Monday Dregs

Nietzsche said, “out of chaos, comes order.” Or maybe he didn’t.  The infamous Howard Johnson of Rock-Ridge had quoted him, in a town meeting to discuss the new sheriff – so maybe it’s true.  But maybe chaos theory explains it just as well as Nietzsche – the more complex system, the faster and easier it breaks down.  That could apply to climate-change, governments and our bracket(s).  There is a morbid Bedouin proverb that says: “As the camel falls to its knees, more knives are drawn.”  A Proverb is a proverb because it speaks to a permanent truth…which may or may not be exactly how we felt when we saw what happened in the opening rounds.  All those 1 possession games, upsets…Seppuku

That is the word I was looking for when the Tigers of LSU missed 20 consecutive shots to lose the game against NC State.  There wasn’t much to expect this year, but to lose that way was a terrible shock to every fiber of my body.  It’s like your heart goes limp and the air is kicked out of your lungs for 20-30 seconds after seeing the final score and how it came to be – I fell sideways into a plate of tacos, like I was whacked in the head with a baseball bat.  Momentarily, I might have blacked out, but the room had already emptied except for two girls who were snickering at me as they walked out the door.  I was so swollen with shame that I felt like a fat kid after halloween – and that was when I thought about reaching for my gold-handled sword, as Dean Martin sang about kicks in the head  – it was the only honorable way out.  Just then I got a text message, taunting me and my thoughts moved from melancholy ceremony to vendetta.  A feeling I’m sure is shared with any fan of Virginia, Kansas, Iowa St or Villanova.

In our attempt to breakdown the bracket and build us all a better mousetrap – it appears we accomplished that.  If only we actually listened to what the tea leaves told us.  What we built, ended up getting 28 out of 32 correct on Thursday and Friday – 13 out of 16 for the weekend – that’s 84.4% overall!  Now if we had only listened to our own model…but that’s the trick isn’t it?  Just because you got UCLA correct and the system got it wrong – you blame the minor flaw for the whole – like Seinfeld and the numerous women he dumps because they are a low-talker, has man hands, or eats peas one at a time – and it all seems justifiable.  We chose poorly – the game is rigged, it knows you need the 12/5 upset, there was none.  It knows you have to find two #10 seed upsets and it gave one, Ohio St.  It counts on you selecting a #15 seed beating a #2 because the last 3 years it has happened, becoming a trend – but shuts that door on you as well.  Much like it knew the record of the #3 seeds, and yet the game crushed you with UAB over Iowa St (also a double-digit favorite), Georgia St over Baylor and almost gave you Northeastern over Notre Dame.  Only 3 times has 2 #14 seeds won a game in the same tournament – 1986 and 1995, and the last time a 12 did not beat a 5 was in 2007.  Hell, #8 seeds only win 53% of the time in the tournament the last 16 years and that did not stop all of them winning this year.  She’s a cruel mistress.

The system says Villanova and Virginia and your brain says they will fall – you know this, but when do you switch your faith in the design, to what is rationally dependent.  Is there any bigger set of teams that consistently choke away their chances more than Villanova and Kansas?  Of course you could be an entire state, like Texas, who failed to show up.  Even when the advice tells you to pick with the cruel logic over the bleeding heart, you still line up and get slaughtered.  The NCAA fattens us up so Vegas can eat well in the Spring.  But I digress, our bracket is hanging on and is tied with several other prognosticators having more final four teams than most and being the only one out of 8 that has Arizona and Duke in the title game.  If only we had listened to our own March-Madness Frankenstein – who says this is how the next round shakes out:

  • Notre Dame close
  • Wisconsin close
  • Kentucky
  • Arizona
  • Gonzaga
  • Louisville
  • Duke
  • Oklahoma

Further advancing Oklahoma over Louisville, Duke over Gonzaga, Arizona over Wisconsin and ‘Tucky over Notre Dame.

Aside from our DiRT Canon Analyzer, here are other “entertainment purposes only” trends in the Sweet 16 and Elite 8:

Sweet 16

  1. the Sweet 16 is usually where double digit seeds go down like a soccer player.  Better seeds have won 50 of the past 72 games SU (69%) the last nine years, but are only 29% ATS since 2012 (7-17)
  2. From 2003-2010 favorites of at least 5.5 were 22-1 SU in the Sweet 16.  However, 4 big upsets have occurred since: Arizona (+9.5) over Duke in 2011, Kentucky (+5.5) over Ohio St in 2011, Louisville (+5.5) over Michigan St in 2012 and Marquette (+5.5) over Miami in 2013.  These big favorites are only 17-18-1 ATS since 2003.
  3. Last year’s Sweet 16 featured six teams seeded 6th or worse, and three advanced to the Elite Eight, including #11 Dayton beating #10 Stanford.  That makes the lesser seed 8-2 SU and ATS (80%) in the last 10 situations when two teams seeded #6 or worse met in the Sweet 16. (none this year)
  4. Double-digit seeds are just 4-24 SU in the Sweet 16 round since 2003, with the only such win coming when #11 Dayton beat #10 Stanford, 82-72.  (UCLA is the only double digit seed remaining).
  5. In games where the total is 128 points or less, the UNDER is 14-5-1 (74%) since 1999.

Elite 8

  1. Since 1998, lesser seeds hold an overall advantage in the Elite 8, going 44-22-3 ATS (66%), including 3-0-1 in 2014.
  2. Lesser seeds in the Elite 8 had been 7-9 ATS (6-10 SU) from 2007-2010 before a 12-3-1 ATS run (11-5 SU) overthe past four tournaments with #8 Kentucky, #7 UConn and #2 Wisconsin all advancing as lesser seeds in 2014.
  3. Teams favored by 8+ points in this round have won 12 of the last 15 games, but are just 4-10-1 (29%).  Florida beat Dayton last year 62-52, giving up 10 points.
  4. When the difference in the seeds was five or more from 1998-2010, the better seeds were 12-1 SU, 4-8-1 ATS (33%).  But since then, #11 VCU beat #1 Kansas, #8 Butler beat #2 Florida, #8 Kentucky beat #2 Michigan and #9 Wichita St beat Ohio St.
  5. In games with the total is less than 145, the OVER has won 73% of the time (33-12).  However was just 1-3 last year with only Kentucky/Michigan surpassing the total.

continue to follow us @TheDiRTCanon for updates and sign up and win money with us on FanDuel+DraftKings – if you’ve been playing, you’d be up several hundreds of dollars from our suggestions last week, in just the $2 tournaments.  It’s been an amazing week of basketball both college and pro – regardless of what happens in Vegas – because we are all damn fine Americans!

 

 

 

DiRTy Plays Friday

March 20th, 2015

Player Analysis and Lineup Projections are in just click here to get your daily NBA info to win and win big like we have continued to do.  We came 26th out of 57471 last night on a $2 contest.

March19_1

News & Notes:

We are introducing a new format for our DiRTy Plays as we will be posting our Absolute Must Have, Notable and Sleeper for both Fan Duel and DraftKings.  In this segment we will identify the players you should have in your lineup(s) for tonight’s games as we look to combine their matchup with their projection and rank them by salary category.  For more information and additional insight for more players and lineups be sure to check out DiRTy Plays – Week of March 16th.  Below you will find a Free Roll that we have put together with DraftKings that is designed for only beginners.  You can click on any game, banner or highlighted phrase to be taken to the proper location.  This means if you have NEVER played on Draftkings before tonight is your night.  It cost you nothing to enter and if you click here or just go to our DiRTy Plays Week of March 16th page we will tell you how to win at this contest.  Once you win some money tonight, come back and visit us next week as our lineup optimizer will be ready for you to use and not only will we will analyze your daily DiRTy plays for DraftKings but Fan Duel as well, we always provide insight into why you should stick with certain players.  If you need some instructions on how to play on either DraftKings click here and for Fan Duel click here.  We will be adding a new segment next week that will also outline some of those guys that you should shy away from and why that is so look for that new segment.  Now let us me show you how we are doing as we don’t just provide info we play too so yes, we put our money where our mouth is so you can trust our analysis and results thereafter.

SPECIAL PROMOTIONS

DraftKings is having a HUGE NCAA Tournament, just click this link and enter now and win big.

DraftKings players Special PromotionFirst-time depositors are now receiving a free $3 voucher for any sport, instead of a free $2 voucher, along with their first-time deposit bonus. As a result, our “big” low entry fee tournaments are now $3 (example: the daily $2 NBA Layup is now a much smaller contest in terms of payouts, and the daily $3 NBA Sharp Shooter is the bigger tournament in its place).

Absolute Must Have, Notable & Sleeper – New Segment

The definition for these respective categories is all based on the salary assigned to the individual for today’s games on both Fan Duel and DraftKings.  The Absolute Must Have category is designated for players with a salary above $8,000.  The Absolute Notable is for players that have a salary between $5,300 and $7,900.  Absolute Sleeper is defined as players that have a salary at or below $5,200.  We will be identifying the best player for these respective salary ranges each day and you should take all three of these individuals as they have the best matchup and the projection combination for the day.  You will then be able to review the next section where we outline some additional players to complete your lineup and finished off with a lineup to consider for each site.

Games to Play Tonight


Just click on the one of the links above and you will be directed to these contests and you can start making a profit.

3rd Stone From the Sun

Animals! Anarchy! I have always hated kids, especially at this time of year. They wander in and out of the house, babbling and drooling on each other, and when it snows, piling up, up, up, then flooding with filth when it melts. … Yes sir, haven’t I been telling you all along that March is a horrible month? It sucks in nine-thousand ways.  Especially in Texas.  The whole state went 0’fer.

But not all ways, as it turns out. No. Shaquille O’Neal was born in March, along with my son and other sons I’m related too, and the bastard child of Charles Manson. How many more games can be decided by a single point?

Hot damn! I could go on and on about this, but that would drive us all mad. Justin Bieber was spawned in March, along with Jack Kerouac, Queen Latifah, Albert Einstein and Osama bin Laden.

So let’s get back to basketball and the looming UCLA-UAB game. Even the president is worried about it.

We live in downhill times, in basketball and everywhere else. By this time next year, we will all be arrested for something, whether we’re guilty or not. “Terrorism” has many, many faces. Frankly, I will not be shocked to see the NCAA basketball tournament being played in a titanium cage at Guantanamo Bay, with defrocked priests as Referees calling goal-tending.

But the LSU situation haunts me more than the others, right now, if only because I watched upset after upset yesterday – and the beloved Tigers missing 20 consecutive shots. My heart is heavy, my mood is glum.  How is that goal-tending?! Bracket Destruction is a horrible pig. It is sort of like texting a lady late at night after washing down your tears with Jameson and Miller Lite.

Yeah. Suck on that one for a minute.

As for my quasi-flaky Tigers, professional circumstance has already spared me the agony of deciding where to put my money today. Right, no more of this s***-eating grief. I have finally grown up, I have matured — the Office Pool bracket sheet says I have already picked Northern Iowa in the Elite 8.

Indeed. I did it Monday, when I thought I was still thinking clearly. You bet: The Bruins are a No. 11 seed. And UAB is the No. 14.

It’s easy: Just bet the higher-seeded team in every game, and forget that amateur crap about “Personal Loyalties” and Home Team hunches that reveal themselves to you just before dawn on game day. You are probably an Alcoholic, anyway, and you are prone to Doubling Up/down, so what? Pay no attention to any yo-yo who tells you that Wisconsin is going to win. That is nonsense, that is impossible, nobody in basketball would bet Wisconsin over Kentucky. It would be 33-1 or 44-1, if you thought about monetizing it.

And some people will, at any odds. What the hell? I would bet heavily on my people at 22-1, and a bit less heavily at 15-1, or even 11-1. Why not? Big Risk is what this ball-busting March Madness is all about, right? Go long, get weird, kick ass — and if we Lose, get really Weird.

Yes sir, that is exactly what we do around here in March, folks. We load up on everything we can get our hands on, then crawl into a huge vat of ice water and bet gigantic money with jokers on both coasts.

It is not much different from that giggly, blind-dumb limbo that a gambler will get into when he knows in his heart that he finally has a Sure Thing, a sleeping dog who can’t lose, etc. etc.

But let me tell you for sure, people, that Gonzaga can lose, and the ‘Zags probably will. It is actually about a 57-1 shot, which is not for your everyday hometown beer drunk. … NoDakSt might be simply Bigger, Faster, Smarter, Tougher and on most days just a little more adventurous than this Gonzaga team, which is not even as good as the one that lost to UConn in the Elite Eight in 1999. They have the shooters, but do they have the muscle or the depth to play 40 minutes with the Bison?

The final spread will be at least two digits. Try 18, as in 89-71. I have already predicted this with my blind-dog-smokin-bracket-sheet, which was strictly impersonal.

Or almost impersonal, anyway: In a fit of stupid loyalty or love or maybe just a pimp’s lust for melodrama, I fell for crowd-pleasing Cinderella-teams like Iowa St, Baylor and Eastern Washington, which all got busted early. Screw them. All of my Final Four picks are still alive, and that is more than some people can say.

My attorney will almost certainly live to be 122 years old, when he will still be the amazing all-time champion of sports and literature that he is today, and has been for the past 12 years. Whatever it is that he eats after midnight, we should all eat more of it. Take it from me: I know how it feels to run at top speed for years and still believe in Santa Claus.

Whoops, maybe not Santa, but definitely Valentine’s Day and the Fourth of July. It was my attorney, in fact, who told me to bet Arizona even, with no points at all, at 13-1 odds to win it all. Got it? That means Wisconsin, Villanova and Duke, too.

So I will, and nevermind what I really think — which is that Northern Iowa will knock off ‘Nova and Wichita St will somehow beat Kansas. Right, and that’s about it for my ramblings of an insane gambler, for now. I hear the gong, and I must have whiskey.

DiRTy Plays – Hit that 3

March 19th, 2015

okc_coach
Shots Up

Usually I would start out my weekly post by providing you with a recap of the fabulous Wednesday night of NBA basketball but I figured I would change it up this week and talk about RESTING players. Has the NBA really come to this already?  When I was growing up, I hated being taken out of the game for even a couple of minutes.  During the length of a season as a teenager, I would have games for the high school starting in November, the season would run through the end of February, mainly because we were a top 5 team in the state and we would play around 30 games.  Then you get to AAU.  At that time, I would end up playing a 50 game season from March until July and that didn’t count the weekend tournaments.  Back to back’s have nothing on that grueling schedule because our back to backs were in the same day.  Then you drive to the next city and you are playing another 2 games the following day.  NBA players get to ride on in luxury cars, chartered air planes, stay in the nicest hotels and eat whatever the team nutritionist prepares for them.  They have everything handed to them on a silver platter and now I’m stuck, as a fan, having to watch a bunch of D-League players compete against NBA Stars?  This is a travesty to which I cannot begin to believe.  Michael Jordan never sat out a game unless he was injured.  Everyone remembers when he played in the NBA Finals with the flu and all he did was put up an MVP performance and win the game.  Now I review the injury list and provide those details for your daily NBA fantasy gaming knowledge; seemingly I end up finding at least one guy, every night, that has an “illness” and he is doubtful.

klay_restingI couldn’t agree more with Klay Thompson’s father, who went off in an interview about the Warriors sitting his son down against the Nuggets last week.  He was upset and mortified that a guy in his 20’s couldn’t play 4 games in 5 nights.  It’s a grueling season they say, I say we are dealing with executives who only care about one thing….Assets.  If their asset provides any inclination that he might leave the team because let’s face it, the executives of the NBA have no control over players, then they put a system together to rest their players thinking this might allow the player to think the executive really cares about their health and longevity.  Trust me, when Klay Thompson can no longer hit jumpers and play defense he will be traded to the Nuggets to finish out his career in a never ending, we play for 9th place, environment and those games he sat out in his 20’s will be lost and for what.  Who really loses in this tragedy, it’s you and me, the fans who buy the tickets to come and see their favorite players.  More often than not we live in cities that simply can obtain nor attempt to keep star players like Denver and so we are stuck with trying to go to games where the opponent has players we want to see in person.  You buy the $50 tickets, $9 for a beer, $5 for a hot dog, sit down for the tip only to find out the guy you came to see will be sitting longer than you will during the game and now you have to watch some guy from Serbia that you have never heard of still light up your terrible home team.  The bigger question here is why in the hell would the Nuggets sit any players this year.  After the Warriors did it to them, the Nuggets thought, oh we need to follow this path, mainly because they have no plan whatsoever and they sit Faried, Galo and Lawson.  resting playersIf anything these guys should have to play 40 minutes a game as punishment for the manner in which they conducted themselves with Shaw at the helm.  Instead, coach Melvin Hunt, gets the team on a slight role, playing somewhat to the level we would expect and he gets called into the principals office to remind him, “We SUCK”!  We want a better draft pick, stop winning games and so Hunt is told to sit players.  Guess what it worked, the Nuggets lost and hopefully they will lose just as many fans over it.

It’s On The Way

To lighten the mood, I figured I would take a moment to dive into a budding superstar that I have been talking about for weeks, Rudy Gobert.  will_farrell_shootingThis Flying Frenchman, has come off the bench and into the starting role for the Utah Jazz, only to become one of the most dominating forces in the NBA right now.  He stands at 7 foot 1 inch and can touch the rim from his tippy toes.  He is a natural rebounding maching, averaging over 16 rebounds per game since Kanter was traded to OKC.  Most of us aren’t Jazz fans but let me tell you, Gobert, gives you a reason to watch them.  This young team will fend for a playoff spot in the West and if they played in the East, they would be in the top 3.  Once he learns to add a 15 foot jump shot and put on a few pounds, he might be a guy you get to watch on the national stage because the Jazz will put up W’s on a consistent basis.  The best news about this young man is the fact that this is only his second season and really his rookie year.  gobert_mar10The Jazz add Derrick Favors and Gordon Hayward, who are also young stars with a starting back court that are also rookies.  The NBA beat writers keep talking about Minnesota and the stars they have up there in the north but that’s all they are, Northmen.  The Flying Frenchman and the frontline of the Rocky Mountains, lies in Utah and assuming they can keep this talent together, no don’t REST them, these guys will be fun to watch for years to come and remind me of a young team in OKC of 5 years ago.

Score It


Over the past six months, I have spent countless hours analyzing sports information, watching television shows, listening to sports radio and of course watching all the games you can imagine.  To say the least, this job never stops, it never quits, it’s seven days a week.  So why do it you ask?  The answer is simple, So You Don’t Have To!  All of this analysis is being done, programs built, report generation is being automated and we are almost to a point where you, our reader, can take advantage of all these tools.  We have added a lot more of this information even today so check out DiRTy Plays – Week of March 16th, for all the insight and information you will need to play daily NBA fantasy games.  We not only provide you with projections and an optimal lineup, we also tell you why these players have the projections they have.  basket_on_fireWe have implemented an Absolute system that will identify players in specific salary ranges that you absolutely have to play for tonight’s contests.  We are currently giving away a free Platinum membership if you contact us to the next 15 individuals who sign up.  What will you get you ask?  It’s simple, you will get the full list of projections, access to one of our data analysts for any questions or additional insight you might have, reports will be emailed to you on a daily basis and as our complete lineup optimization tool is being finalized you will get to beta test it’s functionality.  Yes, this costs you nothing and now you get all of the tools that I use to build my earnings each and every day.  Yesterday marked the 24th consecutive day of profit on FanDuel and 7th straight day on DraftKings.  If you want us to further analyze your playing style, projected profit margins based on a certain playing type and contest level, we are happy to do that.  I share this with you today so that you understand that we want to win with you, not against you and we play too.  We don’t just throw out a bunch of information just to leave you with a bunch of numbers, we provide in depth analysis of what this information can be used for and better decision making overall.  Work Smarter and you will find your earnings going up each and every day.  It might only be that you make a few dollars a day to get started but we have designed a systematic approach to how much you should spend, what tournaments and games to play and when to double-down and increase your overall profit margin.  It’s not as simple as play this lineup on one contest and now I should make a secondary income.  Let me help you build this pillar of revenue strategically.  At the same time, I am not going to sit here and believe that you have nothing to offer like many of these information sites.  If you would like to see something different, have an idea for a certain metric but aren’t sure how to get the proper data to review it, contact me, and I will figure it out for you.  Now let’s see our progress to date as we will look to provide a weekly update in our Score It section every Thursday!  One last note, we are working on baseball now so look for that information to be coming in April.

Fan Duel Earnings:

  • Started with $100 deposit on January 16th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 18th, 2015 are $2,460
  • Profit for the week of March 16th is a total of $153.50 as we have looked to increase our overall number of entries and entry fee contests to validate results on all levels of players.

Fan Duel Top Tournament Results:

FD_Mar19_1FD_Mar19_2FD_Mar19_3_latenight
We post results from Tuesday through Friday!

FD_Why_$1_Tourney_Mar18

Here is a lineup that you just have to ask why?  Is this the gaming site filling up the contests with lineups that simply won’t win to show an increase in numbers?  If not and you played this lineup, please contact me and I will ensure you never waste this $1 again, you can pay me $0.50 and I will play the lineup for you and we can share in the profit!  I mean, I can’t even comment any further on this one, as there was only one player that actually plays and guess what you almost found a Sleeper in Hinrich but I digress.  Get it now while we are running our promotion these slots are filling up quickly and be sure to follow us on Twitter @TheDiRTCanon.  If you are playing a March Madness tournament today, we bid you good luck!


DraftKings Earnings:

  • Started with a $50 deposit on February 15th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 18th, 2015 are $593.57
  • Profit for the week of March 16th i$63.00

Results from Draftkings 

DK_Mar19

We post results from Tuesday through Friday

Games to Play Tonight


Just click on the one of the links above and you will be directed to these contests and you can start making a profit.

DiRTy Plays Wednesday

March 18th, 2015

News & Notes:

We are introducing a new format for our DiRTy Plays as we will be posting our Absolute Must Have, Notable and Sleeper for both Fan Duel and DraftKings.  In this segment we will identify the players you should have in your lineup(s) for tonight’s games as we look to combine their matchup with their projection and rank them by salary category.  For more information and additional insight for more players and lineups be sure to check out DiRTy Plays – Week of March 16th.  Below you will find a Free Roll that we have put together with DraftKings that is designed for only beginners.  You can click on any game, banner or highlighted phrase to be taken to the proper location.  This means if you have NEVER played on Draftkings before tonight is your night.  It cost you nothing to enter and if you click here or just go to our DiRTy Plays Week of March 16th page we will tell you how to win at this contest.  Once you win some money tonight, come back and visit us next week as our lineup optimizer will be ready for you to use and not only will we will analyze your daily DiRTy plays for DraftKings but Fan Duel as well, we always provide insight into why you should stick with certain players.  If you need some instructions on how to play on either DraftKings click here and for Fan Duel click here.  We will be adding a new segment next week that will also outline some of those guys that you should shy away from and why that is so look for that new segment.  Now let us me show you how we are doing as we don’t just provide info we play too so yes, we put our money where our mouth is so you can trust our analysis and results thereafter.

SPECIAL PROMOTIONS

DraftKings is having a HUGE NCAA Tournament, just click this link and enter now and win big.

DraftKings players Special PromotionFirst-time depositors are now receiving a free $3 voucher for any sport, instead of a free $2 voucher, along with their first-time deposit bonus. As a result, our “big” low entry fee tournaments are now $3 (example: the daily $2 NBA Layup is now a much smaller contest in terms of payouts, and the daily $3 NBA Sharp Shooter is the bigger tournament in its place).

Absolute Must Have, Notable & Sleeper – New Segment

The definition for these respective categories is all based on the salary assigned to the individual for today’s games on both Fan Duel and DraftKings.  The Absolute Must Have category is designated for players with a salary above $8,000.  The Absolute Notable is for players that have a salary between $5,300 and $7,900.  Absolute Sleeper is defined as players that have a salary at or below $5,200.  We will be identifying the best player for these respective salary ranges each day and you should take all three of these individuals as they have the best matchup and the projection combination for the day.  You will then be able to review the next section where we outline some additional players to complete your lineup and finished off with a lineup to consider for each site.

Absolute Must Have

  • Kyle Lowry– Projected with a 40.1 on Fan Duel and a 41.0 on DraftKings.  He has the best matchup with an overall ranking of #1 and he is still on the somewhat cheap side considering his output will get you at least 12% of your required scoring total to cash tonight.

Absolute Notable

  • Goran Dragic– He is our guy for Fan Duel tonight, coming in with a solid projection of 33.9 and has been playing well of late.  The Heat have been solid in the back court with Wade playing great, look for this to continue tonight.
  • Elfrid Payton – He comes in with the best rating for our Absolute Notable section for DraftKings with a projection of 34.5.  It should be noted that Tobias Harris will most likely not play tonight so look for Payton, Oladipo and Vucevic to pickup the scoring duties tonight.

Absolute Sleeper

  • Robin Lopez– A projection of 23.1 on Fan Duel means can provide you with solid output from the Center position and allow you to afford some other key guys tonight.
  • Justin Hamilton– I’m sure that most of you have no idea who this young player is and really why should you.  Unless you follow the T-Wolves and read their media reports you would never know that this guy has come into the starting lineup with Garnett out and is averaging 12 points and 8 rebounds per game over his last 5 games.  For DraftKings we have him projected at 27.5 tonight.

 

Fan Duel Earnings:

  • Started with $100 deposit on January 16th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 16th, 2015 are $2,427
  • Profit for the week of March 16th is a total of $120.50 as we have looked to increase our overall number of entries and entry fee contests to validate results on all levels of players.

Fan Duel Top Tournament Results:

March17_1We post results from Tuesday through Friday!


DraftKings Earnings:

  • Started with a $50 deposit on February 15th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 16th, 2015 are $573.57
  • Profit for the week of March 16th i$43.00

Results from Draftkings 

March17_2

We post results from Tuesday through Friday

Games to Play Tonight


Just click on the one of the links above and you will be directed to these contests and you can start making a profit.

Sediment-al

3 Strikes

1 – Football is and has always been a brutal sport.  It satiates our bloodlust.  It feeds the ancestral need to watch brutes maim each other in the Coliseum.  We watch more intently now, devour fantasy stats, play in leagues, play online and buy merchandise.  We obsess and have been consumed by a product that promotes violence, while we swivel away when that violence spills over into real world.  We watch fascinated, as young men mature up the ladder to hopefully play professional football – knowing the inherent risks involved – just for that chance at eternal glory the mob showers their heroes with – only to later bemoan their suffering.

The NFL has been called out for the cover-up of head trauma and parents have begun to opt out, not letting their sons play football.  The media acting as town crier, continues to signal the end of Pro-Football and yet the adoration advances.  Now we learn of several shocking retirements of players that still have treadlife – retiring because of injuries, or future health risks.  Patrick Willis having a Hall of Fame type career, betrayed by the pain in his feet.  Jake Locker retires after 4yrs in the league and joins Sydney Rice as players labeled with potential never realized.  However, Chris Borland, a Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate, was maybe the biggest surprise, retiring after one year and was looked at as the next man up after P.Willis – will the last man in the 49ers locker-room please turn off the lights…

The Town Crier is shouting, this is the beginning of the end for the NFL.  Calling this the tip of the iceberg for the League and too recognize how dangerous the game has become.  The NFL counters that concussions are down, and that may be true, but this is a sport built on the assumption of brutality.  One on one battles actually exist, bones are broken, blood is spilled, exotic sports cars conducting ballet with dump trucks and we love every minute of it – fall can not come soon enough.   But what of the product?  Will the cries of fervor and weekly campaigns of “think of the children,” against the league change how football is watched?  All the players that are retiring of injuries and fear of “after-football” will be replaced by others seeking idolatry – there will always be those willing to sacrifice themselves for our sanguine hunger for the adulation of hero worship.  But at what cost to the talent pool?  Do the better athletes migrate to other sports, that require less than the requisite pounds of flesh the NFL offers?  Baseball players live normal healthy lives “after-baseball,” receive pensions, and medical benefits that are the envy of every sport – you can play longer, make more money, but the globalization of the game of Baseball, adds more to the talent pool.

If we get to the point that talent will not play in our Coliseums – we will find others – maybe we continue with the convict philosophy the NFL seems to embrace, #RayRice, #GreggHardy, #AaronHernandez, etc…We will be entertained while our true gladiators will be those that we care the least about – the locked up dregs of society.  Or Elon Musk will develop robotic machines that play our games with an exploding football.  When you drop a pebble in a pond you get ripples – soon that ripple fills the whole pond.  This could be that moment and I say that ripple has started and will circumvent the whole NFL pond.  We will remember more what football used to be than what it has become.  Players will come and go, but our thirst will always exist and we will be forever hungry.


 

2015_bracket

2 – What we have done is develop a new way of thinking.  A new way to approach the way sports are looked at, and today we have new ways to play sports, with Daily Fantasy games.  We can now satisfy our urge to play arm-chair GM.  We have more tools at our disposal than our fathers did to predict outcomes, or know what players will perform more consistently.  This is what we work on.  This is what we offer and it is amazing.  Other sites, other prognosticators may shout louder, may have more followers at this time – but none of them can match our actual success.  Want Proof? We gave you Reggie Jackson yesterday as a notable and all he did was score 50+ in FanDuel.  We constantly come within +/- 2pts in our projections for the NBA.  We cash over 70% of our lineups in NBA Daily games.

We are still working to provide you an experience that will be unrivaled by any site.  Providing your own personal analytics, enough information for you to make the best decision possible and giving you the tools to continually be right more than 70%.  Look around.  There is NO ONE who can predict that level of accuracy, no matter how much smoke they blow.   According to VegasInsider.com, the best NFL handicapper was right 57% of the time – In college football, 61%.  We were right 72% in both the NFL and college for the year.  We gave you over 70% accuracy in the bowl games and with what we have built, we will improve on that.

It is great to have you here reading our information, using it – It can be very exciting to think about the results you are likely to generate.  We know you want to get the best results from our site, and we want to invite you, and your friends to join us – help build the best site out there.  In the future, we will provide more amazing analysis, and tools for you to research and learn how to make some extra cash following the sports you love.  For the remainder of March, we are offering several free offers of Platinum Membership to the first 15 people that send us their email via the contact page – with “I want the free Platinum Membership” in the comments.

Thank you again for reading.  Follow along with us in our attempt at the NCAA Tournament Bracket and see if we can beat 55% accuracy from the best college hoops handicapper listed on VegasInsider.com.


 

3 – Oh Rockies…You put out, for a national audience, your A-lineup.  The Angels, scrupulously countered with a journeyman pitcher, found in baseball’s independent league.  That’s the next level up from A-league Softball – or the more like the beer-league of baseball.  You would think we would have jumped on the guy, but no.  This is the Rockies and too often they demonstrate a lack of plate discipline or fundamentals, to hammer a guy who does not belong in the majors.  The Rockies were shut out and lost 11-0 to the not-in-Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.  Mike Trout smoked two home runs – 2-run and a 3-run jacks before he exited – Mike Trout 5, Rockies 0.

I know this is Spring Training.  I know it is Baseball’s version of pre-season and none of it matters, but when we will stop hearing the excuses.  Tulo, who went 0-2 made the comment that this beer-league pitcher just: “jumped on us.”  How does that happen? Why does that happen?  The guys pitching for our team are better than Capt.Softball and still got waxed by the Halos, giving up 11 runs.  We scored none. Nada. Zip. Squadoosh.  Are we already pretending this is a road trip?  Please tell me we will have meaningful baseball after July and not another year of excuses, like we have had the last 4yrs.

DiRTy Plays Tuesday

March 17th, 2015

News & Notes:

Below you will find a Free Roll that we have put together with DraftKings that is designed for only beginners.  You can click on any game, banner or highlighted phrase to be taken to the proper location.  This means if you have NEVER played on Draftkings before tonight is your night.  It cost you nothing to enter and if you click here or just go to our DiRTy Plays Week of March 16th page we will tell you how to win at this contest.  Once you win some money tonight, come back and visit us next week as our lineup optimizer will be ready for you to use and not only will we will analyze your daily DiRTy plays for DraftKings but Fan Duel as well, we always provide insight into why you should stick with certain players.  If you need some instructions on how to play on either DraftKings click here and for Fan Duel click here.  We will be adding a new segment next week that will also outline some of those guys that you should shy away from and why that is so look for that new segment.  Now let us me show you how we are doing as we don’t just provide info we play too so yes, we put our money where our mouth is so you can trust our analysis and results thereafter.

SPECIAL PROMOTIONS

DraftKings is having a HUGE NCAA Tournament, just click this link and enter now and win big.

DraftKings players Special PromotionFirst-time depositors are now receiving a free $3 voucher for any sport, instead of a free $2 voucher, along with their first-time deposit bonus. As a result, our “big” low entry fee tournaments are now $3 (example: the daily $2 NBA Layup is now a much smaller contest in terms of payouts, and the daily $3 NBA Sharp Shooter is the bigger tournament in its place).

Fan Duel Earnings:

  • Started with $100 deposit on January 16th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 16th, 2015 are $2,317
  • Profit for the week of March 16th is a total of $10.50 as we have looked to increase our overall number of entries and entry fee contests to validate results on all levels of players.

Fan Duel Top Tournament Results:

March16_3 March16_2 March16_1

  • We post results from Tuesday through Friday!


DraftKings Earnings:

  • Started with a $50 deposit on February 15th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 16th, 2015 are $533.57
  • Profit for the week of March 16th i$3.00

Results from Draftkings 

March16_4

  • We post results from Tuesday through Friday

Games to Play Tonight


Just click on the one of the links above and you will be directed to these contests and you can start making a profit.

2015 Bracket-ology Madness Locks of the Century of the Week

The idea behind our in-depth bracket, was several different combinations of formulas.  We intend to update the picks by round and to continue to offer those that might be good gambles to wager – for entertainment purposes only.  So to further help or confuse – here are some figures that we took into consideration:

  • Offensive Scoring 73% (11) averaged at least 77.0 PPG and finished among the Top 30 scoring teams in the nation. The only exceptions here were 2000 Michigan State, which averaged 74.1 PPG, 2011 UConn (72.4 PPG), 2013 Louisville (74.5 PPG) and 2014 UConn (71.9)
  • Offensive Shooting 73% (11) made at least 47% FG and ranked in the Top 30 in national FG percentage. Six of the teams ranked in the Top 10, including 2012 Kentucky (9th). But four of the previous five champions were below this mark — 2010 Duke, 2011 UConn, 2013 Louisville and 2014 UConn
  • Offensive Three-Point Shooting 73% (11) made at least 38% 3-pt FG, and all placed in the Top 40 in the nation in this category. 2002 Maryland was just below the mark (37.4%), but 2003 Syracuse (34.4%), 2011 UConn (32.9%) and 2013 Louisville (33.3%) weren’t close.
  • Defensive Scoring 67% (10) allowed fewer than 65.0 PPG. Of the five champions that allowed more than 65.0 PPG, four were ACC schools (2001 Duke, 2002 Maryland, 2005 and 2009 North Carolina).
  • Defensive Shooting 93% (14) allowed 41% FG or less with 2001 Duke just missing the cut at 41.6% FG. Five of these champions were among the Top 15 shooting defenses in the nation –2004 UConn ranked 1st, 2008 Kansas ranked 3rd, 2003 Syracuse ranked 5th, 2014 UConn ranked 8th and 2011 UConn ranked 11th.
  • Turnover Margin 80% (12) had a positive turnover margin (more takeaways than giveaways), but only 27% (4) were ranked among the nation’s Top 50 schools in this category. 2013 Louisville had the top mark here with a +5.8 TO margin, which ranked third in the nation. 2001 Duke had a strong +5.5 TO margin.
  • Double-digit favorites had been almost unbeatable over a three-year span from 2008 to 2010, going 44-1 SU & 26-16-3 ATS (62%). In the past five years (2010-14), the SU record was still 66-8

TRENDS BY SEED

  • #1 vs. #16: A #1 seed has never lost to a #16 seed outright in the NCAA Tournament. The #1s had covered 15 of 20 games (75%) from 2007-2011 with an average winning margin of approximately 30.0 PPG. But in the last three years, the #16s were 8-4 ATS, losing by just 15.6 PPG. The OVER was just 4-8 (33%) in 2011 to 2013, but 3-1 (75%) last season.
  • #2 vs. #15: No #2 seed had lost to a #15 outright from 2001-2011, but in the last three years Fla Gulf Coast (over Georgetown), Lehigh (over Duke) and Norfolk State (over Missouri) won outright as #15 seeds. In the past 10 years, the #15 owns a 53% ATS advantage (19-17-4). The UNDER was 0-4 in #2 vs. #15 matchups in ‘13, but was 4-0 in 2014.
  • #3 vs. #14: Even with #3 Duke losing to Mercer last year, the #3 seeds are still 29-3 SU and 20-11-1 ATS (65%) since 2007. Some of this is due to smaller spreads, with #3 seeds favored by a mere 9.5-point average since 2012 with just four of the 12 teams favored by more than 11 points. The UNDER is 20-12 (63%) in the past seven years and 32-16 (67%) dating back to 2003.
  • #4 vs. #13: The #4 seed is 28-8 SU and 21-14-1 ATS (60%) over the past eight tournaments. In 2013, #13 Harvard beat #4 New Mexico outright as a 10.5-point underdog.
  • #5 vs. #12: The #12 seed has gone 14-22 SU (39%) vs. the #5 seed from 2004-2012, but is 3-1 SU (75%) in each of the last two years. Seven #5 seeds were favored by three points or less from 2010 to 2014, including two last year (Cincinnati -3 Harvard, Saint Louis -3 NC State). “A” level conference teams are on an 8-4 SU & 9-2-1 ATS (82%) run on the #12 line, including 3-0 in 2013 (Oregon, California and Ole Miss).
  • #6 vs. #11: Even with the spreads in the last five years’ 6/11 games all 6.5 points or less, the #6 seeds went 8-11-1 ATS, with 10 of those losses also being SU defeats, including two last year. #6 seeds are now 20-16 SU & 16-19-1 ATS since ‘06.
  • #7 vs. #10: Eleven #10 seeds have won outright over the past six years, but #10 seeds are still just 21-30-1 ATS (41%) since 2002. The straight-up winner in the 7/10 matchup has covered the spread in 65 of 68 games since 1998.
  • #8 vs. #9: This series remains as close as one would expect at 34-30 in favor of the #8 seed in the past 16 years. The #8 seeds have a slight 31-30-3 ATS advantage. The OVER is usually the play in this matchup, with a strong 29- 23 record (58%) since 2002.

Funny thing about upsets – Of the 40 Round-of-64 upsets from 2005 to ’09, 24 occurred in the Friday games. The 2010-2011 tourneys had 10 lower seeded teams win on Thursday and just seven upsets on Friday, but the 2012-14 dances saw just 11 lower seeds advance on Thursday, and a whopping 17 upsets on Friday.

***

This is how our bracket shook out after the dust settled – if we did it right, we expect similar results to our overall success in college football – no one in the nation could beat us.

 

2015_bracket

 

Individual games to wager on – for entertainment purposes only:

Buffalo +4.5

Valpo +5

SF Austin +3.5

E. Wash +7.5

Davidson +2.5

If you want to tease a bet – go with this 12-team teaser with 9pts (+695):

UK -21

Notre Dame -3.5

Kansas -3

Wiscy -17

UNC -1.5

‘Zona -14

Oklahoma -4

Virginia -8

Duke -10.5

Iowa St -4.5

Gonzaga -8.5

DiRTy Plays Monday

March 16th, 2015

News & Notes:

Below you will find a Free Roll that we have put together with DraftKings that is designed for only beginners.  You can click on any game, banner or highlighted phrase to be taken to the proper location.  This means if you have NEVER played on Draftkings before tonight is your night.  It cost you nothing to enter and if you click here or just go to our DiRTy Plays Week of March 16th page we will tell you how to win at this contest.  Once you win some money tonight, come back and visit us next week as our lineup optimizer will be ready for you to use and not only will we will analyze your daily DiRTy plays for DraftKings but Fan Duel as well, we always provide insight into why you should stick with certain players.  We will be adding a new segment next week that will also outline some of those guys that you should shy away from and why that is so look for that new segment.  Now let us me show you how we are doing as we don’t just provide info we play too so yes, we put our money where our mouth is so you can trust our analysis and results thereafter.

Fan Duel Earnings:

  • Started with $100 deposit on January 16th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 15th, 2015 are $2,307
  • Profit for the week of March 9th was a total of $449.50 as we have looked to increase our overall number of entries and entry fee contests to validate results on all levels of players.

Fan Duel Top Tournament Results:

  • Check back tomorrow as we post results from Tuesday through Friday!


DraftKings Earnings:

  • Started with a $50 deposit on February 15th, 2015.
  • Earnings through March 15th, 2015 are $533.57
  • Profit for the week of March 9th was $69.42

Results from Draftkings 

  • Check back tomorrow as we post results from Tuesday through Friday

Games to Play Tonight


Just click on the one of the links above and you will be directed to these contests and you can start making a profit.

Dregs of Madness

We’re all mad here. I’m mad. You’re mad…You must be, or you wouldn’t have come here.

The Cheshire Cat – Alice In Wonderland, Lewis Carroll

Strike 1

The Madness descends like the blanket of night in the forest of basketball, haunted by the headless-horseman.  You can always count on the bloviating rancor of DickieV chastising the committee for this snub or that snub – it’s buffoonery, a jester’s errand.  When will the Emperor Vitale shows us his new clothes and give us a taste of the teams he would select?  This is and will always be the problem and proof #1 why college football should never expand the playoff.  Who really cares about teams that barely qualified in a field of 68.  If you could not separate yourself, or win your conference tournament among the chosen 68 teams, then you have no beef.  It mirrors the hall of fame argument – you either are, or you are not – if it has to be debated – you are not a hall of famer.

Of course it’s not like there aren’t some head scratchers.  Temple did beat Kansas and has fewer bad losses than darling UCLA, who lost to ‘Bama, CU and Arizona St – and also got brazilian-waxed by OU, UNC, Gonzaga and Kentucky.  Temple did play Duke and Villanova, but let’s compare the best win – UCLA beat 5th seed Utah and Temple beat 2nd seed Kansas – by 25!  While Vitale is outraged at Murray St he forgets CSU who is a top 30 RPI team – what else did CSU need to do, to prove they are better than “Yook-la.” CSU, could actually be the first team in history to be a top 30 team, have 5 wins against the top 100, and not make the dance – not even the ridiculous play in game.  UCLA, clearly is a ratings bump and Vitale will not talk about teams that are in, just who is not – why do they keep giving airtime to this clown.

Another team DickieV should have discussed is Georgetown.  How are they a #4?!  Is the committee really saying the Hoyas are a top 16 team by seeding?  They were swept by Providence and Xavier – then in the Big East tournament they squeeked by last place Creighton, only to be whooped again by the Musketeers.  For proof, look at another #4 seed UNC and the run they had – Georgetown is as good as UNC?

…and when are we going to stop playing championship games on Sunday?  Everyone should play their championship games on Saturday.  It would give the illusion that the committee actually is reviewing, contemplating, and revising their seedings; further guaranteeing all teams to have a certain amount of rest before the dancing starts.  I know, it’s not easy – but I’m still waiting for the #16seed upset that statistically happens once every 1,747 yrs or so and the way the committee decides things – it will happen soon, further questioning their integrity by the ghost of Vitale, who will be long gone with his faux outrage.


Strike 2

Are you Shveding me?

remember this?

well either Alexey Shved is some kind of basketball-savant or he just plays like a seredipitous kid on the court – because – this – just – happened!

 

…and 1? C’mon man!

Strike 3

Nothing like a little British perspective to quench our thirst….

no time to watch it all – skip to 18:30


 

Today, we will be working on the bracket-ology and provide you that info later today – so look for it.

here is who we are going with for the play-in games, that no one cares about, outside of these schools’ alumni – the winners are…