Teaching You How to #Win – NFL Week 11 Absolutes

name of site - hunter thompson styleWeek 11 Absolutes 

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Absolute Must Have

We are back on the QB train this week as our Absolute’s have come out for week 11. I think it is important to note that our injuries aren’t made official as well as official roster spots until Friday afternoon. This means significant impact to our projections, analysis and reports, so be sure to check back each day as we breakdown all of the relevant information as it stands that day. So our top #AbsoluteMustHave for both FanDuel and DraftKings is Aaron Rodgers. I know, most of you are going what they hell are you talking about, the Packers are on a decline, they couldn’t beat the Lions at home and now they get the division leading Vikings this week. Let me breakdown some information that the NFL media members aren’t privy to or should I say, they choose not to point this information out because that doesn’t lead to a top story line to discuss on the 15 debate shows on ESPN this week. First, while the Packers only put up 16 points last week against the Lions, Rodgers threw the ball 61 times, including 21 attempts to Adams. He ended up throwing for over 330 yards and two touchdowns. So in our daily fantasy world on FanDuel and DraftKings, Rodgers produced over 25 fantasy points on a week where only one QB went over 30 and that was Kirk Cousins. The only game this season that Rodgers has produced less than 20 fantasy points on either DraftKings or FanDuel was the game against the Broncos a few weeks ago. The Vikings just gave up 320 yards and two touchdowns to Derek Carr last week and have given up over 30 points to Aaron Rodgers in 5 of their last 6 contests. Rogers projection for both sites is 21.42 and he is the #3 QB overall this week. If you are willing to spend the dough on the QB, he is a guy to consider for sure!

***Reminder Must Have’s are salaries that are $7,800 and higher

 


Absolute Notable

Week 11 gets to be interesting as you get into our #AbsoluteNotable for FanDuel as we have Alex Smith coming in this week with a projection of 17.79. Smith gets the Chargers this week and while they have only won a couple of games, it isn’t due to their 18th ranked pass defense, it is their 32nd ranked rush defense. Could Smith be your guy this week on FanDuel, potentially but I suggest you view the rest here and take another look. Moving onto DraftKings we have, Philip Rivers coming in with a top QB projection for the week of 24.82. Look it is simple, Rivers is a mid salary guy that over produces for his salary 8 out of 10 times. They are coming off a bye week, playing a divisional opponent who is on a hot streak and so I expect Rivers to have a solid game and should be considered in all formats this week.

***Reminder Notables are salaries between $5,200 and $7,800

 


Absolute Sleeper

fanduel

The most sought after topic each week as we get your feedback, questions, comments and other avenues of suggested response and that is our #AbsoluteSleeper. DC*3PO has Ryan Tannehill on DraftKings this week and Santos, the kicker for the Chiefs in week 11. Tannehill is a sneaky pick as the public will not be on him as Romo is expected to make his return this Sunday and he is pretty cheap. Can they get some big plays or will they pound the run game on the 30th ranked rushing defense of the Cowboys. I suspect that Miller will have a much bigger day than Tannehill this week. For FanDuel, they have just changed their salary algorithm for lower performing position players to be $5,200 from $5,100 so we will be making that modification. There is only one guy to consider at that price range on FanDuel and that is Ted Ginn Jr. We have him projected at 9.1 this week on FanDuel, the Redskins have given up the 3rd most points to the WR1 position over the past 3 weeks and someone has to catch the ball for Carolina. That all said, you want to know who I’m taking this week, simple, I’m taking Charcandrick West this week on DraftKings for sure. His $4,500 salary and the fact that he has had over 30 touches in three straight contests, since the Charles injury. He also has put up over 25 fantasy points in each of these games but they played in London a few weeks ago and we weren’t sure about him after Charles went down. Last week has sold the deal for me with the eye test, combined with a cheap salary and the 32nd rank rushing defense of the Chargers, this guy is a must play. On FanDuel, I’m taking Karlos Williams. He has a salary of $5,700 and has scored at least one touchdown in every game he has played in this season. McCoy looked great in their last game but Williams still got in the end zone and on FanDuel, touchdowns are much more of a concern versus DraftKings. DraftKings, you can take Julio Jones every week because he will get 10+ catches and 130 yards, that get’s you 23 points which you need at least 20 from each of your WR’s to have a shot at the money versus FanDuel, that only gets you an 18 where Karlos Williams might run for 50 yards, 30 yards receiving and get 2 touchdowns, he is now a 20. Think about your strategy here and consider these tid bits later on in the week as you look to finalize your lineups. Come back on Sunday and get our expert selections along with the full weather report and key injury impacts for this weekend’s contests!

Get your full FanDuel Absolutes report for week 11 here.

Ger your full DraftKings Absolutes report for week 11 here.

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