Teaching You How to #Win – Heavy Favorites/Top Over-Under/Matchups to Exploit Week 13

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Heaviest Favorites

As of today, the heaviest favorites for the week are as follows:

  • New England -11 over Philadelphia
  • Cincinnati -10.5 over Cleveland
  • Carolina -7.5 over New Orleans

In our top favorite matchup between the Pats and the Eagles, we have an interesting game with all of the injuries to the Patriots players while at the same the Eagles have given up 45 points in each of their past two games. This is tough, on one hand we have Tom Brady, who has been almost perfect this season but who is he going to throw the ball to in this game combined with a terrible defense that has given up on their coach. In the fantasy world the matchup is there for the taking but the players aren’t ones you would typically consider. So for this game if you aren’t going with Brady then you need to consider Amendola assuming he comes back and then Chandler at the TE position for this week. Next we have the Bengals and Browns and in the first contest it was Tyler Eifert day. In this contest, we show Bernard as having the top matchup for this contest with Jeremy Hill injured and likely to sit out in this one. The other options in this game would be the Cincinnati defense as the Browns are the worst offensive team in the league right now, with a 3rd string backup being named the starter. Last we have the Panthers and Saints. This one is pretty straight forward, the Saints give up the most fantasy points per game to the QB, RB and TE position in the league right now. This means having a stack of Newton, Stewart and Olsen should be considered this week.

 


Top Overall Game Over/Under

The highest projected matchup for this week according to Vegas is Carolina and the Saints at 50 points. While last week the Saints matchup was projected to be the highest scoring the combined output was not even close. That certainly wasn’t due to the Saints defense but rather their offense as they only put up 6 points on the suddenly tough Texans defense. We just said Cam Newton, Stewart and Olsen should be considered for a stack and this certainly a logically matchup option for you. On DraftKings this is far more doable than on FanDuel but it can be done for both. I will reveal a full lineup with this stack on Sunday morning so be sure to check back at 11 a.m. EST!

 


Matchups to Exploit

Here we breakdown the pass defense, rush defense and overall defense to exploit for the week. If a team shows up in this area, it’s because our system shows them as giving up the most yardage totals for the upcoming week.

Let’s make this simple: the stats come directly from our Odds page, so come and take a peak here.

  • Passing Defense to Exploit:  New York Giants projected (292.07)
  • Rushing Defense to Exploit:  Chicago Bears projected (125.56)
  • Overall Defense to Exploit:  Indianapolis Colts projected (395.96)

What does this mean for your daily fantasy selections, simply put, take Brandon Marshall against the terrible secondary of the Giants. Marshall was in the optimal lineup last week and only three players have been able to sustain that level of performance this season (Freeman, Martin, Hopkins) but this is a great matchup with a player who will get 11+ targets in the game. The Bears are playing against the 49ers who are really a nobody in daily fantasy. The only guy you might consider here would be Shaun Draughn but we aren’t confident that Hyde isn’t going to play in this game just yet so keep an eye out there. Last we have the Colts and that means the Big Ben and Antonio Brown combo breaker is back in action this Sunday.

Check back on Sunday morning as I will reveal our expert picks for this weekends games!


Well it’s Thursday and we have some contests starting tonight so, The DiRT Canon, wanted to give you a kick start to the weekend and we will reveal a lineup with some players in tonight’s contest to consider. It should be noted that there aren’t any players playing tonight that are considered to be in our optimal lineup for week 13 but could still be an option for you. Don’t forget to start your FREE TRIAL today just click here and use promo code WIN for a special discount.

FanDuel

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DraftKings

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