DiRTy Plays NFL – Week 3

 

DiRTy Plays NFL – Week 2


The season is underway and I know you are still looking to become a millionaire, whether you play on Draftkings or FanDuel, let us help.  As we look at tournaments to target, build your player profile, we are also going to provide you with our experts’ picks as they bring you #TheBeSTDiRT for building your lineups each and every week.  So let’s breakdown week 3 for Draftkings & FanDuel!
fanduel

Absolute Must Have

We know you have been waiting since the end of the NBA season for you Absolute player selections so here we go.  Reminder that this selection is for players with a salary above $7,000. Week 3, we are starting see who are the best performers in the league and so with that our absolute Must Have for Draftkings is Antonio Brown, coming in with a top projection of 26.69.

Sep 23, 2012; Oakland, CA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers receiver Antonio Brown (84) carries the ball against the Oakland Raiders at the O.co Coliseum. The Raiders defeated the Steelers 34-31. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-USA TODAY Sports

Let’s face it, he is making his imprint on being the best wide receiver in the game. On FanDuel we have Cam Newton coming in on our top spot.  Look for Newton to continue to slaughter the Aints as they just look terrible to begin this season. Being that Brees has an injured shoulder, look for the Carolina defense to bunker down and shut down the short passing game.  Cam should have at least 60 yards rushing and one touchdown with another touchdown passing and 200 yards passing.  Check out your Draftkings Absolute’s here and your FanDuel Absolute’s here.

Absolute Notable

Onto our mid-level salaried guys, we have our Notables section.  This is for players with a salary between $5,300 and $6,900.  Our Draftkings Absolute Notable for week 2 is Colin Kaepernick.
Ryan Fitzpatrick_headshots_195x270 He surprised us last week with only his 4th 300+ yard passing performance in his regular season career but he was behind the entire game.  Look for the stats to bear the truth here on what he will be this season as I suspect they will be down and down often, which means he will throw a ton this year.  The Absolute Notable for FanDuel is Ryan Fitzpatrick.  He looked like a bit more than a game manager to me on Monday night against the Colts.  The reality of the situation is that the Jets defense is going to continue to make plays and hold their opponents to under 20 points.  With the Jets having two mid tier receivers, they should be able to continue to put up around 20 points per game and Fitzy will come through with a couple hundred yards and 1 to 2 touchdowns per week this year.

Absolute Sleeper

Our Absolute Sleeper section looks for guys that have a salary of $5,100 and under.  Coming in as our Absolute Sleeper for week 2 on Draftkings is the Ryan Fitzpatrick.  As we said in our notable section, he will be a solid play for you and if you want top tier receivers, which is the trend for winning big thus far, look at him as your QB.  Not very many will have him and if he just gets his average, you will have a shot at a ton of cash this weekend. For FanDuel we have Mason Crosby as our Absolute Sleeper.

Aug 8, 2013; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Browns wide receiver Travis Benjamin (80) scores on a 91 yard punt return against the St. Louis Rams during the second quarter at FirstEnergy Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Schwane-USA TODAY Sports

Not huge on kickers but when Crosby is at home, he averages 3 field goals per game.  Combine that with the fact that Rodgers just doesn’t throw picks at home, this should be a high scoring game, at least for Green Bay.

 

My #1 Sleeper this week is Travis Benjamin.  He is coming off two monster weeks and the Browns have nothing else to look forward to this season.  The terrible part is that Manziel wins them a game and then the #1 pick is sent back to the bench for one of the worst QB’s in the league, McCown.  Manziel and Benjamin have a deep passing game connection, so be cautious here but just know McCown will get replaced in this game by half time and you only need one big play to make that $4,200 salary worth while.

 

Heaviest Favorites

As of today, here is our breakdown for week 3.  We have the top blowout, expected to be Seattle over Chicago by 16 points.  I agree with this, Chancellor is back and they are at home.  Cutler is out, look for a blowout here and 2 defensive touchdowns.  Moving onto our next blowout, we have New England by 14.5 points over Jacksonville.  This one could be a bit closer than that but with Tom Brady looking to avenge his off season, this should be about right.  Look for a 42 – 21 outing here.  Our last matchup for this week is Green Bay by 7.5 over Kansas City.  I am on the Packers at home this year.  Just like Seattle, they don’t lose at home and while I don’t believe this will be a blowout, I have Green Bay winning 31 – 21.

Top Overall Game Over/Under

 

What a disappointment this was last week between Dallas and Philadelphia.  Vegas was completely off on that game and the Eagles offense is terrible right now.  For week 3, Vegas is on the Chiefs and Packers for the highest scoring contest of the week.  I personally think this will be New England and the Jags but as of today, Green Bay and Kansas City are sitting at 49 combined points.  The DiRT Canon AI has this game KC 25 and GB 23.6 with the upset.  and the under.  I am on the over here as I said above 31 – 21 Green Bay.

Toughest QB Matchup

Andrew Luck_headshots_195x270This week we have Andrew Luck leading the charge for most difficult matchup.  You wouldn’t think that Tennessee is all that great on defense but their pass defense has been pretty stout.  They did give up two big plays last week to Benjamin and so look for Luck to get back on track at some point but statistically speaking the Titans defense along with Luck’s lack of performance thus far, have them coming in at number 1.

The next two guys are Jameis Winston and Derrick Carr.  Carr is going into Cleveland where the Browns defense has been on point. Carr did come back and have a huge game against the Ravens last week but that was at home, so let’s see how his road performance is this week.

Matchups to Exploit

In this segment, I am going to breakdown the pass defense, rush defense and overall defense to exploit for the week.  If a team shows up in this area, it is because our system shows them as giving up the most yardage totals for the upcoming week.

 

Let’s make this simple to the stats as they come directly from our Odds page, so come and take a peak here.

  • Passing Yards is Buffalo at 306.5
  • Rushing Yards is Cleveland at 143.2
  • Overall is Oakland at 417.9

Do I believe that Buffalo is going to give up 466 yards again in the passing game, NO I DO NOT, Tannehill is not Brady and really no one else is, look for Buffalo to get back on track.  As for

and Oakland, this would lead me to believe this is going to be high scoring but with the Browns going back to McCown, I don’t trust him to make any plays but Oakland will pound the rock against the Browns this week.

QB Selections

Our top 3 QB’s for this week in order of projected score is Cam Newton #1, Tom Brady #2 and Carson Palmer #3. I don’t have to tell you that Newton should have a good game against a terrible Saints Defense, who couldn’t even beat a rookie QB at home last week.  Newton has owned the Saints of late and should be considered in your DFS lineup this week.  As for Tom, he might just be the guy you have to take each and every week, along with Gronkowski.  They have looked unstoppable and they will only get better as the season progresses.  Last we have Palmer.  Did you know that he has the highest winning percentage over the past two season for games in which he starts.  Arians loves to throw the ball deep and they have play makers.

Aug 22, 2013; Baltimore, MD, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) drops back to pass against the Baltimore Ravens defense at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

 

For full QB projections for Draftkings go here.

For full QB projections for FanDuel go here.

Public Picks

This is a new segment for us to cover this year.  Currently FanDuel and Draftkings won’t tell you who the public is on for this week’s contests.  There is a reason for that from their perspective but from ours, we love it.  While we cannot tell you specifically which site has which figures as that would violate our partnership agreement with each company, we can tell you based on the NFL.com, Perfect Lineup challenge, who the public is on.  Yet another reason why you only need to come to our site for all of your Daily Fantasy information.

publicpicks

QB – Tom Brady 59.5%

RB – Adrian Peterson 52.3%

WR – Antonio Brown 61.7%

TE – Rob Gronkowski 80.5%

K – Steven Gostkowski 35.5%

DEF – Seattle 34.3%

Can you take all of these and still fill out a lineup, probably not but come check out our lineup analyzer and build your winning lineup with our high quality analysis here.

Hottest Players

Current top 5 performers for both FanDuel and Draftkings!

fanduel  Fan Duel

  1. Antonio Brown – 27.9
  2. Tom Brady – 27.9
  3. Rob Gronkowski – 25.4
  4. Julio Jones – 25.3
  5. Carson Palmer – 23.9

draftkings

  1. Antonio Brown – 35.4
  2. Julio Jones – 33.8
  3. Tom Brady – 29.9
  4. Rob Gronkowski – 29.9
  5. Ben Roethlisberger – 27.9

 

Weather

As of today, we only have some weather conditions expected in Baltimore for the Ravens and Bengals contest.  There is a 37% chance of rain for Sunday during the game.

 

Lineup Considerations

Now for the part that we know you have all been waiting for, give me the lineup that will win.  I know, I know, we have done this quite significantly in the past and here very soon we will have our lineup analyzer providing automatic lineup recommendations but what do I think.  Here is my top lineup for week 3, main contest on Draftkings:

 

 

Experts Pick

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Now we look to provide your FanDuel lineups for the week below:

Logan Cartwright’s Expert Pick

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Come check out the rest NOW.