Teaching You How to #Win – NFL Week 17 Absolutes

name of site - hunter thompson styleWeek 17 Absolutes 

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Absolute Must Have

Julio Jones leads this category as our to #AbsoluteMustHave for both FanDuel and DraftKings this week. Let’s face it, this guy has been on an all-time tear this season. His worst fantasy performance was 5 catches for 46 yards in week 3. Besides that he hasn’t put up less than 14 fantasy points in any other game this season on DraftKings. This week, he goes for both the yardage and the receptions in a season record as he needs 16 catches for 224 yards in order to achieve that feat. No the best part is that he gets to play against a historically awful pass defense in the New Orleans Saints. Neither team has anything to play for so look for these records to have an impact into play calling and certainly your daily fantasy team. You should have him across the board this week.

***Reminder Must Have’s are salaries that are $7,800 and higher

 


Absolute Notable

For FanDuel and DraftKings our top #AbsoluteNotable for week 17 is Matt Ryan. He gets the 32nd ranked pass defense in the Saints and as we mentioned before, Julio is on pace for some historic records both in passing yards and receptions. Surprisingly Ryan, while he is #5 in passing yards on the season, has yet to be a top 5 fantasy performer this season in any given week. He has been a solid top 10 but not in the top 5, look for him to be the top performer this week. It should also be noted that Matt Ryan has lit up the Saints in his past 5 of his last 6 outings he has been able to surpass 25 fantasy points and gone over 400 yards in two of those contests. This should be a solid play and for the $5,500 on DraftKings this should be a no brainer for you to play this combo as they should surpass 65 fantasy points combined with ease this week and finish out the season on a strong note winning their final 3 contests. Had they done anything against the easiest schedule in the league during the middle of the season this team could have been a contender in the NFC.
***Reminder Notables are salaries between $5,200 and $7,800

 


Absolute Sleeper

fanduel

For our last category we have our #AbsoluteSleeper on FanDuel, if you are looking to go cheap yet productive, Jeremy Langford is your guy. Consider the fact that Forte left the last game with yet another injury, the Bears have nothing to play for and they are most likely moving on from Forte after the $, look for Langford to be active and have a major role in this contest. His $4,900 salary cannot be denied. As we move over to DraftKings we will look at both the RB and WR position for this weekend and give you two ideas for #SleepersAt RB, Pierre Thomas is our #1 Sleeper with a salary of only $3,400 and playing for a Washington team that has nothing to play. This means Matt Jones will certainly rest this weekend and look for Alfred Morris to play sparingly at best, this means a lot of touches for Thomas, who also snagged 7 catches in their last game and put up a 15.9 fantasy performance. Another RB to consider this week is CJ Anderson for the Broncos. Denver still has some seeding to resolve and the Charges rush defense is not very good. If you need a cheap play that will get plenty of touches on Sunday, look for Anderson to go over 100 yards and get 1 TD this weekend and for his $3,700 salary, you can’t beat that. Transitioning over to WR, we have Jordan Matthews. Yes, Chip Kelly is gone but that doesn’t mean the Eagles are going to do anything all that different this Sunday. It’s still a rivalry game and the Giants defense can’t stop anyone right now. Look for the $4,700 Matthews to have a huge role this Sunday, he could get over 12 targets and that should lead to 125+ yards and 1+ TD. That will give you at least 20 fantasy points on Sunday.

Get your full FanDuel Absolutes report for week 17 here.

Ger your full DraftKings Absolutes report for week 17 here.

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Teaching You How to #Win – NFL Week 16 Results

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Tuesday December 29nd, 2015

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FanDuel Results

To view all of The DiRT Canon FanDuel info, just click here.

FanDuel DiRT Canon AI

This is our DiRT Canon A.I., DC*3PO generated lineups and its’ performance in the main contest, two double ups or 50/50’s and the $5 main contest.

  1. Season Winning Percentage – 68.8%
  2. Season Contests have won 44 of 64
  3. Profit – $1,175
  4. Highest Finish  Week 16 $100 NFL Blitz – 229 of 1,555
FanDuel DiRT Canon Expertsfanduel

The DiRT Canon experts play in a multitude of contests including/but not limited to the Mon-Thur only, Prime-time Only, Main Contest, $5 Main Contest, 50/50’s and DiRT Canon contests.

  1. Season Winning Percentage – 66.4%
  2. Season Contests have won 283 of 426
  3. Profit – $3,625
  4. Highest Finish Week 16 $5 http://www.theDiRTCanon.com Contest – 1 of 20
FanDuel DiRT Canon Users

We compile your stats on how you all are doing in actual contests.  Below are some of the stats – in the future, if our users provide permission to access their accounts, we will look to analyze each members’ profile and suggest contests based on that members’ historical performance; such as average score needed to win, average score, amount desired to enter with and many more.  This will aid in your ability to win even more consistently in the future!

  1. Season Winning Percentage – 55.8%
  2. Season Contests 1,806 of 3,234
  3. Needed Score to cash in main event – 157.28
FanDuel DiRT Canon Contest

Our DiRT Canon contest reached the maximum number of entries that FanDuel will allow at 20.  We had a $5 entry – top 3rd win. Congratulations to our expert jeremyc1524 who won our contest with an amazing score of 143.22. If you would like for us to create more contests, just click here and give us your feedback – we want to hear from you!


FD_DC_20PlayerContest_wk16


Draftkings Results

To view all of our Draftkings info, just click here.

Draftkings DiRT Canon AI

This is our DiRT Canon A.I., DC*3PO generated lineups and its’ performance in the main contest, two double ups or 50/50’s and the $5 main contest.

  1. Season Winning Percentage – 74.2%
  2. Season Contests have won 49 of 66
  3. Profit – $2,055
  4. Highest Finish Week 16 $5 Main Contest – 487 of 276,000
Draftkings DiRT Canon Expertsdraftkings

The DiRT Canon experts play in a multitude of contests including/but not limited to the Mon-Thur only, Prime-time Only, Main Contest, $5 Main Contest, 50/50’s and DiRT Canon contests.

  1. Season Winning Percentage – 62.1%
  2. Season Contests have won 305 of 491
  3. Profit – $9,993
  4. Highest Finish Week 16 $3 Double Bubble – 39 of 19,166
Draftkings DiRT Canon Users

We compile your stats on how you all are doing in actual contests.  Below are some of the stats – in the future, if our users provide permission to access their accounts, we will look to analyze each members’ profile and suggest contests based on that members’ historical performance; such as average score needed to win, average score, amount desired to enter with and many more.  This will aid in your ability to win even more consistently in the future!

  1. Season Winning Percentage – 60.3%
  2. Season Contests 2,214 of 3,667
  3. Needed Score to cash in $5 main event – 147.58
Draftkings DiRT Canon Contest

This week we did 3 total contests, our standard 75 player top 5 payout, 50 player 50/50 contests and then a 20 player top 5 payout.  The results are below:


DK_DC_75PlayerContest_wk16DK_DC_50PlayerContest_wk16DK_DC_20PlayerContest_wk16
If you want to play head2head against one of our experts, contact us here and provide your username, we will send you a contest.


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What You Need To Know For Wednesday, Dec. 30 2015

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nationwide_college map

1.

Degenerate Me

Last weekend was a monster for us junkies, despite what looked like insane violence on many football fields – or is it because of it? (shrugs shoulders)  Only the wetheads worry about blood on the grass during times like these, when the football gets better each week and the money you pillage from suckers, lines your pockets like fine silk.  The best being yet to come, except for maybe place like Cleveland and San Francisco who are more like bloated dead bodies floating along the ethereal abyss.

Playing with House-Money has always been risky – however, last week was swimming with sharks.  Many high-altitude rollers got eaten alive on Sunday – those that survived were clubbed like baby seals, causing an eruption of fear and grief in homesteads from coast to coast.  Strong men wept, and women hurled themselves savagely down dirty stairwells in filthy towns like Boston and Cleveland – Cripes, even in the frozen snow out here in the Rockies.

But me?  My own luck was splendid, as the Marquis used to say, as I repeatedly fleeced and humiliated two of the cruelest and most depraved degenerates in America, the infamous McCutcheon brothers from Pittsburgh.  T’was wonderful.  The arrogant swine got exactly what they deserved – a massive public beating they will never forget.  They came out here with huge wads of ca$h and revenge in their hearts for the losses they suffered last year in the very same bunker – where their doom is a constant companion.  It’s even worse during bowl-season.

2.

C’Ya Chipster

Good luck Chipster – your 1st lesson as a professional was a hard one.  You found out that going 10-6, 10-6 and 6-9 don’t mean much in Philly.  Never you mind that the Eagles have no idea how to win, because they haven’t since…….ummm, hold on, it’s right here in my notes….oh yeah, 1960.  It was 20 years later since they returned to play for a title, and another 24 until the next one – losing both – so it’s likely not until 2024 that they contend anyway.

Besides looking for another job in the #NFL – Tennessee, maybe? – you have to deal with Screamin’A dustin’ off an old narrative; as he did appearing on Mike and Mike this morning telling a classic Screamin’A story about a time he was “stopped on the street” by some Eagles players who came up to him and started talking about Chip Kelly.  Sensationalism!

The point is – you had all the control Chip and made some shaky decisions and never quite won enough to earn the cache you need.  Just remember, Bill was run out of Cleveland and it also took awhile in Foxboro before he became the man he is today – You just keep it 100 Chipster and if it doesn’t work out here, you’ll have your pick of places in college – like Baton Rouge if Les doesn’t change.

+ GOODBYE, MR. CHIP: PHILLY FIRES KELLY – Read More

LF=212yds 5TD’s

3.

(Can’t) Hold That Tiger

The Tigers wrapped up a very memorable, drama-filled football season with a record-setting 56-27 win over Texas Tech in the Advocare Texas Bowl, and it sure does feel good. One could argue that last night’s game doesn’t mean a whole heck of a lot, but after losing three of the previous four bowl games, and enduring a three-game losing streak in the month of November, it’s nice to head into the offseason on a high note. With last night’s win, the Tigers ended the season 9-3, and let’s not forget that this would have almost certainly been a 10-win season had the season-opener against McNeese State been played.

Source: Dandy Don’s LSU Recruiting and Sports News – LSU Football and More!

4.

Today in History

On December 30, 1978, Ohio State University (OSU) makes the decision to fire its 65-year-old football coach, Woody Hayes, one day after Hayes punched a player on the opposing team near the end of the Gator Bowl.

Source: OSU fires coach Woody Hayes for attacking an opposing player – Dec 30, 1978

5.

Out of Chaos Comes Order

Social issues are a minefield for athletes.  Michael Jordan was never going to be confused for Kareem when it came to social justice and attitudes.  No one is, and athletes that came after never wanted to jeopardize their image to their corporate masters – just as players today are more conscious of their “brand” then they are at times with their play.

Yet, Lebron speaks out after advocates ask him to strike games to honor Tamir Rice – is this what we want our athletes to do when every social crisis occurs?  Read more here.

Source: LeBron Speaks Out After Advocates Ask Him To Strike Games To Honor Tamir Rice

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6.

The More You Know

Week 17 – Situational Trends

By Week 17 Vegas knows which teams are truly bad. In the last five years, home underdogs of a touchdown or greater in the last week of the regular season have gone 1-33 SU and 14-20 (41%) ATS.

  • Games Matching this Criteria: Browns (+10) vs. Steelers and Dolphins (+9) vs. Patriots.

The Cardinals and Chiefs are on fire each having won nine straight games. The last 30 teams to win that many games in a row went 22-8 straight-up in their next matchup but 12-17-1 (41%) against-the-spread.

  • Games Matching this Criteria: Chiefs (-6.5) vs. Raiders and Cardinals (-4.5) vs. Seahawks.

Tom Brady and the Patriots don’t lose often but when they do, New England typically wins (40-10 straight-up) and covers (34-16 against-the-spread – 68%) the next week.

  • Games Matching this Criteria: Patriots (-9) at Dolphins.

  • ATL -4 vs. NO The Falcons are 7-3 against-the-spread in their last ten games as home favorites against the Saints.
  • AZ -4.5 vs. SEA Carson Palmer is 7-1-1 against-the-spread at home with Arizona against non-divisional opponents but 3-3 ATS vs. the NFC West.
  • BAL +7 @ CIN In the last five years, AFC North teams that have been underdogs of a touchdown or greater to the Bengals are 0-5 straight-up and 1-3-1 ATS.
  • BUF +3 vs. NYJ The Bills are 8-2 against-the-spread in their last ten home games against the AFC East.
  • CAR -10.5 vs. TB Cam Newton has never lost as a touchdown or greater favorite, he is 11-0 straight-up and 6-5 ATS.
  • CHI -1 vs. DET The Bears are 2-7-1 against-the-spread in their last ten games against the Lions.
  • CIN -7 vs. BAL The Bengals are playing for a bye in the AFC. All-time, teams that have been favored by a touchdown over the Ravens are 5-1 straight-up.
  • CLE +10 vs. PIT Cleveland has lost eight straight as double-digit underdogs against AFC North rivals but the Browns went 5-3 ATS in those games.
  • DAL -3 vs. WAS The Cowboys are 1-5 against-the-spread at home this year and are now 3-11 ATS the last three years when Tony Romo doesn’t start.
  • DEN -7.5 vs. SD Denver is 3-6-1 against-the-spread in its last ten home games as touchdown or greater favorites.
  • DET +1 @ CHI Detroit is 2-18 straight-up in its last 20 games as road dogs against the NFC North, the Lions went 9-10-1 ATS in those games.
  • GB -3 vs. MIN The Packers can clinch the NFC North with a win, Aaron Rodgers is 18-4 straight-up (14-7-1 ATS) vs. the division as a home favorite.
  • HOU -6.5 vs. JAX The Texans clinch the AFC South with a win, Houston is 15-7 straight-up all-time as a home favorite against the division.
  • IND -6 vs. TEN Indy needs a win (plus a lot of help) to make the playoffs. The Colts are just 3-4 straight-up (3-4 ATS) in home games this year.
  • JAX +6.5 @ HOU The Jags have been road dogs in 13 straight games vs. division opponents. Jacksonville went 8-4 ATS in its previous 12 games.
  • KC -6.5 vs. OAK KC has won nine straight (including four in a row vs. the AFC West) and is 7-2 against-the-spread during the winning streak.
  • MIA +9 vs. NE The Dolphins have been underdogs to the Patriots in 25 straight games, Miami went 11-13 ATS in the previous 24 contests.
  • MIN +3 @ GB The Vikings can clinch the NFC North with a win but Minnesota hasn’t won in Green Bay since 2010 and is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games in Lambeau.
  • NE -9 @ MIA New England clinches home-field advantage with a win, the Pats have won 18 straight as touchdown favorites vs. the AFC East ( but are only 6-10-2 ATS)
  • NO +7 @ ATL This is the fifth straight division game in which the Saints have been underdogs, New Orleans covered the previous four.
  • NYG -3 vs. PHI The Giants are 2-8 ATS in the team’s last ten home games against the Eagles.
  • NYJ -3 @ BUF The Jets can clinch a playoff berth with a win against the Bills but New York has lost and failed to cover in four straight vs. Buffalo.
  • OAK +6.5 @ KC The Raiders are 14-6 against-the-spread in the team’s last 20 road games against division rivals.
  • PHI +3 @ NYG Philly is 8-2 against-the-spread in its last ten road games as underdogs against division opponents.
  • PIT -10 @ CLE Big Ben has been a double-digit road favorite seven times in his career and failed to cover in each game (including losing outright last week).
  • SD +7.5 @ DEN Philip Rivers has won six of his last ten trips to Denver and the Chargers went 7-1-2 against-the-spread in those games.
  • SEA +4.5 @ AZ In Russell Wilson’s career, the Seahawks following a loss in the regular season are 11-6 against-the-spread the next week.
  • SF +3.5 vs. STL The 49ers have been home dogs to the Rams 11 times. San Francisco is 3-8 straight-up and 5-5-1 ATS.
  • STL -3.5 @ SF The Rams aren’t favored on the road often (just 10 times in the last ten years), but when they are St. Louis covers (7-3 ATS).
  • TB +10.5 @ CAR The Bucs have lost six straight as double-digit dogs to divisional rivals but Tampa Bay went 3-3 against-the-spread in those games.
  • TEN +6 @ IND The Titans have failed to cover in seven straight road games against division rivals (1-6 straight-up as well).
  • WAS +3 @ DAL The Washington professional football team is 8-2 ATS in its last ten trips to Dallas.