Teaching You How to #Win – Heavy Favorites/Top Over-Under/Matchups to Exploit Week 14

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Heaviest Favorites

As of today, the heaviest favorites for the week are as follows:

  • Kansas City -11.5 over San Diego
  • Arizona -9.5 over Minnesota
  • Carolina -8.5 over Atlanta

For the top projected blowout for this weekend we have the Chiefs over the Chargers and really why not right. The Chiefs might be playing the best ball in the NFL if it weren’t for the Panthers right now and they just destroyed the Chargers a couple of weeks ago in San Diego. Look for this game to be another big game for the Chiefs and I like the play of Alex Smith along with Jeremy Maclin as a nice combo. In the second game we have the Thursday night matchup of the Cardinals and the Vikings. For this game you must play Carson Palmer and another play that I like is David Johnson. Johnson gave you a 20 spot last week with a salary under $4,000 on DraftKings and while his salary did go up, it is still on the cheap end of the spectrum. The other thing to keep in mind for this game is all of the injuries that the Vikings are dealing with on the defensive side of the ball. For the last matchup we have the Panthers and the Falcons. These two teams couldn’t be playing differently and in a normal situation you would say that the Panthers should destroy the Falcons but this is a divisional game. Just like last week, the Saints gave the Panthers a game to the bitter end and that will most likely be the case again this week. Look for the Panthers to hit a late field goal for the win but an outcome of 24 – 21. For your fantasy team, this means Cam Newton should be considered, along with Greg Olsen for the Panthers. For the Falcons, I still like Julio Jones as a top 5 WR this week and Freeman is still bringing in 20 fantasy points per game even with the offensive woes the Falcons have been going through of late.

Top Overall Game Over/Under

Raymond James Stadium_headshots_originalThe highest projected contest this week the Saints and Bucs, coming in at 50.5 points. The Saints topped this list last week and they didn’t disappoint as they gave up 41 points and managed to put up 38 of their own. Now they get the Bucs in Tampa and look for another shootout in the NFC south. The combination of Seferian-Jenkins and Winston should be considered as the Saints are giving up a league high to the QB at just over 26 points per game and just over 20 points per game to the TE position, also being the most in the league. The Saints also manage to give up just over 26 points to the RB1 position, which also leads the league so a Doug Martin play should also be considered.

Matchups to Exploit

Here we breakdown the pass defense, rush defense and overall defense to exploit for the week. If a team shows up in this area, it’s because our system shows them as giving up the most yardage totals for the upcoming week.

Let’s make this simple: the stats come directly from our Odds page, so come and take a peak here.

  • Passing Defense to Exploit:  New York Giants projected (301.87)
  • Rushing Defense to Exploit:  Cleveland Browns projected (131.87)
  • Overall Defense to Exploit:  New York Giants projected (420.87)

What does this mean for your daily fantasy selections, simply put, take Jarvis Landry combined with Ryan Tannehill and Lamar Miller this week. The Giants cannot stop anyone right now and even though Miami doesn’t possess the type of juggernaut offense that some of the teams in the NFL have these days, they can still put up points in a hurry. Another sleeper running back that should be considered based on this information is Shaun Draughn. He has had good production of late and the Browns will give up a ton in the run game, look for this to continue.

Check back on Sunday morning as I will reveal our expert picks for this weekends games! Don’t forget to start your FREE TRIAL today just click here and use promo code WIN for a special discount.


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