69 and on DraftKings, he has a projection of 39.35 tonight.
  • Power Forward – Gorgui Dieng is our top value PF for Fanduel tonight with a projection of 30.62.   Julius Randle is projected at 31.13 for DraftKings.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan is the top center for tonight in Fanduel with a projection of 36.66.  Jared Sullinger in DraftKings with a projection of 31.55.

Point 2 – Top 5 Players to Consider:

Below are our top 5 players when considering all of our custom metrics such as big play potential, projection to spend ratio, overall projection and opponent rank:

FanDuel_

  • Point Guard – Steph Curry is our top PG for tonight with a projection of 44.28.
  • Shooting Guard – Khris Middleton is the top SG for tonight with a projection of 37.41.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James is the top projected player at this position with a 40.11.
  • Power Forward – Draymond Green is our top PF for tonight with a projection of 33.57.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan is our top projected center for tonight with a projection of 36.66.

draftkings

  • Point Guard – Steph Curry has a top projection of 48.41 tonight.
  • Shooting Guard – Khris Middleton is our top SG for tonight at 40.50.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James has a top projection for SF’s tonight at 43.02.
  • Power Forward – Draymond Green is the top projected PF tonight at 36.96.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan also leads the Centers on DraftKings with a projection of 39.10 tonight.

Point 3 – Lineup Stack Potentials:

In this section we will breakdown the Vegas Odds and provide you with some potential lineup stacks that will accommodate for the salary restrictions for both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Top 3 Over/Under Matchups:

  1. Golden State vs. Atlanta (225.5 projected pts)
  2. Boston vs. Minnesota (217 projected pts)
  3. Phoenix vs. LA Clippers (212 projected pts)

Projected Points per Team:

  1. Golden St Warriors (116 projected pts)
  2. LA Clippers (114 projected pts)
  3. Boston Celtics (111 projected pts)
  4. Sacramento Kings (110.5 projected pts)
  5. Atlanta Hawks (109 projected pts)
  6. Cleveland Cavs (108 projected pts)

*This information was provided by http://www.fivedimes.com

FanDuel_To download the top 3 stacks for FanDuel tonight, just click the link below:

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack2

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack3

draftkingsTo download the top 3 stacks for DraftKings tonight, just click the link below:

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack2

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack3

Point 4 – Key Injuries:

  • injuryChris Paul: UPDATE: Paul left Saturday’s loss to Golden State with a thigh injury but is expected to be OK, reports.
  • Kyrie Irving: UPDATE: Irving is dealing with an illness and will not return to Sunday’s game against the Thunder, Joe Gabriele of Cavs.com reports. If he doesn’t go, look for Delledova to get the start.
  • Dwayne Wade: UPDATE: Wade (knee) is listed as a game-time decision for Monday’s tilt with the Pacers, Jason Lieser of the Palm Beach Post reports.
  • Chris Bosh: UPDATE: Bosh (calf) will not play in Monday’s game against the Pacers, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. With him sidelined again, look for Deng to play high minutes.
  • George Hill: UPDATE: Hill is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Heat with a right elbow sprain, the team announced.
  • Andrew Bogut: UPDATE: Bogut (Achilles) is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Hawks, Chris Vivlamore of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
  • Tyson Chandler: UPDATE: Chandler (shoulder) is considered doubtful for Monday’s game against the Clippers, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports.
  • Jared Bayless: UPDATE: Bayless (knee) has been ruled out for Monday’s game against the Lakers, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
  • John Henson: UPDATE: Henson (back) is listed as out for Monday’s game against the Lakers, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.

Point 5 – Absolutes:

This information is based on the overall projection of each player as well as the opponent they are playing against. We combine those factors and determine the best plays broken down by salary range. To get a full copy of this report for DraftKings click here, for FanDuel click here.

  • The top overall #AbsoluteMustHave is LeBron James for both sites tonight as he has the best matchup, value and projection combo for tonight.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteNotable is Andrew Wiggins for both DraftKings and FanDuel tonight as his mid range salary makes him a strong consideration in all formats.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteSleeper is Zach LaVine on DraftKings with Tristan Thompson leading this category for FanDuel.

DraftKings Lineup Consideration

DK_LAFor DraftKings tonight, we have some interesting matchups but when looking at overall performance the games to really take advantage of are going to be the Bucks against the Lakers and then the Boston and T-Wolves game. In this lineup we have 7 of our 8 roster spots coming from these two games as the key players for each team matchup well with what the opposing defenses end up giving up. Thomas leads this group as our top chalk play and he is coming off a 49 point performance against Denver on Sunday. Next we have Middleton and Antetokoumnpo, who both have been playing lights out but are relatively unknown, even in the fantasy community which means they should have low ownership. This will be key given the fact that there is a 100k 1st place top prize in the $3, Sharpshooter contest tonight. Next we have Julius Randle at PF and Jared Sullinger at Center. Both players have been consistently hitting that 30 point marker and both should see plenty of playing time tonight. We finish this lineup with Kyle Korver, Marcus Morris and Ricky Rubio. All three should combine for approximately 110 fantasy points tonight and with the bonuses that DraftKings has in their scoring system, these are all strong plays for either 3 point makes or in Rubio’s case, a double-double.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.

FanDuel Lineup Consideration

FD_LAFor our top FanDuel lineup, we are not only looking at the top projection but also looking for the trend of the team and in doing so we have identified a lineup that has been averaging over 300 points over their last 5 games. This is key as you look to build your lineup as you want to ensure that not only is their a high enough projection for tonight but what has this team been doing. In this particular lineup we also have a top score for this lineup of 445 points. That always needs to be at least 400, otherwise, your likelihood of hitting a bit amount in a main contest is pretty unlikely. In breaking down this lineup, we have two Heat players of Deng and Dragic as both have been playing well and with Bosh definitely out tonight and Wade listed as questionable, these two are must plays even though their projections might not be as high as you would like. Next we have Jordan Clarkson, who has been lights out of late and will continue to do so as long as he plays 30+ minutes per game. At the SG, we have Wiggins and Middleton tonight as Middleton should lead all SG’s tonight. Alongside Deng, we are going to roll with Antetokounmpo as he has torched the Lakers in every game he has played against them, including a 50 point fantasy night. At the PF, we have Tristan Thompson, who is starting at Center for the Cavs and since that move has almost averaged a double-double and his PF companion is Gorgui Dieng. Dieng still has too much value to be ignored and he will get at least 30 fantasy points tonight. At Center, we are rolling with The DiRT Canon top projected center of DeAndre Jordan but you will have enough cap for any center that you would like with this lineup so if you want to go with Towns, you will have the room to afford him as well.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.


If you would like for us to analyze your lineup, just contact us here or DM us on Facebook or Twitter.

DiRTy Plays Sunday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 21, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Russell Westbrook has a 11% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Andre Drummond has an 84% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Paul George is projected to hit 2.87 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Damian Lillard is the hottest player in the NBA right now at 55.6 fantasy points per game over his last 5 including a 70+ in his last game against the Warriors
  • Westbrook & Durant continue to produce 50+ fantasy points each and every time they step out onto the court.
  • Rudy Gobert leads the list for players under $7,000 assigned salary with 38+ fantasy points over his last 5 games.

Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 23.85% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.79 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 20.53% of your projected team total with an average of 2.14 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 17.85% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.21 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 19.95% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.30 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 17.82% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.19 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, SF, F, C with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 23.11% of your projected team total with an average of 72.7 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 20.31% of your projected team total with an average of 63.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.43% of your projected team total with an average of 54.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 23.37% of your projected team total with an average of 73.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 15.78% of your projected team total with an average of 49.6 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PF, PG, SG, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 314.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Kobe Bryant: UPDATE: Bryant is probable to play Sunday versus the Bulls after dislocating his finger in Friday’s matchup with the Spurs, Mike Bresnahan of the Los Angeles Times reports.
  • Deron Williams: UPDATE: Williams is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game against the 76ers due to an ankle injury, Earl K. Sneed of Mavs.com reports.
  • Jerami Grant: UPDATE: Grant (eye) sat out of practice Saturday, but is still listed as probable heading into Sunday’s game against the Mavericks, Jessica Camerato of CSN Philly reports
  • Kawhi Leonard: UPDATE: Leonard (left calf tightness) is questionable for Sunday’s game against the Suns.
  • Brandon Knight: UPDATE: Knight (groin) took part in some shooting drills and individual workouts at Wednesday’s practice, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports. “He’s moving better,” interim coach Earl Watson said of Knight. “He’s progressing. The main thing with him will be to bring him along slowly in steps.”
  • Tyson Chandler: UPDATE: Chandler’s shoulder injury has been diagnosed as a sprain rather than a strain, but it remains uncertain if he’ll be able to play Sunday against the Spurs, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports.
  • Iman Shumpert: UPDATE: Shumpert (shoulder) is doubtful for Sunday’s game against the Thunder, Tom Withers of the Associated Press reports.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here.


DiRTy Plays Saturday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 20, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


absolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


proj2spendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


dailyprojThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


salarybreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

bigplayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 19% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • DeAndre Jordan has an 59% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.78 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Curry, Westbrook, Durant & Harden are all averaging over 50 points during their last 5 games.
  • Drue Holiday is averaging 42.15 points per game over his last 5 with a salary of only $6,900
  • Gobert and Dieng are averaging over 38 fantasy points per game over their last 5, both with a salary of $6,700

 


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 22.93% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.42 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 23.89% of your projected team total with an average of 2.98 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 18.68% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.42 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 17.24% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.29 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 17.36% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.15 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be SG, PG, G, SF, PF, F, C with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 22.97% of your projected team total with an average of 74.6 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 24.31% of your projected team total with an average of 78.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.84% of your projected team total with an average of 53.9 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 18.30% of your projected team total with an average of 68.5 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.57% of your projected team total with an average of 42.9 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be SF, PG, PF, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 312.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • D-Wade is listed as a GTD and he missed last night, which allowed for Deng and Dragic to go off. You might consider that combo again tonight.

Don’t forget to use the Lineup Analyzer™ to get our custom recommendations, just click here.


DiRTy Plays Friday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 19, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


AbsolutesThe DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilizes a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2SpendThe next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProjThis analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreakIn this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlayThe full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • Draymond Green has a 19% chance of hitting a triple-double tonight.
  • Andre Drummond has an 84% of hitting a double-double tonight.
  • Steph Curry is projected to hit 4.74 3’s tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • Curry, Westbrook, Durant & Harden are all averaging over 50 points during their last 5 games.
  • Drue Holiday is averaging 42.15 points per game over his last 5 with a salary of only $6,900
  • Gobert and Dieng are averaging over 38 fantasy points per game over their last 5, both with a salary of $6,700

 


Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 23.51% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.76 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 21.17% of your projected team total with an average of 2.84 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 18.54% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.42 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 19.12% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.34 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 17.67% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.27 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be PG, SG, G, PF, SF, F, C with a projected score of 289 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 22.69% of your projected team total with an average of 72.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 21.48% of your projected team total with an average of 68.9 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 17.72% of your projected team total with an average of 56.8 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 21.74% of your projected team total with an average of 69.7 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 16.38% of your projected team total with an average of 48.6 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be PG, PF, SG, SF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 321.8 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Rajon Rondo: UPDATE: Rondo is listed as probable for Friday’s game against Denver with turf toe, Sean Cunningham of ABC 10 Sacramento (KXTV) reports.
  • Kawhi Leonard: UPDATE: Leonard will not be playing in Thursday’s game against the Clippers due to calf tightness, Jabari Young of the San Antonio Express-News reports. Check back to see about tonight’s contest.
  • Marc Gasol: Is out for 4 – 6 months and will be out for the rest of the season.
  • Hassan Whiteside: UPDATE: Whiteside has been suspended for one game by the NBA and will be held out of Miami’s game against Atlanta next Friday, Jason Lieser of The Palm Beach Post reports.
  • D-Wade: UPDATE: Wade (knee) is listed as a game-time call for Friday’s game against the Hawks, Shandel Richardson of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
  • Chris Bosh: UPDATE: Bosh (calf) will not practice Wednesday and the team announced that he will not travel with the team for Miami’s game in Atlanta on Friday, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
  • Brandon Knight: UPDATE: Knight (groin) took part in some shooting drills and individual workouts at Wednesday’s practice, Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic reports. “He’s moving better,” interim coach Earl Watson said of Knight. “He’s progressing. The main thing with him will be to bring him along slowly in steps.”

Don’t forget to check back for our 5 Point Play @ 6:00 EST, our daily NBA DFS insight, as you set your lineups prior to the first tip off tonight.


DiRTy Plays #NBA Thursday 5pt Play – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 18, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016


DiRTy Plays – Thursday 5 Point Play

Back from our All-Star break and we are ready to get down to it. Now, I will walk you through 5 key points and end with The DiRT Canon top lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings, along with the lineup analysis for you to consider tonight!

Point 1 – Value Plays:

  • Point Guard – Neto is our top value play with a value on FanDuel of -1.33 and DraftKings value of -4.41. You need to watch if Trey Burke is going to play as this would eliminate him from being considered tonight due to lack of playing time.
  • Shooting Guard – Danny Green leads our value play at SG with a FanDuel value of +.04 and on DraftKings a -2.49. He is a must play tonight.
  • Small Forward – Doug McDermott is our leader with a -2.51 on FanDuel value and -2.01 on DraftKings.
  • Power Forward – Tristan Thompson is our top value for FanDuel at -1.14 and on DraftKings he is at -3.24. If Love doesn’t play then he would be a must start so you can take 3 superstars tonight.
  • Center – Mozgov leads this category with a -7.12 value on FanDuel and -9.32 on DraftKings but the reality of it is that he should not be considered unless you need to reach at center tonight.

I wanted to add some additional value player to our list today as these players are within our variance threshold but also have a projection of at least 30 fantasy points for tonight. This should help you with your player selection for tonight as these are guys with great matchups and should have solid performances relative to their assigned salary. Those players are as follows:

  • Point Guard – CP3 is our top projected PG from a value perspective with a projection of 37.73 on FanDuel and 40.59 on DraftKings.
  • Shooting Guard – Rodney Hood leads this category at 31.39 projection on DraftKings and a value of -6.41 where on FanDuel his projection is 29.09 and a -2.41. Not a lot of options here but between Green, Hood and Crawford, those are you strong plays for tonight.
  • Small Forward – Kawai Leonard is our top SF from a value perspective with a FanDuel projection of 35.13 and Draftkings projection of 37.48 tonight.
  • Power Forward – Kevin Love is our top value PF tonight, if he plays, he should do well with the injuries on the front line to Chicago.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan is the top center for tonight as he has been killing it so look for another double-double for tonight.

Point 2 – Top 5 Players to Consider:

Below are our top 5 players when considering all of our custom metrics such as big play potential, projection to spend ratio, overall projection and opponent rank:

FanDuel_

  • Point Guard – John Wall is our top PG for tonight as he is our top last 5 player with a nice matchup against the Jazz at the PG position.
  • Shooting Guard – Danny Green is the top SG for tonight from a value perspective. Beal should be considered as well as Hood but if you but if you are looking for similar production with some salary savings he is your guy.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James is the top projected player at this position with a 40.07.
  • Power Forward – Kevin Love is our top player for tonight.
  • Center – DeAndre Jordan should lead all centers tonight.

draftkings

  • Point Guard – Chris Paul should be considered for DraftKings because of his triple-double potential.
  • Shooting Guard – Rodney Hood is our top SG for tonight.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James has a top projection for SF’s tonight at 43.58.
  • Power Forward – Kevin Love is the top projected PF tonight at 33.38.
  • Center – Jordan also leads the Centers on DraftKings with a projection of 34.73 tonight.

Point 3 – Lineup Stack Potentials:

In this section we will breakdown the Vegas Odds and provide you with some potential player stacks that will accommodate for the salary restrictions for both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Top 3 Over/Under Matchups:

  1. Chicago Bulls vs. Cleveland Cavs (206 projected pts)
  2. San Antonio Spurs vs. LA Clippers (205.5 projected pts)
  3. Utah Jazz vs. Washington Wizards (196.5 projected pts)

Projected Points per Team:

  1. Cleveland Cavs (109.5 projected pts)
  2. San Antonio Spurs (105 projected pts)
  3. LA Clippers (100.5 projected pts)
  4. Utah Jazz (99 projected pts)
  5. Washington Wizards (98.5 projected pts)
  6. Chicago Bulls (96.5 projected pts)

*This information was provided by http://www.fivedimes.com

FanDuel_For FanDuel here is the top lineup stack for tonight. To download a copy of our Lineup Analzyer™ version of each, just click the link below.

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

draftkingsFor DraftKings here is the top lineup stack for tonight. To download a copy of our Lineup Analzyer™ version of each, just click the link below.

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

 

Point 4 – Key Injuries:

  • injuryNo real injuries to report for tonight with everyone coming off a long break. Look for Love to play tonight and Tony Parker should at least split minutes with Mills but should still see the floor.
  • Be sure to check just before tip in order to ensure there are no late scratches for tonight!

Point 5 – Absolutes:

This information is based on the overall projection of each player as well as the opponent they are playing against. We combine those factors and determine the best plays broken down by salary range. To get a full copy of this report for DraftKings click here, for FanDuel click here.

  • The top overall #AbsoluteMustHave is DeAndre Jordan for both sites tonight as he has the best matchup, value and projection combo for tonight.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteNotable is Brad Beal on DraftKings with Derrick Rose leading this category for FanDuel
  • The top overall #AbsoluteSleeper isPatty Mills for both sites as he will look to split the minutes with Tony Parker and has put up huge numbers when given the chance of late.

DraftKings Lineup Consideration

DK_LineupAnalyzerAs John Wall is our chalk play for tonight, we are also able to add Aldridge and Hayward to our list of high end notable players. Gortat comes in with high upside at the Center position, although DeAndre Jordan is expected to be the top center for tonight. We have Danny Green and Jamal Crawford, combined with Rodney Hood as our guards should produce well for us tonight from both a value and overall production perspective. Last we have David West and while Duncan is expected to play tonight, West should still get around 20 minutes and should get us around 20 fantasy points for tonight.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.

FanDuel Lineup Consideration

FD_LineupAnalyzer On FanDuel tonight, we have a great combo at PG with Wall and Irving. Only CP3 should out produce these guys tonight with Wall #1, CP3 #2 and Irving #3 but considering the price difference, Irving is a strong play here. At SG, we have Green and Hood as our top SG’s for tonight. At SF we have to eliminate James from our selection in order to fill our lineup with top projected performers as such we are rolling with Hayward and Leonard at this position tonight. Bobby Portis and Tristan Thompson lead our PF’s for tonight as we look for value there. Both are going to be wildcard plays tonight in that they could only get 40 fantasy points combined but considering the cost, they should get us over 50 fantasy points. Last we have Gortat at the Center position as we look to get 32+ fantasy points for tonight. Look for this lineup to reach 290+ fantasy points.

To download a full copy of this lineup, click here.


If you would like for us to analyze your lineup, just contact us here or DM us on Facebook or Twitter.

 

DiRTy Plays Thursday #NBA – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 18, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

Absolute Player Breakdown


Absolutes_1The DiRT Canon Absolute Player Breakdown is a compilation of information that utilized a custom segmentation of salary for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The three categories that are used for analysis purposes are #AbsoluteMustHave, #AbsoluteNotable & #AbsoluteSleeper. These categories use the following salary ranges:

  • $7,000 & Above = MustHave
  • $5,200 – $6,900 = Notable
  • Under $5,200 = Sleeper

Players that are considered to be MustHave’s that top this list are the equivalent of Chalk plays for today’s contests. We breakdown these items for each position knowing that you won’t be able to take all of these players but this will give you the best chance to ensure you have selected from the projected top players for today. As we move into the Notable category, now this is where you separate from cashing and from losing. The need for at least 3 players in this category means that you have to ensure you take the guys that typically average between 25 fantasy points per game and 33 fantasy points per game, that have the highest chance of going for 40 points or more tonight. The sleeper category is where you now look to separate from the bottom of the cash pile to the top of the cash pile. For daily NBA contests, this usually means finding the guy(s) who have a higher point per minute than the average and are expected to play more minutes, either because of injury to other players or their average minutes played per game is trending up.

To download today’s DraftKings Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.

To download today’s FanDuel Absolute Player Breakdown report click here.


DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016

FD_Basketball_Image

Projection-2-Spend Breakdown


Proj2Spend_1The next set of information that should be reviewed are the value plays for today’s games. Most fantasy sports information sites have their own value system, which takes their projection and divides that by the assigned salary. Here at The DiRT Canon, we go above and beyond standard metrics that really don’t give you much information and instead we look to provide a more in-depth analysis of value. In processing the results of thousands of contests at all levels of entry fees, The DiRT Canon, has been able to identify the minimum winning score on average, weighting several factors such as number of games played, overall rank of teams playing, Vegas odds, projected over-under scores and much more in order to forecast the needed score to win tonight. This will be further provided in future releases to our customers and to sign up just click here and enter Promo code WIN.

Now that we have the projected score needed to win, we can now look at the assigned salary in order to determine the Needed Points, that each player will need to achieve in order to be worth the assigned salary for each daily fantasy site. Then we take our Overall DiRT Canon projection and subtract that value from the Needed Points in order to determine if that player has value or not. When you are able to identify players that have high average fantasy points per game and are of value for today’s games, these are the strongest plays you can find. When you have lower salaried players with high variances in this area, these are also players that should be considered in building your lineup.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Projection-2-Spend report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Projection-2-Spend report click here.


Daily Projections


DailyProj_1This analysis is as straight forward as it gets from us. This is our daily projection for players that are eligible for contests tonight. This information is broken down by position so you are able to quickly identify the players that have the highest projection. The one factor that The DiRT Canon brings to the table that no one else considers is the fact that we have a projection that is based on the Last 5 games, Last 10 games, Full Season and the we have a custom Overall Projection. At a glance this will give you a trending perspective for each player that visually you are able to determine who you should select.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Daily Projection report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Daily Projection report click here.

To get an excel version of both projections, click here.


Banner_NewLogo_FullFanDuel_Salary Breakdown


SalaryBreak_1In this section, we provide the ability to find players, regardless of position at a specific salary range. This ultimately allows for you to make some of your final lineup selections as you look to compare the projection and expected performance of players within a certain set of salary ranges. Have only $5,500 dollars left, you can find the best guy at that salary. Can’t be more simple than that as we include the projections and value for these players to make this selection process as easy as possible.

To download a copy of today’s DraftKings Salary Breakdown report click here.

To download a copy of today’s FanDuel Salary Breakdown report click here.


Big Play Potential

BigPlay_1The full version of the Big Play Potential and this should be a highly used set of information specifically for DraftKings as this will be a big indication for having players hit those all important bonuses.

  • John Wall is #1 overall and should be considered in all formats for tonight.
  • DeAndre Jordan is our top double-double player tonight.
  • JR Smith is our top 3 point shooter for tonight.

Be sure to check out the detail of this report as you will get to see how players are trending in their last 5 and last 10 games relative to these categories.

To download a full copy of this report, click here.


Hot Hands

Last5_1In this section we will provide a quick breakdown of those players that have the highest, last 5 game average for fantasy points so you can see if there are players that are playing well of late that you should consider when building your lineup(s) for today’s contests.

Some key highlights from this information are as follows:

  • John Wall, Chris Paul, DeAndre Jordan, LeBron James and Kyrie Irving are the only guys over 40 during their last 5 games.
  • Jamal Crawford has been over 30 during his last 5 and is only priced at $5,100 tonight.
  • Patty Mills is only priced at $4,500 and has been just under 25 during his last 5. Keep an eye out for Parker to see if he will in fact play, if not Mills is a must start tonight.

Positional Breakdown

In this section we will provide you with the FanDuel and DraftKings positional analysis based on players that are available for today in order to better assist you with the order in which you should be selecting player as you create your winning lineup(s).

  • draftkingsPG – Represents 21.57% of your projected team point total with an average of 2.16 PG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • SG – Represents 21.40% of your projected team total with an average of 2.19 SG’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days
  • SF – Represents 22.03% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.86 SF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • PF – Represents 21.61% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.84 PF’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.
  • C – Represents 13.39% of your projected team point total with an average of 1.02 C’s per winning lineup over the past 7 days.

Order for tonight, based on percentage of projected points would be SF, PF, F, PG, SG, G, C with a projected score of 273 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.

  • PG – Represents 21.52% of your projected team total with an average of 64.7 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • FanDuel_SG – Represents 24.06% of your projected team total with an average of 72.4 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • SF – Represents 21.31% of your projected team total with an average of 64.1 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • PF – Represents 19.39% of your projected team total with an average of 58.3 points for this position for winning lineups.
  • C – Represents 13.73% of your projected team total with an average of 41.3 points for this position for winning lineups.

Order for tonight, based on projected points per position would be SG, PG, SF, PF, C and the number for tonight is projected to be 309.6 to cash in main tournaments at 95% chance of winning.


Key Injuries

injuryInjuries as of 11:30 a.m. EST are as follows:

  • Kevin Love: UPDATE: Love (shoulder) took part in practice Wednesday and is listed as probable for Thursday’s matchup with the Bulls, Jason Lloyd of the Akron Beacon Journal reports.
  • Tony Parker: Listed as a GTD tonight with an ankle injury
  • Manu Ginobli: Listed as Out tonight, should be about 3-4 more weeks before he comes back. Look for Danny Green to continue his hot streak
  • Nikola Mirotic: He will still be out but who knows who will get the start but Moore has been playing well of late.

Don’t forget to check back for our 5 Point Play @ 6:00 EST, our daily NBA DFS insight, as you set your lineups prior to the first tip off tonight.


DiRTy Plays #NBA Wednesday 5pt Play – Teaching You How to #Win #DFS

February 10, 2016

DiRTyPlays_Logo_Jan27_2016


DiRTy Plays – Wednesday 5 Point Play

In recapping last night’s performance, it was an amazing game to cap off the night in Golden State as we had Harden and Curry on display. Both players ended up going for over 50 fantasy points yet again and it was fun to watch as the Warriors jumped out to a lead with Harden getting it rolling in the 2nd quarter to get it back within reach by half time. The 3rd quarter was back and forth but Harrison Barnes put down 14 points in the fourth quarter, including a three to finish the game that cost thousands of fantasy players from staying in the bubble for the cash! Another player that we highly touted yesterday was John Wall and he had an amazing performance with 28 points and 17 assists but it was Rodney Hood who took down the notables yesterday. Bogut was the top Sleeper pick just as we predicted for his value, coming through with over 40 fantasy points. Now, I will walk you through 5 key points and end with The DiRT Canon top lineup for both FanDuel and DraftKings, along with the lineup analysis for you to consider tonight!

Point 1 – Value Plays:

  • Point Guard – On DraftKings Patty Mills with an overall value of -1.25 and Ish Canaan on FanDuel with a positive 1.22. Both players are projected over 20 so this could be great value plays in order to get 2 or 3 top tiered players.
  • Shooting Guard – Danny Green leads our value play at SG tonight with a positive value of 1.32 on FanDuel and -2.73 on DraftKings. Since Ginobli is out, look for him to continue to contribute between 20 and 35 fantasy points each night.
  • Small Forward – Joe Johnson is our top value play at -3.76 on DraftKings and Aminu on FanDuel at -2.43. Johnson is a nice play for this position on DraftKings because this position, aside from the top salary players, tends to produce the least amount of fantasy points each night. Aminu has been hit or miss with a 58% confidence rating but is projected at 23.82 tonight.
  • Power Forward – Tristan Thompson is our top value for FanDuel at -.32 and Mike Scott tops this list on DraftKings with a value of -4.23. This means that most of the PF’s on DraftKings are significantly over priced so taking a chalk play here makes more sense for just that reason as Scott only has a projection of 14.73.
  • Center – For DraftKings we have Biyombo with a projection of 21.03 and a value of -2.37 where he leads this category on FanDuel with a positive .21 and a projection of 19.64 and a salary of only $3,700.

I wanted to add some additional value player to our list today as these players are within our variance threshold but also have a projection of at least 30 fantasy points for tonight. This should help you with your player selection for tonight as these are guys with great matchups and should have solid performances relative to their assigned salary. Those players are as follows:

  • Point Guard – For FanDuel we have Rubio with a projection of 30.5 and an overall value of -5.2 where DraftKings his projection is 32.29 and a value of -4.91.
  • Shooting Guard – On DraftKings we have Evan Turner coming in with a projection of 30.54 and a value of -3.06 which is #2 overall. For FanDuel we have to go all the way down to James Harden who has a projection of 49.73 and a value of -6.3. This means Harden should be a chalk play for tonight on FanDuel but that there are also a ton of mid salary guys that could produce value for you tonight.
  • Small Forward – FanDuel we go all the way down to #23 where LeBron James sits on our value list as he is projected to score 46.33 fantasy points and a value of -7.22. This means he would need to score 53.55 points to be worthy of his assigned salary and score enough to be on a winning lineup, that is within reach for sure. On DraftKings his projection is 49.38 with a value of -9.42 which puts him at 58.8, also within reach so another potential chalk play tonight.
  • Power Forward – Thad Young leads us here for DraftKings with a projection of 33.13 and a value of -8.27. On FanDuel his projection is 30.74 and a value of -6.01. Both of these should be achievable marks for him to hit on either site.
  • Center – Karl-Anthony Towns is our leader for FanDuel with a projection of 37.03 and a -8.64 value or a Needed Points™ of 45.94 to hit his value and he has been around that mark for the past month. Gorgui Jieng is our DraftKings center just in front of Towns with a projection of 30.6 tonight.

Point 2 – Top 5 Players to Consider:

Below are our top 5 players when considering all of our custom metrics such as big play potential, projection to spend ratio, overall projection and opponent rank:

FanDuel_

  • Point Guard – Steph Curry is the leader with a top projection for this position with a projection of 40.2. He should easily surpass that number again tonight.
  • Shooting Guard – James Harden has our top projection for tonight at 49.73 fantasy points for tonight.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James is the top projected player at this position with a 46.33 and he has been right around that mark in each of his last 5 games.
  • Power Forward – Anthony Davis is the top projected PF tonight with a projection of 39.77 tonight.
  • Center – Karl-Anthony Towns is the top projected center for tonight at 37.03 fantasy points.

draftkings

  • Point Guard – Steph Curry is our leader for projection at PG on DraftKings as well with a projection of 44.39 fantasy points tonight.
  • Shooting Guard – James Harden is the top projected player on DraftKings tonight at 54.14 fantasy points tonight.
  • Small Forward – LeBron James has a top projection for SF’s tonight at 49.38.
  • Power Forward – Anthony Davis is the top projected PF tonight at 42.15.
  • Center – Towns also leads the Centers on DraftKings with a projection of 39.78 tonight.

Point 3 – Lineup Stack Potentials:

In this section we will breakdown the Vegas Odds and provide you with some potential player stacks that will accommodate for the salary restrictions for both FanDuel and DraftKings.

Top 3 Over/Under Matchups:

  1. Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns (221 projected pts)
  2. Sacramento Kings vs. Philadelphia 76ers (218.5 projected pts)
  3. Houston Rockets vs. Portland Trailblazers (214 projected pts)

Top 5 Projected Points per Team:

  1. Golden State Warriors (119 projected pts)
  2. Sacramento Kings (111.5 projected pts)
  3. Cleveland Cavs (111.5 projected pts)
  4. Portland Trailblazers (109.5 projected pts)
  5. Detroit Pistons & Philadelphia 76ers (107 projected pts)

*This information was provided by http://www.fivedimes.com

FanDuel_For FanDuel here are the top 3 lineup stacks for tonight. To download a copy of our Lineup Analzyer™ version of each, just click the link below.

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack2

NBA-FD-LineupAnalyzer_Stack3

draftkingsFor DraftKings here are the top 3 lineup stacks for tonight. To download a copy of our Lineup Analzyer™ version of each, just click the link below.

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack1

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack2

NBA-DK-LineupAnalyzer_Stack3

Point 4 – Key Injuries:

  • injuryJimmy Butler: He will be sidelined for 3 – 4 weeks so look for E’Twan Moore to start in his place.
  • Marc Gasol: Has a broken foot and is out indefinitely. At this point Ryan Hollins is projected to start in his place as this could be a season ending injury for Gasol.
  • Kobe Bryant: UPDATE: Bryant (shoulder) is considered questionable for Wednesday’s game against the Cavaliers, Mark Medina of the L.A. Daily News reports.
  • Brandon Knight: Will not play until after the All-Star Break so Goodwin will start again tonight.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: He will be out until after the All-Star break so look for Stanley Johnson to continue to get his minutes with huge upside again tonight.
  • Tobias Harris: UPDATE: Harris (ankle) did not go through shootaround, but he still may have a chance to play Wednesday against the Spurs, John Denton of OrlandoMagic.com reports.

Point 5 – Absolutes:

This information is based on the overall projection of each player as well as the opponent they are playing against. We combine those factors and determine the best plays broken down by salary range. To get a full copy of this report for DraftKings click here, for FanDuel click here.

  • The top overall #AbsoluteMustHave is Damian Lillard on both sites for tonight as the Rockets have given up a ton to the PG position of late but it would be hard to not have Curry in your lineup.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteNotable is Reggie Jackson on DraftKings and Klay Thompson on FanDuel.
  • The top overall #AbsoluteSleeper is Jordan Clarkson on DraftKings and D’Angelo Russell on FanDuel. The backcourt for the Lakers should produce against the Cavs tonight but look for Kobe to put on a show as this is his last night in Cleveland tonight.

DraftKings Lineup Consideration (Late Night Only)

DK_LineupAnalyzer_LateNightFor the late night contest, the last before we break for the All-Star games, we are rolling with Curry & Harden as our top Chalk plays again tonight as both come off 50+ fantasy nights last night against each other. We are going cheap with Gerald Henderson and Mirza Teletovic, both have been over 20+ fantasy points of late on a consistent basis. Ed Davis at PF is also a nice value play and then another huge value guy is Speights at Center tonight with the Warriors coming off a back to back and a huge potential for a blowout in this contest. We finish off this lineup with Devin Booker and Markief Morris both of which have a chance to get a ton of garbage points in this game where a lot of threes are projected.

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FanDuel Lineup Consideration (Late Night Only)

FD_LineupAnalyzer_LateNightFor FanDuel late night, we are going with Curry, Lillard and Harden as the top chalk plays. How can we afford those guys, let’s breakdown the rest. Devin Booker at SG should get between 25 and 35 fantasy points tonight. Rolling with Ariza and Brewer at SF is really your best combination with an overall projection of around 42 fantasy points and upside reaching into the 50’s. Last we have Markief Morris who is averaging just under 40 fantasy points over his last 5 games and Ed Davis, who should be a rebounding machine against the Rockets tonight. Last we are going to go with Bogut at center who is coming off one of his best season of the year last night and with a blowout potential, he might only get to his 20 point average but with the other chalk plays, this should be a solid play.

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