Teaching You How to #Win – NFL Week 11 Absolutes

name of site - hunter thompson styleWeek 11 Absolutes 

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Absolute Must Have

We are back on the QB train this week as our Absolute’s have come out for week 11. I think it is important to note that our injuries aren’t made official as well as official roster spots until Friday afternoon. This means significant impact to our projections, analysis and reports, so be sure to check back each day as we breakdown all of the relevant information as it stands that day. So our top #AbsoluteMustHave for both FanDuel and DraftKings is Aaron Rodgers. I know, most of you are going what they hell are you talking about, the Packers are on a decline, they couldn’t beat the Lions at home and now they get the division leading Vikings this week. Let me breakdown some information that the NFL media members aren’t privy to or should I say, they choose not to point this information out because that doesn’t lead to a top story line to discuss on the 15 debate shows on ESPN this week. First, while the Packers only put up 16 points last week against the Lions, Rodgers threw the ball 61 times, including 21 attempts to Adams. He ended up throwing for over 330 yards and two touchdowns. So in our daily fantasy world on FanDuel and DraftKings, Rodgers produced over 25 fantasy points on a week where only one QB went over 30 and that was Kirk Cousins. The only game this season that Rodgers has produced less than 20 fantasy points on either DraftKings or FanDuel was the game against the Broncos a few weeks ago. The Vikings just gave up 320 yards and two touchdowns to Derek Carr last week and have given up over 30 points to Aaron Rodgers in 5 of their last 6 contests. Rogers projection for both sites is 21.42 and he is the #3 QB overall this week. If you are willing to spend the dough on the QB, he is a guy to consider for sure!

***Reminder Must Have’s are salaries that are $7,800 and higher

 


Absolute Notable

Week 11 gets to be interesting as you get into our #AbsoluteNotable for FanDuel as we have Alex Smith coming in this week with a projection of 17.79. Smith gets the Chargers this week and while they have only won a couple of games, it isn’t due to their 18th ranked pass defense, it is their 32nd ranked rush defense. Could Smith be your guy this week on FanDuel, potentially but I suggest you view the rest here and take another look. Moving onto DraftKings we have, Philip Rivers coming in with a top QB projection for the week of 24.82. Look it is simple, Rivers is a mid salary guy that over produces for his salary 8 out of 10 times. They are coming off a bye week, playing a divisional opponent who is on a hot streak and so I expect Rivers to have a solid game and should be considered in all formats this week.

***Reminder Notables are salaries between $5,200 and $7,800

 


Absolute Sleeper

fanduel

The most sought after topic each week as we get your feedback, questions, comments and other avenues of suggested response and that is our #AbsoluteSleeper. DC*3PO has Ryan Tannehill on DraftKings this week and Santos, the kicker for the Chiefs in week 11. Tannehill is a sneaky pick as the public will not be on him as Romo is expected to make his return this Sunday and he is pretty cheap. Can they get some big plays or will they pound the run game on the 30th ranked rushing defense of the Cowboys. I suspect that Miller will have a much bigger day than Tannehill this week. For FanDuel, they have just changed their salary algorithm for lower performing position players to be $5,200 from $5,100 so we will be making that modification. There is only one guy to consider at that price range on FanDuel and that is Ted Ginn Jr. We have him projected at 9.1 this week on FanDuel, the Redskins have given up the 3rd most points to the WR1 position over the past 3 weeks and someone has to catch the ball for Carolina. That all said, you want to know who I’m taking this week, simple, I’m taking Charcandrick West this week on DraftKings for sure. His $4,500 salary and the fact that he has had over 30 touches in three straight contests, since the Charles injury. He also has put up over 25 fantasy points in each of these games but they played in London a few weeks ago and we weren’t sure about him after Charles went down. Last week has sold the deal for me with the eye test, combined with a cheap salary and the 32nd rank rushing defense of the Chargers, this guy is a must play. On FanDuel, I’m taking Karlos Williams. He has a salary of $5,700 and has scored at least one touchdown in every game he has played in this season. McCoy looked great in their last game but Williams still got in the end zone and on FanDuel, touchdowns are much more of a concern versus DraftKings. DraftKings, you can take Julio Jones every week because he will get 10+ catches and 130 yards, that get’s you 23 points which you need at least 20 from each of your WR’s to have a shot at the money versus FanDuel, that only gets you an 18 where Karlos Williams might run for 50 yards, 30 yards receiving and get 2 touchdowns, he is now a 20. Think about your strategy here and consider these tid bits later on in the week as you look to finalize your lineups. Come back on Sunday and get our expert selections along with the full weather report and key injury impacts for this weekend’s contests!

Get your full FanDuel Absolutes report for week 11 here.

Ger your full DraftKings Absolutes report for week 11 here.

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Kristaps Porzingis is blowing away the #NBA world

New York Knicks rookie Kristaps Porzingis has arrived much quicker than anyone anticipated.

After being selected with the No. 4 pick in this year’s draft, to a smattering of boos from New York fans, Porzingis was deemed a project — a player whose long-term potential would outweigh what he could immediately produce.

Instead, after a 29-point, 11-rebound performance in a 102-94 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday night, Porzingis is already way ahead of what people thought he would be capable of in his rookie season.

Porzingis, of course, knew this was coming. He told reporters after reaching a career high in points in the win: “Everybody was saying that I was a project, to wait a few years. I will get better in a few years, but I knew I was able to play right now. That was my mentality.”

Carmelo Anthony said of Porzingis’ big night: “I knew he was ready … I’m pretty sure this will be the first of many that you all see.”

In each appearance, Porzingis has shown off a different aspect of his diverse game, gradually looking more and more comfortable on the court.

His putback dunks have made him a mainstay in the highlight reels:

Via YouTube

On Tuesday night, he showed off moves that were less flashy but nonetheless impressive, like a “Dream Shake,” made famous by Hakeem Olajuwon, for a baseline jumper:

Via YouTube

Or muscling among two Hornets players for an offensive rebound and putback layup, with a foul. That’s impressive, considering his slender 7-foot-3, 240-pound frame.

Via YouTube

Down the stretch of the game, Porzingis heard chants of “Por-zin-gis!” and perhaps sarcastically “M-V-P!” from the crowd at Madison Square Garden.

While there’s a clear sense of confidence from him, he is clearly appreciative of the attention as well.

But it’s not just the lovable personality or highlight plays that make him special — there are other signs of a legitimately great player in the 20-year-old Porzingis.

For instance, he has been, statistically, one of the Knicks’ best players this season. He leads them in rebounds per game (thought to be one of his weaknesses before the season), and they are outscoring opponents by six points per 100 possessions when he is on the court. When Porzingis is on the bench, the Knicks are being outscored by six points per 100 possessions. With Porzingis on the court, the Knicks have a team-best 95 defensive rating, meaning they are allowing opponents to score 95 points per 100 possessions — their defensive rating as a whole is 100.

As Yahoo’s Dan Devine notes, Porzingis’ 29-and-11 game before his 21st birthday puts him in elite company. Some of the other players to do it at such a young age: Shaquille O’Neal, LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Dwight Howard, Chris Bosh, Carmelo Anthony, and Anthony Davis, to name a few.

Others around the NBA world are just flat-out impressed with what Porzingis is doing already:

In the NBA’s survey of general managers before the season, Porzingis didn’t receive any votes for Rookie of the Year (in a survey that included his own GM), he didn’t receive any votes for biggest steal where he was selected in the draft, and he didn’t finish in the top five in votes for best rookie five years from now.

Porzingis will now be a legitimate candidate for Rookie of the Year, particularly because the Knicks are off to a decent 6-6 start and he has been a big part of it.

At some point this season, Porzingis will hit an inevitable rookie wall. While he has made contributions all over the floor, he is still shooting only 41% from the field and 26% from 3-point range. If he continues to have scoring outbursts as he did Tuesday night, defenses will key in on him, and he’ll struggle with the adjustments.

For now, however, Porzingis has been one of the best early-season stories, and what he has shown just 12 games into his career makes him an extremely promising player for the future.

Source: Kristaps Porzingis is blowing away the NBA world

What You Need To Know Wednesday

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1

5 Times a Charm

Bomb threats, DUI’s, hit-and-runs, vandalism…you know a model citizen who has already faced at least a suspension(s) of 10 games before news of his latest suspension, of which, is now a year.  You’d think it would send him packing to another team but the Raiders are gonna wait it out.  Why do teams keep giving this guy chances?  Maybe it has to do with him being the fastest guy to 30 sacks in #NFL history.  But maybe at some point we should set a higher standard than just being good at orchestrated violence – Read more about this new suspension here:

2

Mama Said Knock You Out

In this era of safety and the wussification of the gladiators we once knew – vaunted medical staff are incapable of diagnosing a player having trouble during the game, and then notice something off about him, forgetting plays, and then he suffers an apparent second concussion – then is that not negligence?  Is it not a criminal offense?  Yes congratulations to the O-coordinator for noticing something was amiss with Brian Hoyer – but shame on everyone else paying lip service to brain injury – Read more here:

3

Time Just Keeps On Ticking

Back in my day, Time of Possession was a metric that told you what team dominated field possession and overall the game.  Those with the higher T.O.P usually had the better record. As the following article dictates, Time of Possession may be a dead stat – put out to pasture by the fundamental idea that more plays correlates to the possibility of more points.

4

What If You Had a Party and No one Came?

Remember when going to Bowl-Game meant something?  In this era of everyone gets a trophy – so does everyone get a Bowl-Game.  We have now have 80 Bowl games.  80!  80 games to fill with NCAA Football teams that many of do no deserve.  There exists a real possibility that some really undeserving teams will get some free-swag bags and a trip somewhere nice, like Boise in December, as this article breaks down the what if…

5

Rookie Hazing

life can be tough for a rookie in any sport.  But what if you got your shot late, like 32 late?  Knowing your legs won’t get any fresher and stock ownership in IcyHot might be your first investment – probably will not diminish your enthusiasm.  But for Marcelos Huertas his dream is real and might be like watching John Beckwith play in the #NBA.

6

Home Cooking Your Own Books

Like Enron, the #NHL has a credibility problem.  You just can not trust the advanced stats the league puts out.  Stupidity is not like a tide that raises all boats – it’s the tide that sinks them all.  For league to trumpet out bad data and for no one to notice, screams the type of ineptitude that I and most people I know have associated Gary Bettman with for decades.  Maybe the casual fan doesn’t care, but it still doesn’t mean you invest much in a sport that continues to get lapped in the ratings by ice-dancing.

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