Tis the season to go Bowl-ing

It’s beginning to look a lot like…$$$

Put together for your entertainment purposes only and to help you either win cash or the office pool – we have outlined what the opening line(Op.Line) is, the game-win-probability(GWP) for the confidence picks and where you should lean and the bet type.  Usually I am in Vegas at this time making a nice christmas bonus for the year on these games – now I’m taking my talents online, so enjoy and start a discussion – good luck.

LEGEND:

Op.Line = opening line

GWP = probability of who wins the game outright

TR = team rating – several factors that delineate good teams from average or worse

Lean = the type and what to bet

x = the team to bet

t = you should tease the team – (typically a teased bet allows you to move 8.5pts to include in your entire bet)

o = consider the OVER

u = consider the UNDER

Example: Team A is marked with a “xtu” – it means its a slight lean on TeamA and if you bet, include it in a teaser bet – the u means that the expectation is for the game to go UNDER the total – you could tease both the UNDER and TeamA instead of separate.

Bowl Game

Op.Line

GWP

TR

Lean

New Orleans

Nevada

-1.5

90%

2.069

xu

Louisiana Lafayette

10%

1.673

New Mexico

UTEP

10%

-0.488

Utah State

-11.5

90%

-0.275

xtu

Las Vegas

Utah

-5

60%

2.857

Colorado State

40%

2.592

xto

Idaho Potato

Western Michigan

-2.5

50%

1.157

Air Force

50%

2.216

xto

Camellia

South Alabama

50%

0.221

Bowling Green

-1

50%

1.435

xtu

Miami Beach

BYU

-1

40%

1.89

Memphis

60%

3.955

xtu

Boca Raton

Northern Illinois

20%

1.923

Marshall

-11

80%

2.658

xu

Poinsettia

Navy

70%

1.096

San Diego State

-1.5

30%

1.726

xu

Bahamas

Central Michigan

30%

-0.654

Western Kentucky

-2.5

70%

-0.152

xtu

Hawaii

Fresno State

-2

60%

1.037

Rice

40%

0.644

xtu

Heart of Dallas

Illinois

30%

1.073

Louisiana Tech

-5

70%

0.587

xo

Quick Lane

Rutgers

30%

0.656

xto

North Carolina

-3.5

70%

0.142

St.Petersburg

North Carolina State

50%

1.864

Central Florida

-2.5

50%

0.38

xtU

Military

Virginia Tech

80%

-0.197

xt

Cincinnati

-4

20%

2.771

Sun

Duke

40%

4.149

xt

Arizona State

-9

60%

1.511

Independence

Miami

60%

0.345

South Carolina

-1

40%

2.706

xt

Pinstripe

Penn State

30%

-1.493

xto

Boston College

-3

70%

1.069

Holiday

Nebraska

30%

2.957

USC

-6

70%

1.283

xtu

Liberty

West Virginia

-3.5

70%

0.588

Texas A&M

30%

1.966

xo

Russell Athletic

Clemson

50%

-1.461

xt

Oklahoma

-3

50%

2.396

Texas

Texas

10%

-1.999

Arkansas

-5

90%

0.28

xu

Music City

Notre Dame

30%

1.279

LSU

-7.5

70%

1.675

xtu

Belk

Louisville

30%

-0.245

xt

Georgia

-7

70%

2.925

Foster Farms

Maryland

20%

3.381

Stanford

-13

80%

-0.164

xt

Chick-fil-A Peach

Mississippi

50%

1.108

xt

TCU

-3

50%

2.534

Fiesta

Boise State

30%

0.507

xt

Arizona

-4

70%

0.532

Orange

Georgia Tech

60%

2.979

xt

Mississippi State

-7

40%

1.064

Outback

Wisconsin

30%

0.421

Auburn

-6.5

70%

0.914

xt

Cotton

Michigan State

30%

2.517

xt

Baylor

-2

70%

2.087

Citrus

Minnesota

40%

2.62

Missouri

-5.5

60%

0.944

xt

Rose

Florida State

30%

1.594

xt

Oregon

-8

70%

3.012

Sugar

Ohio State

30%

2.299

Alabama

-10

70%

0.307

xt

Armed Forces

Pittsburgh

-2.5

80%

1.65

xt

Houston

20%

-0.064

Taxslayer

Iowa

40%

0.046

Tennessee

-2.5

60%

1.359

xt

Alamo

UCLA

70%

1.796

xt

Kansas State

-1.5

30%

3.952

Cactus

Oklahoma State

20%

2.378

Washington

-5

80%

1.568

xt

Birmingham

East Carolina

40%

-0.527

xto

Florida

-8.5

60%

1.141

Go Daddy.com

Toledo

-2

60%

2.078

Arkansas State

40%

1.001

xtu