It’s Friday!!! We are getting closer to unveiling our new site and getting you ready for Football! A screenshot of our new site will be at the end of this post. But enough about what we’re doing – let’s get it on with Friday Night Baseball!!
HEAVIEST FAVORITES – according to Vegas
Wei-Yin Chen vs. Minnesota Twins (-169) – Feels like it’s been awhile since we’ve had an average pitcher, (no offense Chen) going up against the Twins, tagged as the favorite by Vegas. I wonder if we’re back to that now? Chen enters tonight with a 3.20 ERA to go with a 1.17 WHIPand a K/9 of 7.4. If you read this article on the regular, you’ll know that the Twins certainly aren’t hitting well at all, as they enter tonight with a .300 wOBA in the second half, good for 25th in the league. Chen usually isn’t a big strikeout guy, but the Twins are striking out the 4th most in the league during that time period as well. At $8300, Chen certainly looks like a bargain tonight. With so many high priced starters going tonight, five that are priced at $10,000 or more, Chen should be a popular choice. He’s certainly one you’ll want to consider for yourself.
Gio Gonzalez vs. Milwaukee Brewers (-163)- Gonzalez comes into tonight as the second favorite pitcher, according to Vegas. He has a matchup against the Milwaukee Brewers, who aren’t exactly lighting up the baseball world either. The Brewers land right under the Twins in the ranks of wOBA in the second half with .299 and a 21 K%, good for 15th in the league. Gonzalez has been wild this season and really tough to trust, even in a matchup like this. Gonzalez will go out and have a great start, as he did against the Dodgers where he scored 29.2 points. Then he faces the Giants, his last time ou,t and managed a score of -8.2. That basically sums up the season of Gio Gonzalez in 2015. Like Chen, Gonzalez is cheap tonight with a good matchup. He’ll run you for only $8500, which feels quite cheap when compared to some of the other asking prices tonight. It’s just a matter of if you can trust him or not. Decisions, decisions.
Johnny Cueto vs. Boston Red Sox (-159) – Coming in at $10,000 on the night, Cueto feels a bit cheap, doesn’t he? He gets a matchup tonight againt the Red Sox, the owners have the highest wOBA in the second half of the season. Add in the fact that they are one of the toughest teams to strike out, owning only an 18 K% in the second half and suddenly you got yourself a tough matchup for Cueto. Cueto has obvisouly seen his numbers dip since making his way over to the American League. His K/9 has dropped from 8.57 to 6, his BB/9 has gone up from 1.67 to 2.36, you get the idea. So even though the Red Sox are basically down and out of it in the standings, they’re playing like they still have a playoff spot to earn. While the sound of Cueto might be enticing tonight, I think im going to steer away from this one. Cueto is a good pitcher, don’t get me wrong. But with a team that’s tough to strike out and crushing the ball lately, I won’t take any chances, even at $10,000.
TOP OVERALL GAME per O/U
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- So now, the Mets come to town to face off against the Rockies. Just like that, we have our highest projected run total of the night. Bartolo Colon takes on Jonathan Gray tonight, in what should really be a pitchers duel. When I say pitchers duel, I mean, who can give up the most hits between the two. Colon enters tonight with a 4.59 ERA to go with a 1.26 WHIP. I have a hard time thinking Colon is going to “sneak” that fastball by many Rockies players tonight, especially with this game at Coors. Colon is pitching how you’d expect him to, a couple of decent starts at times mixed in with some real duds. The Rockies have struggled in the second half of the season, so maybe we even have a chance of Colon squeaking out a decent game here, but you won’t catch me rostering him to find out. I’ll happily look at the box score later on. As for Gray, he’s quite interesting tonight. Granted, trusting at pitcher at Coors is tough to do, but this kid seems like he can pitch. Gray owns a 2.40 ERA to go with a 0.93 WHIP, numbers that don’t belong in a Rockies rotation. Last time he faced the Mets, Gray allowed one run on six hits while striking out five. This game took place in New York but still. At just $5500, dare I say he could actually be an option tonight?
TOUGHEST PITCHERS VS. LEFT HANDED BATTERS
Tommy Milone vs. Baltimore Orioles – Milone, baby! He can get it done when it comes to facing lefties! On the season, Milone is holding them to a .198 wOBA. That is quite impressive. Now, if only he had half the suceess against right handed batters.
Johnny Cueto vs. Boston Red Sox – Even with the transition to the American League, Cueto hasn’t seen his numbers against lefties go up to much. He’s holding them to a .220 wOBA this season.
TOUGHEST PITCHERS VS. RIGHT HANDED BATTERS
Jimmy Nelson vs. Washington Nationals – We have a few big name pitchers going tonight that haven’t even made an apperence on this article. Yet, here we are, telling you Nelson has the best wOBA against right handed batters at .246. Baseball, everybody!
Rubby De La Rosa vs. Cincinnati Reds – Next in line is De La Rosa. What kind of world are we living in right now? He owns a .263 wOBA against those right handed batters. He’s a mess against lefties, however.
EASIEST PITCHER VS. LEFT HANDED BATTERS.
Rubby De La Rosa vs. Cincinnati Reds- Would I lie to you? I told you he wasn’t good against lefties, like, at all. De La Rosa owns an ugly .386 wOBA against lefties this season.
Andrew Cashner vs. St. Louis Cardinals- Cashner was one of my favorites. That is, until 2015, where he forgot how to pitch. In an unlucky turn of event, left handed batters don’t forget how to hit, as they own a .387 wOBA against the Cash man.
EASIEST PITCHER VS. RIGHT HANDED BATTERS.
David Holmberg vs. Arizona Diamondbacks- This is NOT one of the teams you want to stuggle against. The Diamondbacks are a good offensive team, something I’m sure Holmberg will find out later tonight. Holmberg is allowing a .390 wOBA against right handed batters. At least he’s under .400, right?
Tommy Milone vs. Baltimore Orioles – Milone started the day off on such a high note, being the best against lefties. Then he has to go and ruin it, because he’s atrocious against righties. He owns a .371 wOBA against them.
All Pitcher Stats
Travis Shaw ($3800) – Another young Red Sox player that is just straight up crushing the ball lately. Shaw is 15-30 with four home runs, eight RBIs, and eight runs scored. Maybe the future of the Red Sox isn’t so bad after all.
Adam Jones ($5200) – Jones baby, he’s starting to get on a hot streak again! Jones is 10-27 with four home runs, eight RBIs, and six runs scored. When he’s hitting well, that Orioles lineup can be deadly.
Dee Gordon ($5300) – Gordon seems completely healthy and back to his stealing ways. Doesn’t hurt that he’s really hitting the ball well. Gordon is 12-29 with three RBIs, seven runs scored and five stolen bases over that span. He’s getting to the point where if he gets on base, he’s stealing a bag almost every time. Love it.
BEST BATTER VS. PITCHER MATCHUPS
Aramis Ramirez vs. Madison Bumgarner – Ramirez has seen some sucess against Bumgarner, which was quite a surprise to me. Ramirez is 6-18 against him with four extra base hits, one of them being a home run, and a 1.048 OPS.
Nelson Cruz vs. Chris Sale – Yes, this one is going to be a small sample size, but anyone that hits Sale well, deserves a spot here. Cruz is 6-13 against Sale with two extra base hits, both of them being home runs, and a 1.456 OPS.
Chris Davis vs Tommy Milone- Another smaller sample size, but when Davis gets a hit off Milone, he’s making it count. Davis is 4-11 against Milone with three extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.417 OPS.
The Royals and Red Sox have a real chance at rain tonight. I would certainly watch this game closely.
Top 4 by Position – in no partciular order
A Pitcher to Consider
David Price ($12,300)- Price is the second most expensive pitcher on the night, but his matchup against the Angels makes him worth the price. The Angels have one of the worst wOBA in the second half of the season, at .290, they rank 28th in the league. Certainly not what anyone expected for this team, but we can certainly take advantage of it. In his three starts for the Blue Jays, Price has been great. Scoring 39 points against the Twins, and 30.2 and 15.9 against the Yankees. Coming into tonight with a 2.41 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.6, Price certainly has the numbers to back up his salary for tonight. An added bump for Price tonight is that this game is in LA, which doesn’t help the Angles with their second half ISO of .143, ranked 22nd in the league. Lots to love for Price tonight, not so much for LA.
Paul Goldschmidt($5600) – You know, this is a tough call honestly. I LOVE the numbers that Goldy has against left handed pitching. I don’t love his play as of late. The home runs have not made an appearance in the month of August and he only had two in the month of July. Yikes. However, he crushes left handed pitching, which makes me hope tonight is the night I look like a genius. He owns a .455 wOBA against lefties with an ISO of .274. I mean, those are seriously huge numbers, so it’s hard not to at least like the matchup. He faces David Holmberg, whos given up five home runs five home runs in just 19 innings pitched so far. The numbers are here folks, let’s see who’s going to be bold tonight and leap.
Justin Turner($3400) – Turner…..is way too cheap. For someone who’s hitting .312 on the year with 14 home runs and 47 RBIs. Not too shabby, eh? Tonight he goes up against Mike Fiers, who isn’t horrible, but Turner is really turning up against righties. On the season, Turner owns a .425 wOBA with a .255 ISO. It’s almost like rostering a much cheaper version of Goldy. At 3400, this should be a steal on the night.