Teaching You How to #Win – #NFL Week 7 Absolutes

Week 7 Absolutes 

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Absolute Must Have

Week 7 is upon us and for the 3rd straight week our DraftKings Absolute Must Have is Tom Brady. Aug 16, 2013; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady (12) throws a pass against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the first quarter at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stew Milne-USA TODAY SportsHis Projection for this week is 26.06 and really why not, he has put up 26 points in consecutive weeks but he does get the Jets defense this weekend. They have given him fits in the past and now we get to see if that was because of Rex Ryan or the talent on the Jets defense. Right now, he is about the most consistent play you can make at QB so look for another solid performance from Brady.  On FanDuel we have Cam Newton. He comes in with a projection of 23.62 on FanDuel and a plus 5.39 on our projection to spend ratio.  This means he only needs to be worth 18.23 to be of value for his salary this weekend. He goes up against the Eagles defense which has been playing lights out of late. With only Olsen to throw to, look for that combo again this weekend but if it were me, I would stick to Brady or look for a cheaper player at QB and avoid Newton this week.

***Reminder Must Have’s are salaries that are $7,800 and higher

 


Absolute Notable

Aug 22, 2013; Baltimore, MD, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) drops back to pass against the Baltimore Ravens defense at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

On DraftKings this week our Absolute #Notable is Cam Newton. He comes in with a pretty cheap salary and that has to be due to the defense he is up against this week. I don’t see the Eagles completely shutting them down but I could see them holding the Panthers in the upper teens which bodes for field goals and not touchdowns.  His projection of 23.13 is one of the highest of the week but I suspect he will only get around 18 points and there are cheaper options that will produce much more for you this week. Moving onto FanDuel, we have Josh McCown and his 19.32 projection. What can you say about this guy? Since getting knocked out against the Jets and missing the following week due to concussion protocol, he has been a top 5 QB each week including a week 5 top play, just as we accurately projected. His plus 3.79 value, makes for a strong consideration this week and someone I would consider at this point in the week. Check back on Sunday to get our final analysis.

***Reminder Notables are salaries between $5,200 and $7,800


Absolute Sleeper

fanduelFor FanDuel our Absolute #Sleeper this week is Stephen Gostkowski. He comes in with an amazing projection of 14.89 and really is there another kicker to consider at this point in the season? I don’t think that there is, he has had at least 2 FG’s in every contest and the Patriots are on a mission, look for this to continue. I like the Rams D on FanDuel as my overall Sleeper and if you are looking for a positional player to consider at this price point, I would suggest Ladarius Green. The Raiders are giving up the most to TE in fantasy this season by a long shot and even with Gates on the field, he is still producing. Combine that with the fact that almost no one will take him when they can take Gates so that might bode well for you in the long run.

Aug 8, 2013; San Diego, CA, USA; San Diego Chargers tight end Antonio Gates (85) receives a 20 yard pass against the Seattle Seahawks at Qualcomm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jody Gomez-USA TODAY Sports

For DraftKings we in fact do have Antonio Gates with a projection of 20.47. You already know about his matchup and let’s face it, he is getting it done right now. He is a must play on DraftKings this week! Another player to consider this week is Doug Martin. His salary is only $4,900 this week and he is coming off two weeks where he was the top RB play along with Devonta Freeman prior to his bye week, just sayin’!

***Reminder that Sleepers are salaries under $5,200

Get your full FanDuel Absolutes report for week 7 here.

Ger your full DraftKings Absolutes report for week 7 here.


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#BackToTheFuture and 5 Other Dimes

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1. Murphy’s Law

It appears Back to the Future II was wrong about the Cubs.  It was fun while it lasted, and how ’bout that Daniel Murphy.  I’m not sure, but he might be the first player ever to hit a HR in the postseason off of three Cy Young winners…Channeling his inner Carlos Beltran, Murphy has now tied a record by hitting a HR in 5 straight games off of guys like these: Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke, Jon Lester and Jake Arrieta.

In honor of #BackToTheFuture, I’ll give you this:  The last time a club had Theo Epstein as their GM, that also went 80yrs without a World Series, and was also down 0-3 to a team from New York in the LCS – that team then won the next 8 games to erase a curse…….not saying, just saying.

  • Mets playoffs: Breaking down Jason Hammel, Cubs’ Game 4 starter – spite trailing 3-0 in the National League Championship Series, the Chicago Cubs are sticking to their plan and starting Jason Hammel against the Metstonight in Game 4. Their alternatives would have been Jon Lester, pitching on three days of rest, or perhaps Jake Arrieta, pitching on two days of rest. The 33-year-old righty might not be in the game for long—by design—as the Cubs……(continue reading)

  • ROYALS ROUT BLUE JAYS 14-2, 1 WIN FROM WORLD SERIES RETURN –  Whether it’s a long ball by Ben Zobrist, a slashing single from Lorenzo Cain or another exhilarating trip around the bases for Alcides Escobar, these Kansas City Royals are relentless — and one win from a return trip to the World Series.  Zobrist hit a two-run homer on knuckleballer R.A. Dickey’s fourth pitch of the game, Alex Rios connected an inning later against his former team and the Royals romped past the Toronto Blue Jays 14-2 Tuesday for a 3-1 lead in the American League Championship Series……(continue reading)


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2. All We Are, Is Dust In The Wind Dude

Has there been any bigger flash-in-the-pan than Puig?  I still think he has a lot of talent and might need a new venue and new year.  So what better way to look at next year then some trade rumors.  Matt Fitzgerald breaks down the buzz of who might go where

  • MLB Rumors: Analyzing Trade Buzz on Yasiel Puig, Stephen Strasburg and More – The MLB offseason has officially begun for every team save the final four in the playoffs, so trade speculation will continue swirling from now through the Fall Classic and well into the winter.  If the caliber of players making headlines in the latest trade buzz is any indication of what’s to come, it could ignite a captivating series of transactions as front offices work to retool their rosters.  Three big names who have experienced……(continue reading)

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3. What #NFL Team Are You Stuck Watching

For those of you that still do not have the RedZone channel, and suffer from being skinny arms Peyton Manning – you’re stuck watching whatever game the networks tell you to watch.  Thankfully, the fellas at FiveThirtyEight.com broke down the #NFL’s broadcast deal.  You might be surprised who the NFL pushes us to watch as an alternate to your local 11.

  • Which NFL Team Are You Stuck Watching Every Sunday? – Like millions of other Americans, I watch the NFL on a regular basis. However, just like millions of other viewers, most Sundays I am not sure which games will be on my television. I live in Austin, so there’s a good chance I’ll get to see the Cowboys and Texans, but beyond that, there’s no way for me to know what to expect. Because of the nature of the league’s broadcast deal, and the realities of “regional coverage,” every Sunday the league’s national broadcast partners Fox and CBS assign different games to different markets, based on……(continue reading)

4. There Is Always Room at the Top

It’s time to count all your chickens before they’ve hatched and that is exactly what Rivers McCown has done for the Washington Post.  He has broken down the top 10 teams and their chances at the elusive College Football Playoff.  We have yet to have Halloween, but can still enjoy a snickers here and there, can’t we?

  • College Football Playoff Projection: Here are the 10 top teams in the nation right now – With most of this week’s games looking like they’ll play true to form — which seems to be a rarity this college football season — it’s worth looking ahead to what the top of the Playoff Selection Committee’s rankings might look like when they’re unveiled next week. At least, here’s what they should look like, right now, and what potential obstacles remain for each team before the season’s end……(continue reading)

5. Dime Bag

The NBA season is almost upon us and the SB Nation has broken down a team-by-team preview for the 2015 season for you.  SPOILER ALERT: No one picks the Nuggets to win it all.

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