NFL Divisional Round – Situational Trends
The last ten Wild Card teams to win in the first round of the playoffs went 4-6 straight-up and 7-2-1 against-the-spread in the Divisional Round.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Seahawks (+3) at Panthers, Packers (+7) at Cardinals, Steelers (+7) at Broncos and Chiefs (+3) at Patriots.
The last ten No. 1 seeds in the NFL Playoffs have gone 6-4 straight-up and 2-7-1 against-the-spread in the Divisional Round.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Panthers (-3) vs. Seahawks and Broncos (-7) vs. Steelers.
All-time in the playoffs, teams that won by three touchdowns or more and then are underdogs the next game went 15-27 straight-up and 16-26 against-the-spread.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Chiefs (+3) at Patriots.
The last ten favorites of a touchdown or greater in the Divisional Round went 7-3 straight-up but 3-6-1 against-the-spread.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Broncos (-7) vs. Steelers and Cardinals (-7) vs. Packers.
NFL Trends – Divisional Round
(Note: In our date “All-time” goes back to 1978 or when the team joined the league.)
|AZ||-7 vs. GB||Arizona has never lost at home in the playoffs: 3-0 straight-up and against-the-spread.|
|The Cardinals have only been a favorite in the postseason once, they won and covered that game (30-24 vs. Atlanta 2008-09).|
|Carson Palmer at home with the Cardinals is 16-4 straight-up and 12-7-1 against-the-spread.|
|Palmer has played in just two postseason games, his team went 0-2 straight-up and against-the-spread in both.|
|CAR||-3 vs. SEA||Carolina has won 11 straight at home and went 8-3 against-the-spread in those games.|
|All-time in the playoffs, the Panthers at home are 3-2 straight-up and against-the-spread.|
|In the postseason as favorites Carolina is 2-1 straight-up and against-the-spread.|
|In the playoffs vs the NFL West, the Panthers are 2-4 straight-up and against-the-spread.|
|DEN||-7 vs. PIT||Peyton Manning with the Broncos in the playoffs is 2-3 straight-up and 1-4 against-the-spread.|
|In his postseason career, Manning as a touchdown or greater favorite is 3-4 straight-up and 2-5 against-the-spread.|
|In the last ten years, the Broncos as home favorites in the playoffs are 3-3 straight-up and 2-4 against-the-spread.|
|All-time, as the top seed in the AFC, Denver is 4-2 straight-up and 2-4 against-the-spread in its first game of the playoffs.|
|GB||+7 @ AZ||The last time the Packers won a road playoff game (2010-11) the team went on to win the Super Bowl.|
|Green Bay is 2-5 straight-up in the postseason when playing on the West Coast (3-3-1 ATS).|
|Aaron Rodgers is 5-2 against-the-spread away from Lambea in the postseason (4-3 straight-up).|
|Rodgers and the Packers are also 4-2 against-the-spread as underdogs in the playoffs (3-3 straight-up).|
|KC||+3 @ NE||All-time, the Chiefs following a playoff win have gone 1-2 straight-up and against-the-spread in the next game.|
|Kansas City is 1-9 straight-up and 3-7 against-the-spread all-time as underdogs in the postseason.|
|KC is 2-8 straight-up and 4-6 against-the-spread on the road in the playoffs.|
|As road underdogs in the postseason, the Chiefs have lost on average by 10.7 points|
|NE||-3 vs. KC||Tom Brady is 21-8 straight-up in the playoffs but 13-15-1 against-the-spread.|
|Brady has always been a favorite at home in the playoffs, he is 14-3 straight-up and 8-8-1 ATS in those games.|
|New England, with Brady, is 4-2 straight-up against the AFC West all-time in the postseason and 2-3-1 against-the-spread.|
|The Patriots haven’t lost to the Chiefs in New England since 1990 and are 6-1 straight-up all time at home vs. Kansas City (3-4 ATS).|
|PIT||+7 @ DEN||As an underdog in the playoffs, Ben Roethlisberger has gone 3-2 ATS (2-3 straight-up).|
|Roethlisberger has been a touchdown or greater underdog once in the postseason and he won that game outright (21-18) vs. the Colts in 2005-06.|
|The Steelers have covered five straight as touchdown or greater dogs in the playoffs.|
|Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS (3-3 straight-up) all-time vs. Denver in the playoffs, though the last they met Tim Tebow beat the Steelers with an 80-yard touchdown pass on the first play in overtime.|
|SEA||+3 @ CAR||Russell Wilson improved his playoff record to 7-2 straight-up with the win in Minnesota, but 5-3-1 against-the-spread.|
|In Wilson’s career, the Seahawks a road underdogs are 8-3-2 against-the-spread (6-7 straight-up).|
|All-time, the Seahawks away from home in the playoffs are 3-11 straight-up and 6-8 against-the-spread|
|Seattle has never lost to Carolina in the postseason: 2-0 straight-up and against-the-spread.|
Source: National Football Post