Teaching You How to #Win – Heavy Favorites/Top Over-Under/Matchups to Exploit Week 15

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Heaviest Favorites

As of today, the heaviest favorites for the week are as follows:

  • Seattle -16 over Cleveland
  • New England -15.5 over Tennessee
  • Kansas City -7.5 over Baltimore

The largest projected blowout by Vegas this week is Seattle at home over the Cleveland Browns. Seattle’s offense has taken off of late and Cleveland hasn’t been able to stop anyone all season. Look for Wilson to continue his hot streak and consider taking both Lockett and Baldwin this week with the Seattle defense. This stack should get you between 90 and 100 fantasy points on Sunday afternoon. Moving onto the next matchup, we have the Patriots -15.5 over the Titans. The obvious fantasy selection in this one is Tom Brady. Did you know that Brady has thrown for at least 4 TD’s in each of his last 3 games against the Titans. The problem with Brady and Gronkowski is their price, they are almost too expensive to consider, specifically from a value perspective. Look for White to catch a bunch of balls and he should be a consideration for your Flex play this week. Last we have the Chiefs over the Ravens by 7.5 points. Alex Smith has played very well of late and look for this to continue as the Ravens secondary has been torched all season, including 5 TD’s last weekend. This also means that Maclin is a top 5 WR this weekend. He is only $5,500 on DraftKings so you should have him across the board.

Top Overall Game Over/Under

The highest projected contest this week the Saints and Lions. The Saints have led this category for the last 5 weeks and have gone 3 – 2 in terms of the over in those games. This has been partly due to competition and this week they get the Stafford and Megatron show coming into town. While that duo hasn’t done too much this season, the exception was Thanksgiving Day and DC*3PO shows that combo breaker should produce over 60 fantasy points this Monday night. In our Absolute’s post yesterday, we showed why Drew Brees should be a strong consideration for QB this week as he will be owned by less than 7% of the field and he is the top projected QB for the week. Another #Sleeper to consider is Tim Hightower as the Lions will give up at least one rushing TD in this game and Hightower is the clear guy at this point.

Matchups to Exploit

Here we breakdown the pass defense, rush defense and overall defense to exploit for the week. If a team shows up in this area, it’s because our system shows them as giving up the most yardage totals for the upcoming week.

Let’s make this simple: the stats come directly from our Odds page, so come and take a peak here.

  • Passing Defense to Exploit:  New York Giants projected (287.02)
  • Rushing Defense to Exploit:  Miami projected (129.49)
  • Overall Defense to Exploit:  New Orleans projected (403.6)

What does this mean for your daily fantasy selections? You have 4 options for QB this weekend and those are Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Drew Brees and Matt Stafford. At WR, your considerations based on Matchup are Maclin, Ted Ginn Jr., John Brown & Calvin Johnson. At TE, beyond Gronkowski, there is Ben Watson or Richard Rodgers. At RB, while Miami is projected to give up the most, San Diego doesn’t run the ball so could you take Woodhead, sure but Hightower, Adrian Peterson, Jeremy Hill and Lamar Miller are the top RB plays this weekend. At defense, it’s Seattle at home against Manziel or the Chiefs against whoever the Ravens play at QB this week.

Check back on Sunday morning as I will reveal our expert picks for this weekends games! Don’t forget to start your FREE TRIAL today just click here and use promo code WIN for a special discount.


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