NFL Wild Card Weekend – Situational Trends
All-time in the Wild Card round home underdogs are 12-8 straight-up and 13-7 against-the-spread.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Texans (+3) vs. Chiefs, Bengals (+3) vs. Steelers and Vikings (+5) vs. Seahawks.
The last ten road favorites in the playoffs have gone 6-4 straight-up and 5-4-1 against-the-spread.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Chiefs (-3) at Texans, Steelers (-3) at Bengals, Seahawks (-5) at Vikings.
All-time in the Wild Card round, home favorites are 71-39 straight-up and 56-53-1 against-the-spread.
- Games Matching this Criteria: Redskins (-1) vs. Packers.
The other two times there were three home underdogs on Wild Card Weekend were 1999-00 and 2008-09. Those teams combined to go 4-2 straight-up and against-the-spread.
NFL Trends – Wild Card Weekend
(Note: In our date “All-time” goes back to 1978 or when the team joined the league.)
| CIN | +3 vs. PIT | The Bengals have failed to cover in seven straight playoff games. |
| Cincinnati is 0-7 straight-up and 1-6 against-the-spread all-time as underdogs in the postseason. | ||
| Cincy last won a playoff game in the 1990-91 season. | ||
| All-time, the Bengals are 1-7 straight-up and 1-7 against-the-spread in the Wild Card round. | ||
| GB | +1 @ WAS | The Packers are 3-7 straight-up and 5-4-1 against-the-spread in their last ten playoff games as underdogs. |
| Aaron Rodgers is 6-5 straight-up and against-the-spread in the postseason. | ||
| Rodgers and the Packers haven’t won on the road in the playoffs since their Super Bowl run in 2010-11 as a Wild Card team. | ||
| All-time, Green Bay is 2-7 straight-up and 3-6 against-the-spread vs. the NFC East in the playoffs. | ||
| HOU | +3 vs. KC | Houston is 3-1 against-the-spread (2-2 straight-up) all-time in the postseason. |
| The Texans are undefeated (2-0) all-time in the playoffs at home. | ||
| Houston is 2-0 straight-up and against-the-spread during the Wild Card round. | ||
| The Texans are 2-8 straight-up and 4-5-1 against-the-spread in their last ten games as home underdogs. | ||
| KC | -3 @ HOU | Yikes! The Chiefs are 3-12 straight-up and against-the-spread all-time in the playoffs. |
| Kansas City is 2-7 straight-up and against-the-spread all-time in the Wild Card round. | ||
| KC is 0-4 against-the-spread (2-2 straight-up) as a favorite in the postseason. | ||
| The Chiefs haven’t won a road playoff game since the 1993-94 season at Houston Oilers (28-20). | ||
| MIN | +5 vs. SEA | The Vikings are 6-4 straight-up and against-the-spread all-time at home in the playoffs. |
| Minnesota has only been a home dog in the postseason once, they lost 26-14 to the Eagles in 2009 and failed to cover. | ||
| The Vikings are 4-6 straight-up and against-the-spread in their last ten Wild Card games. | ||
| Adrian Peterson has averaged less than four yards/carry and is 1-3 straight-up (2-2 against-the-spread) in his playoff career. | ||
| PIT | -3 @ CIN | All-time, the Steelers as road favorites in the playoffs are 3-1 straight-up and 2-2 against-the-spread. |
| All-time, Pittsburgh is 6-1 straight-up and 5-2 against-the-spread vs. divisional opponents in the postseason. | ||
| Ben Roethlisberger is 10-5 straight-up and 9-6 against-the-spread in his playoff career. | ||
| Roethlisberger has been even better as a favorite going 8-2 straight-up and 6-4 against-the-spread. | ||
| SEA | -5 @ MIN | All-time, the Seahawks are 3-10 straight-up and 6-7 against-the-spread on the road in the postseason. |
| Russell Wilson is 6-2 straight-up and 5-2-1 against-the-spread in his playoff career. | ||
| Wilson has never lost a postseason game as a favorite (5-0 straight-up) and is 3-1-1 against-the-spread in those games. | ||
| Seattle has won four straight Wild Card games and went 3-1 against-the-spread in those contests. | ||
| WAS | -1 vs. GB | All-time, Washington is 18-9 straight-up and 19-8 against-the-spread in the playoffs. |
| However, since the team’s last Super Bowl (1991-92), Washington is 3-5 straight-up in the postseason (5-3 ATS). | ||
| Washington has won six straight (6-0 ATS) as home favorites in the playoffs. | ||
| Washington is 6-2 straight-up and against-the-spread all-time in the Wild Card round |
